Posts List Oldapi View
We shared this request example with FAB participants: url_qparams = { "limit": count, "offset": offset, "has_group": "false", "order_by": "-activity", "forecast_type": "binary", "project": tournament_id, "status": "open", "type": "forecast", "include_description": "true", } url = f"{api_info.base_url}/questions/" response = requests.get( url, headers={"Authorization": f"Token {api_info.token}"}, params=url_qparams )
But we don't want to support all these parameters, and the ones relevant are: - order_by - status - project - forecast_type - we ignore this, but assume it's binary - FAB only supports binary for now.
GET /api2/questions/?format=api&offset=540
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It's ticker is NXPI. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:25) is 228.78. You can find more information about NXP Semiconductors N.V. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NXPI\n\nNXP Semiconductors N.V. provides semiconductor products in China, the United States, Germany, Japan, Singapore, South Korea, Mexico, the Netherlands, Taiwan, and internationally. The company's product portfolio includes microcontrollers; application processors; communication processors; wireless connectivity solutions, such as near field communications, ultra-wideband, Bluetooth low-energy, Zigbee, Thread, and Wi-Fi and Wi-Fi/Bluetooth integrated SoCs; analog and interface devices; radio frequency power amplifiers; and security controllers, as well as semiconductor-based environmental and inertial sensors, including pressure, inertial, magnetic, and gyroscopic sensors. Its products are used in various applications, including automotive, industrial and Internet of Things, mobile, and communication infrastructure. The company markets its products to various original equipment manufacturers, contract manufacturers, and distributors. NXP Semiconductors N.V. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Eindhoven, the Netherlands.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"NXPI\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of NXPI. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-08-19, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API.", "fine_print": "Stock splits and reverse splits will be accounted for in resolving this question. Forecasts on questions about companies that have been delisted (through mergers or bankruptcy) will resolve to their final close price.", "post_id": 39195, "aggregations": { "unweighted": { "history": [ { "start_time": 1755609462.050506, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 48, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.52 ], "centers": [ 0.55 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.6 ] } ], "latest": { "start_time": 1755609462.050506, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 48, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.52 ], "centers": [ 0.55 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.6 ], "forecast_values": [ 0.44999999999999996, 0.55 ], "means": [ 0.5501041666666667 ], "histogram": [ [ 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 3.0, 2.0, 2.0, 2.0, 1.0, 12.0, 2.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0, 8.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 6.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0 ] ] }, "score_data": { "baseline_score": 13.469401984722637, "peer_score": 0.23170116839146648, "coverage": 0.9236960188989286, "relative_legacy_score": 0.012954230170089391, "weighted_coverage": 0.9236960188989286, "spot_peer_score": 1.7385876716722304, "spot_baseline_score": 13.750352374993504, "baseline_archived_score": 13.469401984722637, "peer_archived_score": 0.23170116839146648, "relative_legacy_archived_score": 0.012954230170089391, "spot_peer_archived_score": 1.7385876716722304, "spot_baseline_archived_score": 13.750352374993504 }, "movement": null } } }, "user_permission": "forecaster", "vote": { "score": 0, "user_vote": null }, "forecasts_count": 54, "key_factors": [], "is_current_content_translated": false, "description": "NXP Semiconductors N.V. is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is NXPI. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:25) is 228.78. You can find more information about NXP Semiconductors N.V. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NXPI\n\nNXP Semiconductors N.V. provides semiconductor products in China, the United States, Germany, Japan, Singapore, South Korea, Mexico, the Netherlands, Taiwan, and internationally. The company's product portfolio includes microcontrollers; application processors; communication processors; wireless connectivity solutions, such as near field communications, ultra-wideband, Bluetooth low-energy, Zigbee, Thread, and Wi-Fi and Wi-Fi/Bluetooth integrated SoCs; analog and interface devices; radio frequency power amplifiers; and security controllers, as well as semiconductor-based environmental and inertial sensors, including pressure, inertial, magnetic, and gyroscopic sensors. Its products are used in various applications, including automotive, industrial and Internet of Things, mobile, and communication infrastructure. The company markets its products to various original equipment manufacturers, contract manufacturers, and distributors. NXP Semiconductors N.V. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Eindhoven, the Netherlands.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"NXPI\"}}`" }, { "id": 39194, "title": "Will TAP's market close price on 2025-08-30 be higher than its market close price on 2025-08-20?", "short_title": "TAP's close price rises?", "url_title": "TAP's close price rises?", "slug": "taps-close-price-rises", "author_id": 276265, "author_username": "AutoQuestionsBot", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:24.273540Z", "published_at": "2025-08-20T21:33:45Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:28:57.242475Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:24.532712Z", "comment_count": 1, "status": "resolved", "resolved": true, "actual_close_time": "2025-08-20T23:03:45Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-08-20T23:03:45Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-08-30T01:50:52Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-08-30T20:57:34Z", "open_time": "2025-08-20T21:33:45Z", "nr_forecasters": 49, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32822, "type": "question_series", "name": "Warmup MiniBench - 2025-08-18", "slug": "minibench-2025-08-18", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "0.00", "start_date": "2025-08-18T04:00:00Z", "close_date": "2025-08-31T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-08-28T23:40:48Z", "html_metadata_json": { "description": "MiniBench Tournament is a 2-week reoccurring bot-only competition where bot-makers attempt to push AI to its limits in predicting future events in order to benchmark AI capabilities." }, "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-08-17T23:44:51.434087Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-28T20:43:14.658072Z", "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "bots_only" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32822, "type": "question_series", "name": "Warmup MiniBench - 2025-08-18", "slug": "minibench-2025-08-18", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "0.00", "start_date": "2025-08-18T04:00:00Z", "close_date": "2025-08-31T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-08-28T23:40:48Z", "html_metadata_json": { "description": "MiniBench Tournament is a 2-week reoccurring bot-only competition where bot-makers attempt to push AI to its limits in predicting future events in order to benchmark AI capabilities." }, "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-08-17T23:44:51.434087Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-28T20:43:14.658072Z", "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "bots_only" } }, "question": { "id": 38536, "title": "Will TAP's market close price on 2025-08-30 be higher than its market close price on 2025-08-20?", "created_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:24.273973Z", "open_time": "2025-08-20T21:33:45Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-08-20T23:03:45Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-08-20T23:03:45Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-08-30T01:50:52Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-08-30T20:57:34Z", "resolution_set_time": "2025-08-30T21:11:36.205041Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-08-20T23:03:45Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-08-20T23:03:45Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "resolved", "possibilities": null, "resolution": "no", "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "spot_peer", "default_aggregation_method": "unweighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "Molson Coors Beverage Company is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is TAP. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:23) is 51.42. You can find more information about Molson Coors Beverage Company at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TAP\n\nMolson Coors Beverage Company manufactures, markets, and sells beer and other malt beverage products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers flavored malt beverages including hard seltzers, craft, spirits, and ready to drink beverages. It provides its products under Arnold Palmer Spiked, Aspall Cider, Blue Moon, Beck's, Blue Run Spirits, Cobra, Corona Extra, Coors Original, Five Trail, Heineken, Leinenkugel's, Madri, Miller Genuine Draft, Molson Ultra, Peroni Nastro Azurro, Pilsner Urquell, Redd's, Sharp's, Simply Spiked, Sol, Staropramen, Stella Artois, Topo Chico Hard Seltzer, ZOA Energy, and Vizzy Hard Seltzer above premium brands; Bergenbier, Borsodi, Burgasko, Caraiman, Carling, Coors Banquet, Coors Light, Jelen, Kamenitza, Miller Lite, Molson Canadian brands, Niksicko, and Oujsko under the premium brands; and Branik, Icehouse, Keystone, Lowenbrau, Miller High Life, Milwaukee's Best, and Steel Reserve under the economy brands. The company was formerly known as Molson Coors Brewing Company and changed its name to Molson Coors Beverage Company in January 2020. Molson Coors Beverage Company was founded in 1774 and is based in Golden, Colorado.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"TAP\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of TAP. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-08-20, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API.", "fine_print": "Stock splits and reverse splits will be accounted for in resolving this question. Forecasts on questions about companies that have been delisted (through mergers or bankruptcy) will resolve to their final close price.", "post_id": 39194, "aggregations": { "unweighted": { "history": [ { "start_time": 1755730937.87655, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 49, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.45 ], "centers": [ 0.5 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.55 ] } ], "latest": { "start_time": 1755730937.87655, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 49, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.45 ], "centers": [ 0.5 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.55 ], "forecast_values": [ 0.5, 0.5 ], "means": [ 0.491857142857143 ], "histogram": [ [ 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 4.0, 0.0, 1.0, 1.0, 0.0, 10.0, 2.0, 0.0, 3.0, 0.0, 2.0, 2.0, 4.0, 1.0, 0.0, 11.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 4.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0 ] ] }, "score_data": { "baseline_score": 0.3728166043698693, "peer_score": -0.38325470420289054, "coverage": 0.8941642972275063, "relative_legacy_score": 0.01291838698796505, "weighted_coverage": 0.8941642972275063, "spot_peer_score": -0.7501917215595294, "spot_baseline_score": 0.0, "baseline_archived_score": 0.3728166043698693, "peer_archived_score": -0.38325470420289054, "relative_legacy_archived_score": 0.01291838698796505, "spot_peer_archived_score": -0.7501917215595294, "spot_baseline_archived_score": 0.0 }, "movement": null } } }, "user_permission": "forecaster", "vote": { "score": 0, "user_vote": null }, "forecasts_count": 56, "key_factors": [], "is_current_content_translated": false, "description": "Molson Coors Beverage Company is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is TAP. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:23) is 51.42. You can find more information about Molson Coors Beverage Company at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TAP\n\nMolson Coors Beverage Company manufactures, markets, and sells beer and other malt beverage products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers flavored malt beverages including hard seltzers, craft, spirits, and ready to drink beverages. It provides its products under Arnold Palmer Spiked, Aspall Cider, Blue Moon, Beck's, Blue Run Spirits, Cobra, Corona Extra, Coors Original, Five Trail, Heineken, Leinenkugel's, Madri, Miller Genuine Draft, Molson Ultra, Peroni Nastro Azurro, Pilsner Urquell, Redd's, Sharp's, Simply Spiked, Sol, Staropramen, Stella Artois, Topo Chico Hard Seltzer, ZOA Energy, and Vizzy Hard Seltzer above premium brands; Bergenbier, Borsodi, Burgasko, Caraiman, Carling, Coors Banquet, Coors Light, Jelen, Kamenitza, Miller Lite, Molson Canadian brands, Niksicko, and Oujsko under the premium brands; and Branik, Icehouse, Keystone, Lowenbrau, Miller High Life, Milwaukee's Best, and Steel Reserve under the economy brands. The company was formerly known as Molson Coors Brewing Company and changed its name to Molson Coors Beverage Company in January 2020. Molson Coors Beverage Company was founded in 1774 and is based in Golden, Colorado.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"TAP\"}}`" }, { "id": 39193, "title": "Will UNP's market close price on 2025-08-30 be higher than its market close price on 2025-08-18?", "short_title": "UNP's close price rises?", "url_title": "UNP's close price rises?", "slug": "unps-close-price-rises", "author_id": 276265, "author_username": "AutoQuestionsBot", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:23.509080Z", "published_at": "2025-08-18T05:52:19Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:29:26.038113Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:23.887462Z", "comment_count": 1, "status": "resolved", "resolved": true, "actual_close_time": "2025-08-18T07:22:19Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-08-18T07:22:19Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-08-30T08:09:09Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-08-30T20:57:35Z", "open_time": "2025-08-18T05:52:19Z", "nr_forecasters": 45, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32822, "type": "question_series", "name": "Warmup MiniBench - 2025-08-18", "slug": "minibench-2025-08-18", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "0.00", "start_date": "2025-08-18T04:00:00Z", "close_date": "2025-08-31T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-08-28T23:40:48Z", "html_metadata_json": { "description": "MiniBench Tournament is a 2-week reoccurring bot-only competition where bot-makers attempt to push AI to its limits in predicting future events in order to benchmark AI capabilities." }, "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-08-17T23:44:51.434087Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-28T20:43:14.658072Z", "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "bots_only" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32822, "type": "question_series", "name": "Warmup MiniBench - 2025-08-18", "slug": "minibench-2025-08-18", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "0.00", "start_date": "2025-08-18T04:00:00Z", "close_date": "2025-08-31T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-08-28T23:40:48Z", "html_metadata_json": { "description": "MiniBench Tournament is a 2-week reoccurring bot-only competition where bot-makers attempt to push AI to its limits in predicting future events in order to benchmark AI capabilities." }, "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-08-17T23:44:51.434087Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-28T20:43:14.658072Z", "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "bots_only" } }, "question": { "id": 38535, "title": "Will UNP's market close price on 2025-08-30 be higher than its market close price on 2025-08-18?", "created_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:23.509494Z", "open_time": "2025-08-18T05:52:19Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-08-18T07:22:19Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-08-18T07:22:19Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-08-30T08:09:09Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-08-30T20:57:35Z", "resolution_set_time": "2025-08-30T21:11:37.164564Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-08-18T07:22:19Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-08-18T07:22:19Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "resolved", "possibilities": null, "resolution": "yes", "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "spot_peer", "default_aggregation_method": "unweighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "Union Pacific Corporation is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is UNP. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:22) is 220.78. You can find more information about Union Pacific Corporation at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/UNP\n\nUnion Pacific Corporation, through its subsidiary, Union Pacific Railroad Company, operates in the railroad business in the United States. It offers transportation services for grain and grain products, fertilizers, food and refrigerated products, and coal and renewables to grain processors, animal feeders, and ethanol and renewable biofuel producers; and construction products, industrial chemicals, plastics, forest products, specialized products, metals and ores, petroleum, liquid petroleum gases, soda ash, and sand, as well as finished automobiles, automotive parts, and merchandise in intermodal containers. The company was founded in 1862 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"UNP\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of UNP. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-08-18, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API.", "fine_print": "Stock splits and reverse splits will be accounted for in resolving this question. 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It's ticker is UNP. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:22) is 220.78. You can find more information about Union Pacific Corporation at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/UNP\n\nUnion Pacific Corporation, through its subsidiary, Union Pacific Railroad Company, operates in the railroad business in the United States. It offers transportation services for grain and grain products, fertilizers, food and refrigerated products, and coal and renewables to grain processors, animal feeders, and ethanol and renewable biofuel producers; and construction products, industrial chemicals, plastics, forest products, specialized products, metals and ores, petroleum, liquid petroleum gases, soda ash, and sand, as well as finished automobiles, automotive parts, and merchandise in intermodal containers. The company was founded in 1862 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"UNP\"}}`" }, { "id": 39192, "title": "Will DHI's market close price on 2025-08-31 be higher than its market close price on 2025-08-18?", "short_title": "DHI's close price rises?", "url_title": "DHI's close price rises?", "slug": "dhis-close-price-rises", "author_id": 276265, "author_username": "AutoQuestionsBot", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:22.616414Z", "published_at": "2025-08-18T06:02:11Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:29:02.999219Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:23.072327Z", "comment_count": 1, "status": "resolved", "resolved": true, "actual_close_time": "2025-08-18T07:32:11Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-08-18T07:32:11Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-08-31T01:03:14Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-08-31T14:43:20Z", "open_time": "2025-08-18T06:02:11Z", "nr_forecasters": 45, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32822, "type": "question_series", "name": "Warmup MiniBench - 2025-08-18", "slug": "minibench-2025-08-18", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "0.00", "start_date": "2025-08-18T04:00:00Z", "close_date": "2025-08-31T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-08-28T23:40:48Z", "html_metadata_json": { "description": "MiniBench Tournament is a 2-week reoccurring bot-only competition where bot-makers attempt to push AI to its limits in predicting future events in order to benchmark AI capabilities." }, "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-08-17T23:44:51.434087Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-28T20:43:14.658072Z", "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "bots_only" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32822, "type": "question_series", "name": "Warmup MiniBench - 2025-08-18", "slug": "minibench-2025-08-18", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "0.00", "start_date": "2025-08-18T04:00:00Z", "close_date": "2025-08-31T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-08-28T23:40:48Z", "html_metadata_json": { "description": "MiniBench Tournament is a 2-week reoccurring bot-only competition where bot-makers attempt to push AI to its limits in predicting future events in order to benchmark AI capabilities." }, "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-08-17T23:44:51.434087Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-28T20:43:14.658072Z", "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "bots_only" } }, "question": { "id": 38534, "title": "Will DHI's market close price on 2025-08-31 be higher than its market close price on 2025-08-18?", "created_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:22.616822Z", "open_time": "2025-08-18T06:02:11Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-08-18T07:32:11Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-08-18T07:32:11Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-08-31T01:03:14Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-08-31T14:43:20Z", "resolution_set_time": "2025-08-31T21:45:15.254038Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-08-18T07:32:11Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-08-18T07:32:11Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "resolved", "possibilities": null, "resolution": "yes", "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "spot_peer", "default_aggregation_method": "unweighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "D.R. Horton, Inc. is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is DHI. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:20) is 165.62. You can find more information about D.R. Horton, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/DHI\n\nD.R. Horton, Inc. operates as a homebuilding company in East, North, Southeast, South Central, Southwest, and Northwest regions in the United States. It engages in the acquisition and development of land; and construction and sale of residential homes in 125 markets across 36 states under the names of D.R. Horton. The company constructs and sells single-family detached homes; and attached homes, such as townhomes, duplexes, and triplexes. It provides mortgage financing services; and title insurance policies, and examination and closing services, as well as engages in the residential lot development business. In addition, the company develops, constructs, owns, leases, and sells multi-family and single-family rental properties; and owns non-residential real estate, including ranch land and improvements. It primarily serves homebuyers. D.R. Horton, Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Arlington, Texas.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"DHI\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of DHI. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-08-18, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API.", "fine_print": "Stock splits and reverse splits will be accounted for in resolving this question. 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Horton, Inc. is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is DHI. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:20) is 165.62. You can find more information about D.R. Horton, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/DHI\n\nD.R. Horton, Inc. operates as a homebuilding company in East, North, Southeast, South Central, Southwest, and Northwest regions in the United States. It engages in the acquisition and development of land; and construction and sale of residential homes in 125 markets across 36 states under the names of D.R. Horton. The company constructs and sells single-family detached homes; and attached homes, such as townhomes, duplexes, and triplexes. It provides mortgage financing services; and title insurance policies, and examination and closing services, as well as engages in the residential lot development business. In addition, the company develops, constructs, owns, leases, and sells multi-family and single-family rental properties; and owns non-residential real estate, including ranch land and improvements. It primarily serves homebuyers. D.R. Horton, Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Arlington, Texas.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"DHI\"}}`" }, { "id": 39191, "title": "Will CI's market close price on 2025-08-29 be higher than its market close price on 2025-08-27?", "short_title": "CI's close price rises?", "url_title": "CI's close price rises?", "slug": "cis-close-price-rises", "author_id": 276265, "author_username": "AutoQuestionsBot", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:21.709130Z", "published_at": "2025-08-27T10:01:21Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:28:52.851238Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:22.135921Z", "comment_count": 1, "status": "resolved", "resolved": true, "actual_close_time": "2025-08-27T11:31:21Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-08-27T11:31:21Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-08-29T05:51:47Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-08-30T20:57:35Z", "open_time": "2025-08-27T10:01:21Z", "nr_forecasters": 49, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32822, "type": "question_series", "name": "Warmup MiniBench - 2025-08-18", "slug": "minibench-2025-08-18", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "0.00", "start_date": "2025-08-18T04:00:00Z", "close_date": "2025-08-31T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-08-28T23:40:48Z", "html_metadata_json": { "description": "MiniBench Tournament is a 2-week reoccurring bot-only competition where bot-makers attempt to push AI to its limits in predicting future events in order to benchmark AI capabilities." }, "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-08-17T23:44:51.434087Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-28T20:43:14.658072Z", "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "bots_only" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32822, "type": "question_series", "name": "Warmup MiniBench - 2025-08-18", "slug": "minibench-2025-08-18", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "0.00", "start_date": "2025-08-18T04:00:00Z", "close_date": "2025-08-31T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-08-28T23:40:48Z", "html_metadata_json": { "description": "MiniBench Tournament is a 2-week reoccurring bot-only competition where bot-makers attempt to push AI to its limits in predicting future events in order to benchmark AI capabilities." }, "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-08-17T23:44:51.434087Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-28T20:43:14.658072Z", "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "bots_only" } }, "question": { "id": 38533, "title": "Will CI's market close price on 2025-08-29 be higher than its market close price on 2025-08-27?", "created_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:21.709545Z", "open_time": "2025-08-27T10:01:21Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-08-27T11:31:21Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-08-27T11:31:21Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-08-29T05:51:47Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-08-30T20:57:35Z", "resolution_set_time": "2025-08-30T21:11:38.095970Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-08-27T11:31:21Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-08-27T11:31:21Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "resolved", "possibilities": null, "resolution": "no", "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "spot_peer", "default_aggregation_method": "unweighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "The Cigna Group is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is CI. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:19) is 296.86. You can find more information about The Cigna Group at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CI\n\nThe Cigna Group, together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance and related products and services in the United States. Its Evernorth Health Services segment provides a range of coordinated and point solution health services, including pharmacy benefits, home delivery pharmacy, specialty pharmacy, distribution, and care delivery and management solutions to health plans, employers, government organizations, and health care providers. The company's Cigna Healthcare segment offers medical, pharmacy, behavioral health, dental, and other products and services for insured and self-insured customers; Medicare Advantage, Medicare Supplement, and Medicare Part D plans for seniors, as well as individual health insurance plans; and health care coverage in its international markets, as well as health care benefits for mobile individuals and employees of multinational organizations. In addition, it offers permanent insurance contracts sold to corporations to provide coverage on the lives of certain employees for financing employer-paid future benefit obligations and stop loss insurance. The company distributes its products and services through insurance brokers and consultants; directly to employers, unions and other groups, or individuals; and private and public exchanges. The company was formerly known as Cigna Corporation and changed its name to The Cigna Group in February 2023. The company was founded in 1792 and is headquartered in Bloomfield, Connecticut.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"CI\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of CI. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-08-27, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API.", "fine_print": "Stock splits and reverse splits will be accounted for in resolving this question. 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It's ticker is CI. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:19) is 296.86. You can find more information about The Cigna Group at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CI\n\nThe Cigna Group, together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance and related products and services in the United States. Its Evernorth Health Services segment provides a range of coordinated and point solution health services, including pharmacy benefits, home delivery pharmacy, specialty pharmacy, distribution, and care delivery and management solutions to health plans, employers, government organizations, and health care providers. The company's Cigna Healthcare segment offers medical, pharmacy, behavioral health, dental, and other products and services for insured and self-insured customers; Medicare Advantage, Medicare Supplement, and Medicare Part D plans for seniors, as well as individual health insurance plans; and health care coverage in its international markets, as well as health care benefits for mobile individuals and employees of multinational organizations. In addition, it offers permanent insurance contracts sold to corporations to provide coverage on the lives of certain employees for financing employer-paid future benefit obligations and stop loss insurance. The company distributes its products and services through insurance brokers and consultants; directly to employers, unions and other groups, or individuals; and private and public exchanges. The company was formerly known as Cigna Corporation and changed its name to The Cigna Group in February 2023. The company was founded in 1792 and is headquartered in Bloomfield, Connecticut.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"CI\"}}`" }, { "id": 39190, "title": "Will BALL's market close price on 2025-08-28 be higher than its market close price on 2025-08-18?", "short_title": "BALL's close price rises?", "url_title": "BALL's close price rises?", "slug": "balls-close-price-rises", "author_id": 276265, "author_username": "AutoQuestionsBot", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:20.901881Z", "published_at": "2025-08-18T18:38:03Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:28:59.563843Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:21.363123Z", "comment_count": 1, "status": "resolved", "resolved": true, "actual_close_time": "2025-08-18T20:08:03Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-08-18T20:08:03Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-08-28T07:42:50Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-08-30T20:57:35Z", "open_time": "2025-08-18T18:38:03Z", "nr_forecasters": 48, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32822, "type": "question_series", "name": "Warmup MiniBench - 2025-08-18", "slug": "minibench-2025-08-18", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "0.00", "start_date": "2025-08-18T04:00:00Z", "close_date": "2025-08-31T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-08-28T23:40:48Z", "html_metadata_json": { "description": "MiniBench Tournament is a 2-week reoccurring bot-only competition where bot-makers attempt to push AI to its limits in predicting future events in order to benchmark AI capabilities." }, "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-08-17T23:44:51.434087Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-28T20:43:14.658072Z", "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "bots_only" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32822, "type": "question_series", "name": "Warmup MiniBench - 2025-08-18", "slug": "minibench-2025-08-18", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "0.00", "start_date": "2025-08-18T04:00:00Z", "close_date": "2025-08-31T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-08-28T23:40:48Z", "html_metadata_json": { "description": "MiniBench Tournament is a 2-week reoccurring bot-only competition where bot-makers attempt to push AI to its limits in predicting future events in order to benchmark AI capabilities." }, "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-08-17T23:44:51.434087Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-28T20:43:14.658072Z", "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "bots_only" } }, "question": { "id": 38532, "title": "Will BALL's market close price on 2025-08-28 be higher than its market close price on 2025-08-18?", "created_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:20.902337Z", "open_time": "2025-08-18T18:38:03Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-08-18T20:08:03Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-08-18T20:08:03Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-08-28T07:42:50Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-08-30T20:57:35Z", "resolution_set_time": "2025-08-30T21:11:38.950115Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-08-18T20:08:03Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-08-18T20:08:03Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "resolved", "possibilities": null, "resolution": "no", "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "spot_peer", "default_aggregation_method": "unweighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "Ball Corporation is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is BALL. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:17) is 53.85. You can find more information about Ball Corporation at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BALL\n\nBall Corporation supplies aluminum packaging products for the beverage, personal care, and household products industries in the United States, Brazil, and internationally. The company manufactures and sells aluminum beverage containers to fillers of carbonated soft drinks, beer, energy drinks, and other beverages. It manufactures and sells extruded aluminum aerosol containers, recloseable aluminum bottles, aluminum cups, and aluminum slugs. Ball Corporation was founded in 1880 and is headquartered in Westminster, Colorado.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"BALL\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of BALL. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-08-18, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. 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It's ticker is BALL. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:17) is 53.85. You can find more information about Ball Corporation at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BALL\n\nBall Corporation supplies aluminum packaging products for the beverage, personal care, and household products industries in the United States, Brazil, and internationally. The company manufactures and sells aluminum beverage containers to fillers of carbonated soft drinks, beer, energy drinks, and other beverages. It manufactures and sells extruded aluminum aerosol containers, recloseable aluminum bottles, aluminum cups, and aluminum slugs. Ball Corporation was founded in 1880 and is headquartered in Westminster, Colorado.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"BALL\"}}`" }, { "id": 39189, "title": "Will DG's market close price on 2025-08-21 be higher than its market close price on 2025-08-20?", "short_title": "DG's close price rises?", "url_title": "DG's close price rises?", "slug": "dgs-close-price-rises", "author_id": 276265, "author_username": "AutoQuestionsBot", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:20.040149Z", "published_at": "2025-08-20T18:53:52Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:29:05.697277Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:20.471362Z", "comment_count": 1, "status": "resolved", "resolved": true, "actual_close_time": "2025-08-20T20:23:52Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-08-20T20:23:52Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-08-21T00:07:02Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-08-30T20:57:36Z", "open_time": "2025-08-20T18:53:52Z", "nr_forecasters": 49, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32822, "type": "question_series", "name": "Warmup MiniBench - 2025-08-18", "slug": "minibench-2025-08-18", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "0.00", "start_date": "2025-08-18T04:00:00Z", "close_date": "2025-08-31T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-08-28T23:40:48Z", "html_metadata_json": { "description": "MiniBench Tournament is a 2-week reoccurring bot-only competition where bot-makers attempt to push AI to its limits in predicting future events in order to benchmark AI capabilities." }, "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-08-17T23:44:51.434087Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-28T20:43:14.658072Z", "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "bots_only" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32822, "type": "question_series", "name": "Warmup MiniBench - 2025-08-18", "slug": "minibench-2025-08-18", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "0.00", "start_date": "2025-08-18T04:00:00Z", "close_date": "2025-08-31T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-08-28T23:40:48Z", "html_metadata_json": { "description": "MiniBench Tournament is a 2-week reoccurring bot-only competition where bot-makers attempt to push AI to its limits in predicting future events in order to benchmark AI capabilities." }, "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-08-17T23:44:51.434087Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-28T20:43:14.658072Z", "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "bots_only" } }, "question": { "id": 38531, "title": "Will DG's market close price on 2025-08-21 be higher than its market close price on 2025-08-20?", "created_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:20.040549Z", "open_time": "2025-08-20T18:53:52Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-08-20T20:23:52Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-08-20T20:23:52Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-08-21T00:07:02Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-08-30T20:57:36Z", "resolution_set_time": "2025-08-30T21:11:40.059434Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-08-20T20:23:52Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-08-20T20:23:52Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "resolved", "possibilities": null, "resolution": "no", "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "spot_peer", "default_aggregation_method": "unweighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "Dollar General Corporation is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is DG. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:15) is 112.77. You can find more information about Dollar General Corporation at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/DG\n\nDollar General Corporation, a discount retailer, provides various merchandise products in the southern, southwestern, midwestern, and eastern United States. The company offers consumable products, including paper towels, bath tissues, paper dinnerware, trash and storage bags, disinfectants, and laundry products; packaged food, such as cereals, pasta, canned soups, canned meats, fruits and vegetables, condiments, spices, sugar, and flour; and perishables, including milk, eggs, bread, refrigerated and frozen food, beer, wine, and produce; candy, cookies, crackers, salty snacks, and carbonated beverages; over-the-counter medicines and personal care products including soap, body wash, shampoo, cosmetics, dental hygiene and foot care products; pet supplies and pet food; and tobacco products. It also provides seasonal products comprising holiday items, toys, batteries, small electronics, greeting cards, stationery, prepaid phones and accessories, gardening supplies, hardware, automotive, and home office supplies; home products include kitchen supplies, cookware, small appliances, light bulbs, storage containers, frames, candles, craft supplies and kitchen, and bed and bath soft goods; and apparel products for infants, toddlers, girls, boys, women and men, as well as socks, underwear, disposable diapers, shoes and accessories. The company was formerly known as J.L. Turner & Son, Inc. and changed its name to Dollar General Corporation in 1968. Dollar General Corporation was founded in 1939 and is based in Goodlettsville, Tennessee.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"DG\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of DG. 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It's ticker is DG. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:15) is 112.77. You can find more information about Dollar General Corporation at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/DG\n\nDollar General Corporation, a discount retailer, provides various merchandise products in the southern, southwestern, midwestern, and eastern United States. The company offers consumable products, including paper towels, bath tissues, paper dinnerware, trash and storage bags, disinfectants, and laundry products; packaged food, such as cereals, pasta, canned soups, canned meats, fruits and vegetables, condiments, spices, sugar, and flour; and perishables, including milk, eggs, bread, refrigerated and frozen food, beer, wine, and produce; candy, cookies, crackers, salty snacks, and carbonated beverages; over-the-counter medicines and personal care products including soap, body wash, shampoo, cosmetics, dental hygiene and foot care products; pet supplies and pet food; and tobacco products. It also provides seasonal products comprising holiday items, toys, batteries, small electronics, greeting cards, stationery, prepaid phones and accessories, gardening supplies, hardware, automotive, and home office supplies; home products include kitchen supplies, cookware, small appliances, light bulbs, storage containers, frames, candles, craft supplies and kitchen, and bed and bath soft goods; and apparel products for infants, toddlers, girls, boys, women and men, as well as socks, underwear, disposable diapers, shoes and accessories. The company was formerly known as J.L. Turner & Son, Inc. and changed its name to Dollar General Corporation in 1968. Dollar General Corporation was founded in 1939 and is based in Goodlettsville, Tennessee.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"DG\"}}`" }, { "id": 39188, "title": "Will MLM's market close price on 2025-08-30 be higher than its market close price on 2025-08-20?", "short_title": "MLM's close price rises?", "url_title": "MLM's close price rises?", "slug": "mlms-close-price-rises", "author_id": 276265, "author_username": "AutoQuestionsBot", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:19.192099Z", "published_at": "2025-08-20T18:17:45Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:29:08.792230Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:19.597893Z", "comment_count": 1, "status": "resolved", "resolved": true, "actual_close_time": "2025-08-20T19:47:45Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-08-20T19:47:45Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-08-30T03:39:02Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-08-30T20:57:36Z", "open_time": "2025-08-20T18:17:45Z", "nr_forecasters": 49, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32822, "type": "question_series", "name": "Warmup MiniBench - 2025-08-18", "slug": "minibench-2025-08-18", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "0.00", "start_date": "2025-08-18T04:00:00Z", "close_date": "2025-08-31T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-08-28T23:40:48Z", "html_metadata_json": { "description": "MiniBench Tournament is a 2-week reoccurring bot-only competition where bot-makers attempt to push AI to its limits in predicting future events in order to benchmark AI capabilities." }, "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-08-17T23:44:51.434087Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-28T20:43:14.658072Z", "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "bots_only" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32822, "type": "question_series", "name": "Warmup MiniBench - 2025-08-18", "slug": "minibench-2025-08-18", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "0.00", "start_date": "2025-08-18T04:00:00Z", "close_date": "2025-08-31T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-08-28T23:40:48Z", "html_metadata_json": { "description": "MiniBench Tournament is a 2-week reoccurring bot-only competition where bot-makers attempt to push AI to its limits in predicting future events in order to benchmark AI capabilities." }, "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-08-17T23:44:51.434087Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-28T20:43:14.658072Z", "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "bots_only" } }, "question": { "id": 38530, "title": "Will MLM's market close price on 2025-08-30 be higher than its market close price on 2025-08-20?", "created_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:19.192512Z", "open_time": "2025-08-20T18:17:45Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-08-20T19:47:45Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-08-20T19:47:45Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-08-30T03:39:02Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-08-30T20:57:36Z", "resolution_set_time": "2025-08-30T21:11:40.974277Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-08-20T19:47:45Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-08-20T19:47:45Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "resolved", "possibilities": null, "resolution": "yes", "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "spot_peer", "default_aggregation_method": "unweighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is MLM. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:14) is 609.58. You can find more information about Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MLM\n\nMartin Marietta Materials, Inc., a natural resource-based building materials company, supplies aggregates and heavy-side building materials to the construction industry in the United States and internationally. It offers crushed stone, sand, and gravel products; ready mixed concrete and asphalt; paving products and services; and Portland and specialty cement for use in the infrastructure projects, and nonresidential and residential construction markets, as well as in the railroad, agricultural, utility, and environmental industries. The company also produces magnesia-based chemicals products, dolomitic lime primarily to customers for steel production and soil stabilization. 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It's ticker is MLM. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:14) is 609.58. You can find more information about Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MLM\n\nMartin Marietta Materials, Inc., a natural resource-based building materials company, supplies aggregates and heavy-side building materials to the construction industry in the United States and internationally. It offers crushed stone, sand, and gravel products; ready mixed concrete and asphalt; paving products and services; and Portland and specialty cement for use in the infrastructure projects, and nonresidential and residential construction markets, as well as in the railroad, agricultural, utility, and environmental industries. The company also produces magnesia-based chemicals products, dolomitic lime primarily to customers for steel production and soil stabilization. Its chemical products are used in flame retardants, wastewater treatment, pulp and paper production, and other environmental applications. The company was founded in 1939 and is headquartered in Raleigh, North Carolina.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"MLM\"}}`" }, { "id": 39187, "title": "Will BEN's market close price on 2025-08-27 be higher than its market close price on 2025-08-18?", "short_title": "BEN's close price rises?", "url_title": "BEN's close price rises?", "slug": "bens-close-price-rises", "author_id": 276265, "author_username": "AutoQuestionsBot", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:18.314116Z", "published_at": "2025-08-18T18:52:28Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:29:26.645397Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:18.752312Z", "comment_count": 1, "status": "resolved", "resolved": true, "actual_close_time": "2025-08-18T20:22:28Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-08-18T20:22:28Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-08-27T05:02:55Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-08-30T20:57:36Z", "open_time": "2025-08-18T18:52:28Z", "nr_forecasters": 48, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32822, "type": "question_series", "name": "Warmup MiniBench - 2025-08-18", "slug": "minibench-2025-08-18", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "0.00", "start_date": "2025-08-18T04:00:00Z", "close_date": "2025-08-31T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-08-28T23:40:48Z", "html_metadata_json": { "description": "MiniBench Tournament is a 2-week reoccurring bot-only competition where bot-makers attempt to push AI to its limits in predicting future events in order to benchmark AI capabilities." }, "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-08-17T23:44:51.434087Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-28T20:43:14.658072Z", "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "bots_only" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32822, "type": "question_series", "name": "Warmup MiniBench - 2025-08-18", "slug": "minibench-2025-08-18", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "0.00", "start_date": "2025-08-18T04:00:00Z", "close_date": "2025-08-31T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-08-28T23:40:48Z", "html_metadata_json": { "description": "MiniBench Tournament is a 2-week reoccurring bot-only competition where bot-makers attempt to push AI to its limits in predicting future events in order to benchmark AI capabilities." }, "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-08-17T23:44:51.434087Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-28T20:43:14.658072Z", "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "bots_only" } }, "question": { "id": 38529, "title": "Will BEN's market close price on 2025-08-27 be higher than its market close price on 2025-08-18?", "created_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:18.314532Z", "open_time": "2025-08-18T18:52:28Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-08-18T20:22:28Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-08-18T20:22:28Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-08-27T05:02:55Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-08-30T20:57:36Z", "resolution_set_time": "2025-08-30T21:11:41.844882Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-08-18T20:22:28Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-08-18T20:22:28Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "resolved", "possibilities": null, "resolution": "yes", "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "spot_peer", "default_aggregation_method": "unweighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "Franklin Resources, Inc. is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is BEN. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:13) is 25.33. You can find more information about Franklin Resources, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BEN\n\nFranklin Resources, Inc. is a publicly owned asset management holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the firm provides its services to individuals, institutions, pension plans, trusts, and partnerships. It launches equity, fixed income, balanced, and multi-asset mutual funds through its subsidiaries. The firm invests in the public equity, fixed income, and alternative markets. 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It's ticker is BEN. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:13) is 25.33. You can find more information about Franklin Resources, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BEN\n\nFranklin Resources, Inc. is a publicly owned asset management holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the firm provides its services to individuals, institutions, pension plans, trusts, and partnerships. It launches equity, fixed income, balanced, and multi-asset mutual funds through its subsidiaries. The firm invests in the public equity, fixed income, and alternative markets. 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It's ticker is EBAY. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:11) is 100.7. You can find more information about eBay Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/EBAY\n\neBay Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates marketplace platforms that connect buyers and sellers in the United States, the United Kingdom, China, Germany, and internationally. The company's marketplace platform includes its online marketplace at ebay.com, off-platform businesses, and the eBay suite of mobile apps. Its platforms enable users to list, sell, buy, and pay various products. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"EBAY\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of EBAY. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-08-19, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. 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It's ticker is EBAY. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:11) is 100.7. You can find more information about eBay Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/EBAY\n\neBay Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates marketplace platforms that connect buyers and sellers in the United States, the United Kingdom, China, Germany, and internationally. The company's marketplace platform includes its online marketplace at ebay.com, off-platform businesses, and the eBay suite of mobile apps. Its platforms enable users to list, sell, buy, and pay various products. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"EBAY\"}}`" }, { "id": 39185, "title": "Will EXC's market close price on 2025-08-20 be higher than its market close price on 2025-08-18?", "short_title": "EXC's close price rises?", "url_title": "EXC's close price rises?", "slug": "excs-close-price-rises", "author_id": 276265, "author_username": "AutoQuestionsBot", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:16.472999Z", "published_at": "2025-08-18T15:43:42Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:29:08.140322Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:16.882658Z", "comment_count": 1, "status": "resolved", "resolved": true, "actual_close_time": "2025-08-18T17:13:42Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-08-18T17:13:42Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-08-20T06:30:01Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-08-30T20:57:37Z", "open_time": "2025-08-18T15:43:42Z", "nr_forecasters": 47, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32822, "type": "question_series", "name": "Warmup MiniBench - 2025-08-18", "slug": "minibench-2025-08-18", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "0.00", "start_date": "2025-08-18T04:00:00Z", "close_date": "2025-08-31T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-08-28T23:40:48Z", "html_metadata_json": { "description": "MiniBench Tournament is a 2-week reoccurring bot-only competition where bot-makers attempt to push AI to its limits in predicting future events in order to benchmark AI capabilities." }, "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-08-17T23:44:51.434087Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-28T20:43:14.658072Z", "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "bots_only" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32822, "type": "question_series", "name": "Warmup MiniBench - 2025-08-18", "slug": "minibench-2025-08-18", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "0.00", "start_date": "2025-08-18T04:00:00Z", "close_date": "2025-08-31T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-08-28T23:40:48Z", "html_metadata_json": { "description": "MiniBench Tournament is a 2-week reoccurring bot-only competition where bot-makers attempt to push AI to its limits in predicting future events in order to benchmark AI capabilities." }, "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-08-17T23:44:51.434087Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-28T20:43:14.658072Z", "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "bots_only" } }, "question": { "id": 38527, "title": "Will EXC's market close price on 2025-08-20 be higher than its market close price on 2025-08-18?", "created_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:16.473414Z", "open_time": "2025-08-18T15:43:42Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-08-18T17:13:42Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-08-18T17:13:42Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-08-20T06:30:01Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-08-30T20:57:37Z", "resolution_set_time": "2025-08-30T21:11:44.094709Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-08-18T17:13:42Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-08-18T17:13:42Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "resolved", "possibilities": null, "resolution": "yes", "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "spot_peer", "default_aggregation_method": "unweighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "Exelon Corporation is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is EXC. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:09) is 44.58. You can find more information about Exelon Corporation at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/EXC\n\nExelon Corporation, a utility services holding company, engages in the energy distribution and transmission businesses. The company is involved in the purchase and regulated retail sale of electricity and natural gas; transmission and distribution of electricity; and distribution of natural gas to retail customers. It serves residential, commercial, industrial, governmental, public authorities and electric railroads, and transportation customers. Exelon Corporation was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"EXC\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of EXC. 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It's ticker is EXC. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:09) is 44.58. You can find more information about Exelon Corporation at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/EXC\n\nExelon Corporation, a utility services holding company, engages in the energy distribution and transmission businesses. The company is involved in the purchase and regulated retail sale of electricity and natural gas; transmission and distribution of electricity; and distribution of natural gas to retail customers. It serves residential, commercial, industrial, governmental, public authorities and electric railroads, and transportation customers. Exelon Corporation was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"EXC\"}}`" }, { "id": 39184, "title": "Will REG's market close price on 2025-08-27 be higher than its market close price on 2025-08-19?", "short_title": "REG's close price rises?", "url_title": "REG's close price rises?", "slug": "regs-close-price-rises", "author_id": 276265, "author_username": "AutoQuestionsBot", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:15.655275Z", "published_at": "2025-08-19T03:23:36Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:29:25.529222Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:16.085082Z", "comment_count": 1, "status": "resolved", "resolved": true, "actual_close_time": "2025-08-19T04:53:36Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-08-19T04:53:36Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-08-27T11:56:59Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-08-30T20:57:38Z", "open_time": "2025-08-19T03:23:36Z", "nr_forecasters": 48, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32822, "type": "question_series", "name": "Warmup MiniBench - 2025-08-18", "slug": "minibench-2025-08-18", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "0.00", "start_date": "2025-08-18T04:00:00Z", "close_date": "2025-08-31T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-08-28T23:40:48Z", "html_metadata_json": { "description": "MiniBench Tournament is a 2-week reoccurring bot-only competition where bot-makers attempt to push AI to its limits in predicting future events in order to benchmark AI capabilities." }, "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-08-17T23:44:51.434087Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-28T20:43:14.658072Z", "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "bots_only" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32822, "type": "question_series", "name": "Warmup MiniBench - 2025-08-18", "slug": "minibench-2025-08-18", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "0.00", "start_date": "2025-08-18T04:00:00Z", "close_date": "2025-08-31T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-08-28T23:40:48Z", "html_metadata_json": { "description": "MiniBench Tournament is a 2-week reoccurring bot-only competition where bot-makers attempt to push AI to its limits in predicting future events in order to benchmark AI capabilities." }, "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-08-17T23:44:51.434087Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-28T20:43:14.658072Z", "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "bots_only" } }, "question": { "id": 38526, "title": "Will REG's market close price on 2025-08-27 be higher than its market close price on 2025-08-19?", "created_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:15.655718Z", "open_time": "2025-08-19T03:23:36Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-08-19T04:53:36Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-08-19T04:53:36Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-08-27T11:56:59Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-08-30T20:57:38Z", "resolution_set_time": "2025-08-30T21:11:45.071199Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-08-19T04:53:36Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-08-19T04:53:36Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "resolved", "possibilities": null, "resolution": "yes", "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "spot_peer", "default_aggregation_method": "unweighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "Regency Centers Corporation is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is REG. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:08) is 71.02. You can find more information about Regency Centers Corporation at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/REG\n\nRegency Centers is a preeminent national owner, operator, and developer of shopping centers located in suburban trade areas with compelling demographics. Our portfolio includes thriving properties merchandised with highly productive grocers, restaurants, service providers, and best-in-class retailers that connect to their neighborhoods, communities, and customers. Operating as a fully integrated real estate company, Regency Centers is a qualified real estate investment trust (REIT) that is self-administered, self-managed, and an S&P 500 Index member.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"REG\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of REG. 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It's ticker is IPG. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:05) is 26.09. You can find more information about The Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/IPG\n\nThe Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc. provides advertising and marketing services worldwide. It operates in three segments: Media, Data & Engagement Solutions, Integrated Advertising & Creativity Led Solutions, and Specialized Communications & Experiential Solutions. The Media, Data & Engagement Solutions segment provides media and communications services, digital services and products, advertising and marketing technology, e-commerce services, data management and analytics, strategic consulting, and digital brand experience under the IPG Mediabrands, UM, Initiative, Kinesso, Acxiom, Huge, MRM, and R/GA brand names. 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It's ticker is IPG. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:05) is 26.09. You can find more information about The Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/IPG\n\nThe Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc. provides advertising and marketing services worldwide. It operates in three segments: Media, Data & Engagement Solutions, Integrated Advertising & Creativity Led Solutions, and Specialized Communications & Experiential Solutions. The Media, Data & Engagement Solutions segment provides media and communications services, digital services and products, advertising and marketing technology, e-commerce services, data management and analytics, strategic consulting, and digital brand experience under the IPG Mediabrands, UM, Initiative, Kinesso, Acxiom, Huge, MRM, and R/GA brand names. The Integrated Advertising & Creativity Led Solutions segment offers advertising, corporate, and brand identity services; and strategic consulting under FCB, IPG Health, McCann Worldgroup, and MullenLowe Group brands. The Specialized Communications & Experiential Solutions segment provides public relations and other specialized communications services, live events, sports and entertainment marketing, and strategic consulting under IPG DXTRA Health, The Weber Shandwick Collective, Golin, Jack Morton, Momentum, and Octagon brand names. The company was formerly known as McCann-Erickson Incorporated and changed its name to The Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc. in January 1961. 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It's ticker is WMB. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:03) is 57.46. You can find more information about The Williams Companies, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/WMB\n\nThe Williams Companies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy infrastructure company primarily in the United States. It operates through Transmission & Gulf of America, Northeast G&P, West, and Gas & NGL Marketing Services segments. The Transmission & Gulf of America segment comprises Transco, NWP, and MountainWest interstate natural gas pipelines, and their related natural gas storage facilities, as well as natural gas gathering and processing; and crude oil production handling and transportation assets in the Gulf Coast region. The Northeast G&P segment engages in the midstream gathering, processing, and fractionation activities in the Marcellus Shale region primarily in Pennsylvania and New York, and the Utica Shale region of eastern Ohio. The West segment consists of gas gathering, processing, and treating operations in the Rocky Mountain region of Colorado and Wyoming, the Barnett Shale region of north-central Texas, the Eagle Ford Shale region of South Texas, the Haynesville Shale region of northwest Louisiana, the Mid-Continent region that includes the Anadarko and Permian basins, and the DJ Basin of Colorado; and operates natural gas liquid (NGL) fractionation and storage assets in central Kansas near Conway. The Gas & NGL Marketing Services segment provides wholesale marketing, trading, storage, and transportation of natural gas for natural gas utilities, municipalities, power generators, and producers; asset management services; and transports and markets NGLs. The company owns and operates approximately 33,000 miles of pipelines. 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It's ticker is WMB. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:03) is 57.46. You can find more information about The Williams Companies, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/WMB\n\nThe Williams Companies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy infrastructure company primarily in the United States. It operates through Transmission & Gulf of America, Northeast G&P, West, and Gas & NGL Marketing Services segments. The Transmission & Gulf of America segment comprises Transco, NWP, and MountainWest interstate natural gas pipelines, and their related natural gas storage facilities, as well as natural gas gathering and processing; and crude oil production handling and transportation assets in the Gulf Coast region. The Northeast G&P segment engages in the midstream gathering, processing, and fractionation activities in the Marcellus Shale region primarily in Pennsylvania and New York, and the Utica Shale region of eastern Ohio. The West segment consists of gas gathering, processing, and treating operations in the Rocky Mountain region of Colorado and Wyoming, the Barnett Shale region of north-central Texas, the Eagle Ford Shale region of South Texas, the Haynesville Shale region of northwest Louisiana, the Mid-Continent region that includes the Anadarko and Permian basins, and the DJ Basin of Colorado; and operates natural gas liquid (NGL) fractionation and storage assets in central Kansas near Conway. The Gas & NGL Marketing Services segment provides wholesale marketing, trading, storage, and transportation of natural gas for natural gas utilities, municipalities, power generators, and producers; asset management services; and transports and markets NGLs. The company owns and operates approximately 33,000 miles of pipelines. 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It's ticker is ORCL. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:01) is 248.28. You can find more information about Oracle Corporation at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/ORCL\n\nOracle Corporation offers products and services that address enterprise information technology environments worldwide. Its Oracle cloud software as a service offering include various cloud software applications, including Oracle Fusion cloud enterprise resource planning ERP, Oracle Fusion cloud enterprise performance management EPM, Oracle Fusion cloud supply chain and manufacturing management SCM, Oracle Fusion cloud human capital management HCM, and NetSuite applications suite, Oracle Health applications, as well as Oracle Fusion Sales, Service, and Marketing. The company also offers cloud-based industry solutions for various industries; Oracle cloud license and on-premise license; and Oracle license support services. In addition, it provides cloud and license business' infrastructure technologies, such as the Oracle Database and MySQL Database; Java, a software development language; and middleware, including development tools and others. The company's cloud and license business' infrastructure technologies also comprise cloud-based compute, storage, and networking capabilities; and Oracle autonomous database, as well as AI, Internet-of-Things, machine learning, digital assistant, and blockchain. Further, it provides hardware products and other hardware-related software offerings, including Oracle engineered systems, enterprise servers, storage solutions, industry-specific hardware, virtualization software, operating systems, management software, and related hardware support services, and consulting and advanced customer services. 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It's ticker is ORCL. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:01) is 248.28. You can find more information about Oracle Corporation at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/ORCL\n\nOracle Corporation offers products and services that address enterprise information technology environments worldwide. Its Oracle cloud software as a service offering include various cloud software applications, including Oracle Fusion cloud enterprise resource planning ERP, Oracle Fusion cloud enterprise performance management EPM, Oracle Fusion cloud supply chain and manufacturing management SCM, Oracle Fusion cloud human capital management HCM, and NetSuite applications suite, Oracle Health applications, as well as Oracle Fusion Sales, Service, and Marketing. The company also offers cloud-based industry solutions for various industries; Oracle cloud license and on-premise license; and Oracle license support services. In addition, it provides cloud and license business' infrastructure technologies, such as the Oracle Database and MySQL Database; Java, a software development language; and middleware, including development tools and others. The company's cloud and license business' infrastructure technologies also comprise cloud-based compute, storage, and networking capabilities; and Oracle autonomous database, as well as AI, Internet-of-Things, machine learning, digital assistant, and blockchain. Further, it provides hardware products and other hardware-related software offerings, including Oracle engineered systems, enterprise servers, storage solutions, industry-specific hardware, virtualization software, operating systems, management software, and related hardware support services, and consulting and advanced customer services. It markets and sells its cloud, license, hardware, support, and services offerings directly to businesses in various industries, government agencies, and educational institutions, as well as through indirect channels. Oracle Corporation has a strategic alliance with Metron, Inc. 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It's ticker is STLD. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:28:58) is 126.42. You can find more information about Steel Dynamics, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/STLD\n\nSteel Dynamics, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a steel producer and metal recycler in the United States. It operates through four segments: Steel Operations, Metals Recycling Operations, Steel Fabrication Operations, and Aluminum Operations. The Steel Operations segment offers hot rolled, cold rolled, and coated steel products; parallel flange beams and channel sections, large unequal leg angles, and reinforcing steel bars, as well as standard strength carbon, intermediate alloy hardness, and premium grade rail products; engineered special-bar-quality products, merchant-bar-quality products, and other engineered round steel bars; channels, angles, flats, merchant rounds, and reinforcing steel bars; and specialty shapes and light structural steel products. 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The Aluminum Operations segment offers recycled aluminum flat rolled products. The company also exports its products. Steel Dynamics, Inc. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Fort Wayne, Indiana.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"STLD\"}}`" }, { "id": 39177, "title": "Will the City of Pensacola stripe or build at least 10 new miles of protected bike lanes or multiuse paths within city limits by December 31, 2027?", "short_title": "10 Miles of Bike Infrastructure by 2027?", "url_title": "10 Miles of Bike Infrastructure by 2027?", "slug": "10-miles-of-bike-infrastructure-by-2027", "author_id": 103275, "author_username": "christian", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-08-17T20:45:06.899333Z", "published_at": "2025-08-17T20:45:04Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:29:06.677953Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-08-18T03:03:42.609478Z", "comment_count": 0, "status": "open", "resolved": false, "actual_close_time": null, "scheduled_close_time": "2027-12-15T04:59:00Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2028-01-31T04:59:00Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "open_time": "2025-09-01T03:02:00Z", "nr_forecasters": 0, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32817, "type": "question_series", "name": "City of Pensacola Forecasting Contest", "slug": "pcola", "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/Beach-Ball-Sunset.jpg", "prize_pool": null, "start_date": "2025-08-12T06:21:17Z", "close_date": "2026-02-28T06:21:44Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2026-02-28T06:21:06Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-08-12T06:23:04.368264Z", "edited_at": "2025-08-18T17:07:22.113528Z", "score_type": "peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "exclude_and_hide" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32817, "type": "question_series", "name": "City of Pensacola Forecasting Contest", "slug": "pcola", "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/Beach-Ball-Sunset.jpg", "prize_pool": null, "start_date": "2025-08-12T06:21:17Z", "close_date": "2026-02-28T06:21:44Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2026-02-28T06:21:06Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-08-12T06:23:04.368264Z", "edited_at": "2025-08-18T17:07:22.113528Z", "score_type": "peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "exclude_and_hide" } }, "question": { "id": 38519, "title": "Will the City of Pensacola stripe or build at least 10 new miles of protected bike lanes or multiuse paths within city limits by December 31, 2027?", "created_at": "2025-08-17T20:45:06.899778Z", "open_time": "2025-09-01T03:02:00Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-08-31T20:47:00Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2027-12-15T04:59:00Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2028-01-31T04:59:00Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "resolution_set_time": null, "scheduled_close_time": "2027-12-15T04:59:00Z", "actual_close_time": "2027-12-15T04:59:00Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "open", "possibilities": null, "resolution": null, "include_bots_in_aggregates": false, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "peer", "default_aggregation_method": "recency_weighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "Pensacola stands at a crossroads in transportation planning. As cities across America embrace multimodal transportation networks, Pensacola has the opportunity to transform its streets to better serve all users - not just cars. The addition of protected bike lanes and multiuse paths represents a critical step toward safer, more equitable, and more sustainable transportation options.\n\n**The Current State of Cycling Infrastructure**\n\nPensacola's existing bike infrastructure is limited and fragmented:\n- Most bike lanes are unprotected \"sharrows\" or painted lanes offering minimal safety\n- Key corridors lack any bike facilities, forcing cyclists into traffic or onto sidewalks\n- The disconnected network discourages cycling for transportation versus recreation\n- Current infrastructure primarily serves recreational riders rather than commuters\n\nThis gap matters because infrastructure drives behavior. Cities that build protected bike networks see cycling rates increase 200-400%, while reducing injuries for all road users.\n\n**Why Protected Infrastructure Matters**\n\nThe distinction between protected and unprotected bike facilities is crucial:\n\n**Protected Bike Lanes** feature physical separation from traffic through:\n- Bollards, planters, or flexible posts\n- Parking-protected lanes (cars park between bikes and traffic)\n- Raised/elevated lanes at sidewalk level\n- Concrete barriers or medians\n\n**Multiuse Paths** provide completely separated facilities:\n- Shared paths for pedestrians and cyclists\n- Greenways and rail-trails\n- Waterfront or park paths with transportation connectivity\n- Wide sidewalks officially designated for shared use\n\nResearch shows protected infrastructure:\n- Reduces cycling injuries by 90% compared to riding in traffic\n- Increases ridership among women, children, and seniors\n- Improves safety for drivers by clarifying road space\n- Boosts retail sales on commercial corridors by 20-40%\n\n**The Policy Momentum**\n\nSeveral factors align to make 2025-2027 a pivotal period:\n\n1. **Complete Streets Movement**: Growing adoption of policies requiring streets to accommodate all users\n\n2. **Federal Funding**: The Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act provides unprecedented funding for bike/pedestrian projects through:\n - Transportation Alternatives Program (TAP)\n - RAISE grants\n - Safe Streets and Roads for All (SS4A)\n - Carbon Reduction Program\n\n3. **State Support**: Florida's Shared-Use Nonmotorized (SUN) Trail program is expanding statewide networks\n\n4. **Climate Goals**: Transportation accounts for ~29% of US emissions; mode shift is essential\n\n5. **Equity Focus**: Federal Justice40 initiative directs 40% of benefits to disadvantaged communities\n\n**Potential Projects and Corridors**\n\nBased on Pensacola's geography and needs, likely candidates for protected infrastructure include:\n\n**High-Priority Corridors**:\n- Main Street/Bayfront Parkway connection to downtown\n- Cervantes Street (major east-west arterial)\n- Davis Highway commercial corridor\n- 9th Avenue to connect neighborhoods\n- University Parkway near UWF campus\n- Palafox Street downtown enhancement\n\n**Network Connections**:\n- Bruce Beach to downtown waterfront\n- Airport Boulevard to Naval Air Station\n- Bayou Texar greenway extension\n- Carpenter Creek Trail expansion\n- Cross-city connection from ferry terminal to UWF\n\n**Quick-Build Opportunities**:\n- Road diets on overbuilt streets\n- Parking-protected lanes downtown\n- Conversion of underused parking lanes\n- Tactical urbanism demonstrations becoming permanent\n\n**The 10-Mile Target**\n\nTen miles represents an ambitious but achievable goal that would:\n- Double or triple existing protected infrastructure\n- Create a connected network core\n- Serve multiple neighborhoods and destinations\n- Demonstrate serious commitment to multimodal transportation\n- Qualify for additional federal/state funding\n\nFor context, peer cities have achieved:\n- St. Petersburg: 20+ miles added 2017-2022\n- Orlando: 15 miles added 2019-2023\n- Gainesville: 12 miles added 2020-2024\n- Tallahassee: 8 miles added 2018-2022\n\n**Implementation Strategies**\n\nCities successfully adding protected infrastructure use multiple approaches:\n\n**Quick-Build Methods** (Lower cost, faster):\n- Striping and flexible posts: $50,000-$150,000/mile\n- Parking reconfiguration: $75,000-$200,000/mile\n- Temporary-to-permanent installations\n- Pilot projects that can be adjusted\n\n**Capital Construction** (Higher cost, permanent):\n- Raised cycle tracks: $500,000-$1,000,000/mile\n- Multiuse paths: $300,000-$800,000/mile\n- Full street reconstruction: $1,000,000-$3,000,000/mile\n- Greenway development: $500,000-$1,500,000/mile\n\n**Measuring Progress**\n\nCities track bike infrastructure through:\n- Annual inventory reports\n- GIS mapping and public dashboards\n- Before/after usage counts\n- Capital project completion reports\n- Grant reporting requirements\n\n**Challenges to Implementation**\n\nSeveral obstacles could slow progress:\n\n1. **Political Opposition**: Business owner concerns about parking; resident resistance to change\n2. **Funding Constraints**: Local match requirements; competing infrastructure needs\n3. **Design Standards**: FDOT requirements on state roads; ADA compliance costs\n4. **Maintenance Commitments**: Ongoing costs for sweeping, restriping, repairs\n5. **Network Gaps**: Railroad crossings; interstate highways; waterways\n\n**Community Benefits**\n\nInvestment in bike infrastructure delivers multiple returns:\n\n**Economic**:\n- Reduced transportation costs for households\n- Increased property values along bike routes\n- Healthcare cost savings from active transportation\n- Tourism and recreation economy growth\n\n**Health & Safety**:\n- Reduced traffic crashes and fatalities\n- Improved air quality\n- Increased physical activity\n- Mental health benefits of active transportation\n\n**Equity**:\n- Transportation access for non-drivers\n- Affordable mobility options\n- Safe routes to schools and jobs\n- Age-friendly community development\n\n**Environmental**:\n- Reduced vehicle emissions\n- Less stormwater runoff\n- Urban heat island mitigation\n- Habitat connectivity in greenways\n\n**Building Public Support**\n\nSuccessful cities build consensus through:\n- Demonstration projects showing benefits\n- Community engagement in design process\n- Business district partnerships\n- Safe Routes to School programs\n- Bike share systems increasing visibility\n- Events like Open Streets and Bike Month\n\n**The Path to 10 Miles**\n\nA realistic timeline might include:\n- 2025: 2-3 miles of quick-build projects downtown\n- 2026: 3-4 miles of neighborhood connectors\n- 2027: 4-5 miles including major corridor transformation\n- Continuous: Incremental additions through development requirements\n\nThis would require an estimated $3-10 million investment, depending on project types - a fraction of typical road widening costs while serving more users.", "resolution_criteria": "Scroll down to the Background section for more on this question and why it's important for our community.\n\nThis question will resolve based on the total new miles of protected bike lanes or multiuse paths striped or built within Pensacola city limits between January 1, 2025 and December 31, 2027.\n\n**What Counts Toward the 10 Miles:**\n\n**Protected Bike Lanes** (must have physical separation from vehicle traffic):\n- Bollard/flex-post protected lanes\n- Parking-protected bike lanes\n- Raised/elevated cycle tracks\n- Barrier-separated bike lanes\n- Two-way protected bike lanes (count actual lane miles, not centerline)\n\n**Multiuse Paths/Trails**:\n- Shared-use paths (8+ feet wide) for bikes and pedestrians\n- Greenways and rail-trails within city limits\n- Sidepaths (8+ feet wide) officially designated for bikes\n- Waterfront or park paths that connect to street network\n\n**Counting Methodology**:\n- Both directions of a two-way street count separately (1 mile of street with bike lanes on both sides = 2 miles)\n- One-way protected bike lanes count their actual length\n- Multiuse paths count once regardless of width\n- Intersection treatments don't count toward mileage\n- Only segments 0.1 mile or longer count\n\n**What Does NOT Count**:\n- Unprotected/conventional bike lanes (paint only)\n- Sharrows or shared lane markings\n- Sidewalks not officially designated for bikes\n- Private property paths not open to public\n- Recreational loops with no transportation function\n- Bike lanes outside Pensacola city limits\n- Temporary or pilot projects not made permanent by Dec 31, 2027\n- Existing facilities (must be NEW miles added after Jan 1, 2025)\n- Planned or funded but not completed facilities\n- Shoulders not officially designated as bike facilities\n\n**\"Striped or Built\" Definition**:\n- Facilities must be physically installed/striped and open for use\n- Must be officially recognized by the City as bike infrastructure\n- Seasonal closures okay if normally open to public\n- Facilities under construction on Dec 31, 2027 don't count\n\n**Baseline Measurement**:\n- Starting baseline is all protected bike lanes and multiuse paths existing as of January 1, 2025\n- The 10 miles must be NET NEW additions (replacements/upgrades of existing facilities don't count)\n\n**Data Sources for Resolution**:\nPrimary sources (in order of preference):\n1. City of Pensacola official bike infrastructure inventory/report\n2. City of Pensacola Public Works or Transportation Department data\n3. TPO (Transportation Planning Organization) bike facility database\n4. City Council reports on infrastructure progress\n5. GIS data from city showing new facilities with completion dates\n\n**Verification Requirements**:\n- Must have official documentation of facility type and mileage\n- Must have evidence of completion date between Jan 1, 2025 - Dec 31, 2027\n- Google Street View or news photos can supplement but not replace official sources\n\n**Edge Cases**:\n- If city limits change, only count facilities within the 2024 boundaries\n- If a facility is partially in city/partially in county, only count the city portion\n- If a facility is removed and replaced, only count if the new facility is longer\n- Facilities completed in late December 2027 count if open by midnight Dec 31\n- If the city merges with Escambia County: Resolves AMBIGUOUS\n- If no official inventory exists, attempt to compile from project records; if impossible: Resolves AMBIGUOUS\n\n**Resolution**:\n- **YES** if ≥10.0 new miles are documented as complete and open by December 31, 2027\n- **NO** if <10.0 new miles are complete and open by December 31, 2027", "fine_print": "", "post_id": 39177, "aggregations": { "recency_weighted": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null } } }, "user_permission": "forecaster", "vote": { "score": 0, "user_vote": null }, "forecasts_count": 0, "key_factors": [], "is_current_content_translated": false, "description": "Pensacola stands at a crossroads in transportation planning. As cities across America embrace multimodal transportation networks, Pensacola has the opportunity to transform its streets to better serve all users - not just cars. The addition of protected bike lanes and multiuse paths represents a critical step toward safer, more equitable, and more sustainable transportation options.\n\n**The Current State of Cycling Infrastructure**\n\nPensacola's existing bike infrastructure is limited and fragmented:\n- Most bike lanes are unprotected \"sharrows\" or painted lanes offering minimal safety\n- Key corridors lack any bike facilities, forcing cyclists into traffic or onto sidewalks\n- The disconnected network discourages cycling for transportation versus recreation\n- Current infrastructure primarily serves recreational riders rather than commuters\n\nThis gap matters because infrastructure drives behavior. Cities that build protected bike networks see cycling rates increase 200-400%, while reducing injuries for all road users.\n\n**Why Protected Infrastructure Matters**\n\nThe distinction between protected and unprotected bike facilities is crucial:\n\n**Protected Bike Lanes** feature physical separation from traffic through:\n- Bollards, planters, or flexible posts\n- Parking-protected lanes (cars park between bikes and traffic)\n- Raised/elevated lanes at sidewalk level\n- Concrete barriers or medians\n\n**Multiuse Paths** provide completely separated facilities:\n- Shared paths for pedestrians and cyclists\n- Greenways and rail-trails\n- Waterfront or park paths with transportation connectivity\n- Wide sidewalks officially designated for shared use\n\nResearch shows protected infrastructure:\n- Reduces cycling injuries by 90% compared to riding in traffic\n- Increases ridership among women, children, and seniors\n- Improves safety for drivers by clarifying road space\n- Boosts retail sales on commercial corridors by 20-40%\n\n**The Policy Momentum**\n\nSeveral factors align to make 2025-2027 a pivotal period:\n\n1. **Complete Streets Movement**: Growing adoption of policies requiring streets to accommodate all users\n\n2. **Federal Funding**: The Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act provides unprecedented funding for bike/pedestrian projects through:\n - Transportation Alternatives Program (TAP)\n - RAISE grants\n - Safe Streets and Roads for All (SS4A)\n - Carbon Reduction Program\n\n3. **State Support**: Florida's Shared-Use Nonmotorized (SUN) Trail program is expanding statewide networks\n\n4. **Climate Goals**: Transportation accounts for ~29% of US emissions; mode shift is essential\n\n5. **Equity Focus**: Federal Justice40 initiative directs 40% of benefits to disadvantaged communities\n\n**Potential Projects and Corridors**\n\nBased on Pensacola's geography and needs, likely candidates for protected infrastructure include:\n\n**High-Priority Corridors**:\n- Main Street/Bayfront Parkway connection to downtown\n- Cervantes Street (major east-west arterial)\n- Davis Highway commercial corridor\n- 9th Avenue to connect neighborhoods\n- University Parkway near UWF campus\n- Palafox Street downtown enhancement\n\n**Network Connections**:\n- Bruce Beach to downtown waterfront\n- Airport Boulevard to Naval Air Station\n- Bayou Texar greenway extension\n- Carpenter Creek Trail expansion\n- Cross-city connection from ferry terminal to UWF\n\n**Quick-Build Opportunities**:\n- Road diets on overbuilt streets\n- Parking-protected lanes downtown\n- Conversion of underused parking lanes\n- Tactical urbanism demonstrations becoming permanent\n\n**The 10-Mile Target**\n\nTen miles represents an ambitious but achievable goal that would:\n- Double or triple existing protected infrastructure\n- Create a connected network core\n- Serve multiple neighborhoods and destinations\n- Demonstrate serious commitment to multimodal transportation\n- Qualify for additional federal/state funding\n\nFor context, peer cities have achieved:\n- St. Petersburg: 20+ miles added 2017-2022\n- Orlando: 15 miles added 2019-2023\n- Gainesville: 12 miles added 2020-2024\n- Tallahassee: 8 miles added 2018-2022\n\n**Implementation Strategies**\n\nCities successfully adding protected infrastructure use multiple approaches:\n\n**Quick-Build Methods** (Lower cost, faster):\n- Striping and flexible posts: $50,000-$150,000/mile\n- Parking reconfiguration: $75,000-$200,000/mile\n- Temporary-to-permanent installations\n- Pilot projects that can be adjusted\n\n**Capital Construction** (Higher cost, permanent):\n- Raised cycle tracks: $500,000-$1,000,000/mile\n- Multiuse paths: $300,000-$800,000/mile\n- Full street reconstruction: $1,000,000-$3,000,000/mile\n- Greenway development: $500,000-$1,500,000/mile\n\n**Measuring Progress**\n\nCities track bike infrastructure through:\n- Annual inventory reports\n- GIS mapping and public dashboards\n- Before/after usage counts\n- Capital project completion reports\n- Grant reporting requirements\n\n**Challenges to Implementation**\n\nSeveral obstacles could slow progress:\n\n1. **Political Opposition**: Business owner concerns about parking; resident resistance to change\n2. **Funding Constraints**: Local match requirements; competing infrastructure needs\n3. **Design Standards**: FDOT requirements on state roads; ADA compliance costs\n4. **Maintenance Commitments**: Ongoing costs for sweeping, restriping, repairs\n5. **Network Gaps**: Railroad crossings; interstate highways; waterways\n\n**Community Benefits**\n\nInvestment in bike infrastructure delivers multiple returns:\n\n**Economic**:\n- Reduced transportation costs for households\n- Increased property values along bike routes\n- Healthcare cost savings from active transportation\n- Tourism and recreation economy growth\n\n**Health & Safety**:\n- Reduced traffic crashes and fatalities\n- Improved air quality\n- Increased physical activity\n- Mental health benefits of active transportation\n\n**Equity**:\n- Transportation access for non-drivers\n- Affordable mobility options\n- Safe routes to schools and jobs\n- Age-friendly community development\n\n**Environmental**:\n- Reduced vehicle emissions\n- Less stormwater runoff\n- Urban heat island mitigation\n- Habitat connectivity in greenways\n\n**Building Public Support**\n\nSuccessful cities build consensus through:\n- Demonstration projects showing benefits\n- Community engagement in design process\n- Business district partnerships\n- Safe Routes to School programs\n- Bike share systems increasing visibility\n- Events like Open Streets and Bike Month\n\n**The Path to 10 Miles**\n\nA realistic timeline might include:\n- 2025: 2-3 miles of quick-build projects downtown\n- 2026: 3-4 miles of neighborhood connectors\n- 2027: 4-5 miles including major corridor transformation\n- Continuous: Incremental additions through development requirements\n\nThis would require an estimated $3-10 million investment, depending on project types - a fraction of typical road widening costs while serving more users." }, { "id": 39176, "title": "Will the former Baptist Hospital site receive final approval for a mixed-use redevelopment plan from Pensacola City Council by June 30, 2026?", "short_title": "Baptist Hospital Redevelopment Approval?", "url_title": "Baptist Hospital Redevelopment Approval?", "slug": "baptist-hospital-redevelopment-approval", "author_id": 103275, "author_username": "christian", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-08-17T20:34:41.296677Z", "published_at": "2025-08-17T20:34:39Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:29:06.738474Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-08-18T03:03:33.127060Z", "comment_count": 0, "status": "open", "resolved": false, "actual_close_time": null, "scheduled_close_time": "2026-06-15T03:59:00Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2026-07-15T03:59:00Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "open_time": "2025-09-01T03:02:00Z", "nr_forecasters": 0, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32817, "type": "question_series", "name": "City of Pensacola Forecasting Contest", "slug": "pcola", "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/Beach-Ball-Sunset.jpg", "prize_pool": null, "start_date": "2025-08-12T06:21:17Z", "close_date": "2026-02-28T06:21:44Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2026-02-28T06:21:06Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-08-12T06:23:04.368264Z", "edited_at": "2025-08-18T17:07:22.113528Z", "score_type": "peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "exclude_and_hide" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32817, "type": "question_series", "name": "City of Pensacola Forecasting Contest", "slug": "pcola", "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/Beach-Ball-Sunset.jpg", "prize_pool": null, "start_date": "2025-08-12T06:21:17Z", "close_date": "2026-02-28T06:21:44Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2026-02-28T06:21:06Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-08-12T06:23:04.368264Z", "edited_at": "2025-08-18T17:07:22.113528Z", "score_type": "peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "exclude_and_hide" } }, "question": { "id": 38518, "title": "Will the former Baptist Hospital site receive final approval for a mixed-use redevelopment plan from Pensacola City Council by June 30, 2026?", "created_at": "2025-08-17T20:34:41.297150Z", "open_time": "2025-09-01T03:02:00Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-08-31T20:36:00Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2026-06-15T03:59:00Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2026-07-15T03:59:00Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "resolution_set_time": null, "scheduled_close_time": "2026-06-15T03:59:00Z", "actual_close_time": "2026-06-15T03:59:00Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "open", "possibilities": null, "resolution": null, "include_bots_in_aggregates": false, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "peer", "default_aggregation_method": "recency_weighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "The former Baptist Hospital campus in downtown Pensacola represents one of the most significant redevelopment opportunities in the city's recent history. After serving the community for over 70 years, the hospital's relocation to its Nine Mile Road campus in 2023 left behind a prime 50-acre site in the heart of the city, ripe for transformation.\n\n**The Site's Strategic Importance**\n\nLocated on Pensacola Bay with stunning waterfront views, the Baptist Hospital property sits at the intersection of several key neighborhoods:\n- Downtown Pensacola's urban core to the west\n- Historic North Hill to the north\n- The Tanyard and Belmont-DeVilliers neighborhoods to the northeast\n- Pensacola Bay and Bayfront Parkway to the south\n\nThis location makes it a crucial link between downtown and midtown, with the potential to either bridge or deepen existing divides in the community.\n\n**Current Status and Activity**\n\nSince the hospital's relocation, significant progress has been made:\n\n1. **Demolition Underway**: The systematic demolition of hospital buildings began in 2024, with environmental remediation protocols in place for hazardous materials like asbestos.\n\n2. **Environmental Assessment**: Phase I and Phase II environmental site assessments are being conducted to identify and address any contamination from decades of medical facility operations.\n\n3. **Community Engagement**: Multiple public input sessions have gathered resident priorities, consistently highlighting needs for:\n - Affordable and workforce housing\n - Public green space and waterfront access\n - Economic development and job creation\n - Community amenities and services\n - Connectivity to surrounding neighborhoods\n\n4. **Funding Momentum**: The project has attracted significant funding interest:\n - Federal and state grants for brownfield remediation\n - Tax increment financing (TIF) district potential\n - Private developer interest\n - Opportunity Zone designation benefits\n\n**The Vision Taking Shape**\n\nWhile the final plan awaits formal approval, emerging concepts include:\n\n**Mixed-Use Development Components**:\n- Residential: Mix of market-rate, workforce, and affordable housing units\n- Commercial: Retail, restaurants, and office space\n- Healthcare: Potential medical offices or wellness facilities\n- Civic: Public spaces, parks, and community facilities\n- Hospitality: Hotel or conference center possibilities\n- Education: Workforce training or satellite campus facilities\n\n**Key Planning Principles**:\n- Walkable, pedestrian-friendly design\n- Public waterfront access and amenities\n- Green infrastructure and resilience features\n- Historic preservation where applicable\n- Transit connectivity and reduced car dependence\n- Economic opportunity for local residents\n\n**Why June 2026 is the Critical Deadline**\n\nSeveral factors converge to make mid-2026 the key decision point:\n\n1. **Federal Funding Cycles**: Many infrastructure and community development grants require approved plans and timelines. Missing 2026 deadlines could mean waiting years for the next funding cycle.\n\n2. **Market Conditions**: Interest rates, construction costs, and developer appetite are volatile. Delays risk losing committed partners or favorable financing.\n\n3. **Community Patience**: After years of planning, residents expect visible progress. Further delays could erode public support and political will.\n\n4. **Regional Competition**: Other Gulf Coast cities are advancing major waterfront projects. Pensacola risks falling behind in attracting investment and talent.\n\n5. **Environmental Windows**: Remediation and construction have optimal seasonal windows. Missing 2026 approval could push major work into less favorable conditions.\n\n**The Approval Process**\n\nFor a mixed-use redevelopment plan to receive \"final approval,\" it typically must:\n\n1. **Master Plan Completion**: Comprehensive site plan with land uses, densities, and design guidelines\n2. **Environmental Clearance**: All remediation plans approved by DEP/EPA\n3. **Traffic and Infrastructure Studies**: Demonstrating capacity and mitigation strategies\n4. **Financial Feasibility**: Proven funding sources and development partners\n5. **Zoning Alignment**: Necessary rezoning or planned development approvals\n6. **Public Review**: Community input periods and planning board recommendations\n7. **Council Vote**: Formal adoption by Pensacola City Council\n\n**Stakeholders and Interests**\n\nMultiple parties have stakes in the outcome:\n\n**Public Sector**:\n- City of Pensacola (landowner seeking highest/best use)\n- Escambia County (regional economic development)\n- ECAT (transit planning and connectivity)\n- School District (potential workforce development partner)\n\n**Private Sector**:\n- Master developers and builders\n- Healthcare systems (potential continued presence)\n- Hospitality and retail operators\n- Financial institutions and investors\n\n**Community Groups**:\n- Neighborhood associations from surrounding areas\n- Affordable housing advocates\n- Environmental organizations\n- Historic preservation groups\n- Economic justice coalitions\n\n**Potential Obstacles**\n\nSeveral challenges could delay or derail approval:\n\n1. **Environmental Complications**: Discovery of significant contamination requiring extended remediation\n2. **Financial Gaps**: Inability to secure sufficient funding or developer commitments\n3. **Political Changes**: New city council members with different priorities after elections\n4. **Legal Challenges**: Lawsuits over environmental, zoning, or procurement issues\n5. **Community Opposition**: Organized resistance over gentrification, traffic, or design concerns\n6. **Market Shifts**: Economic downturn affecting developer interest or financing\n\n**Indicators to Watch**\n\nLeading indicators of likely approval include:\n- Selection of a master developer (if not already done)\n- Completion of environmental remediation plans\n- Public infrastructure funding announcements\n- Planning board recommendations\n- Community benefit agreements with neighborhoods\n- Pre-development agreements with anchor tenants/users\n\n**The Stakes for Pensacola**\n\n**If Approved by June 2026**:\n- Catalyzes downtown expansion and economic growth\n- Creates housing supply to address affordability crisis\n- Generates significant tax revenue and jobs\n- Establishes Pensacola as a forward-thinking Gulf Coast city\n- Provides model for other large-scale redevelopments\n\n**If Not Approved**:\n- Leaves valuable land vacant and unproductive\n- Misses federal funding opportunities\n- Continues community fragmentation\n- Risks site deterioration and blight\n- Delays economic development for years\n\nThis redevelopment represents a once-in-a-generation opportunity to reshape Pensacola's urban core, address longstanding community needs, and position the city for sustainable growth. The June 2026 deadline marks the critical juncture between vision and reality.", "resolution_criteria": "Scroll down to the Background section for more on this question and why it's important for our community.\n\nThis question will resolve based on the formal approval of a mixed-use redevelopment plan for the former Baptist Hospital site by the Pensacola City Council.\n\n**What Qualifies as \"Final Approval\":**\n\nThe plan must receive formal approval through ONE of the following:\n1. City Council resolution adopting a master development plan\n2. City Council approval of a Planned Unit Development (PUD)\n3. City Council approval of a Development Agreement with master developer(s)\n4. City Council approval of a rezoning with associated site plan for mixed-use development\n\n**Required Elements for \"Mixed-Use Redevelopment Plan\":**\n\nThe approved plan must include at least 3 of the following 5 use categories:\n1. **Residential** (apartments, condos, townhomes, or single-family)\n2. **Commercial** (retail, restaurants, or office space)\n3. **Civic/Public** (parks, community centers, public spaces)\n4. **Healthcare/Medical** (medical offices, wellness facilities, clinics)\n5. **Hospitality/Entertainment** (hotel, conference center, cultural venues)\n\n**Site Definition:**\n- The \"former Baptist Hospital site\" refers to the approximately 50-acre property bounded generally by:\n - North: Cervantes Street area\n - South: Pensacola Bay/Bayfront Parkway\n - East: 9th Avenue area\n - West: A Street/Commendencia area\n- Minor boundary adjustments (±5 acres) don't affect resolution\n- If the site is subdivided, approval must cover at least 30 acres of the original campus\n\n**What Constitutes \"Approval\":**\n- Must be a formal vote by Pensacola City Council\n- Must pass by required majority (simple majority unless charter requires otherwise)\n- Must be recorded in official meeting minutes\n- Conditional approvals count IF conditions are administrative (not requiring another Council vote)\n\n**What Does NOT Qualify:**\n- Conceptual plans or vision documents without formal adoption\n- Planning Board or committee recommendations alone\n- Developer proposals that haven't received Council approval\n- Single-use development plans (e.g., only residential or only commercial)\n- Interim or temporary use approvals\n- Land sales without development plan approval\n- Request for Proposals (RFP) or Request for Qualifications (RFQ) issuance\n\n**Timeline Clarifications:**\n- Approval must occur by 11:59 PM CDT/CST on June 30, 2026\n- If a plan is approved but then rescinded before June 30, 2026: Resolves NO\n- If approval is scheduled for June 30, 2026 meeting but postponed: Resolves NO\n- Multi-phase approvals: Only the first phase needs approval by deadline if it meets mixed-use criteria\n\n**Data Sources for Resolution:**\nPrimary sources (in order of preference):\n1. Pensacola City Council official meeting minutes\n2. City of Pensacola official website/press releases\n3. City Clerk's office records\n4. Pensacola News Journal or other local news with official confirmation\n5. Developer announcements confirmed by city officials\n\n**Edge Cases:**\n- If the hospital retains part of the site for medical use but the remainder gets mixed-use approval: Resolves YES if the mixed-use portion meets the criteria\n- If the state or county takes over the property: Resolves NO (must be City Council approval)\n- If Pensacola merges with Escambia County before June 30, 2026: Resolves AMBIGUOUS\n- If only infrastructure or remediation plans are approved without development plans: Resolves NO\n- If a judge overturns the approval after June 30, 2026: Still resolves YES (based on approval by deadline)", "fine_print": "", "post_id": 39176, "aggregations": { "recency_weighted": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null } } }, "user_permission": "forecaster", "vote": { "score": 0, "user_vote": null }, "forecasts_count": 0, "key_factors": [], "is_current_content_translated": false, "description": "The former Baptist Hospital campus in downtown Pensacola represents one of the most significant redevelopment opportunities in the city's recent history. After serving the community for over 70 years, the hospital's relocation to its Nine Mile Road campus in 2023 left behind a prime 50-acre site in the heart of the city, ripe for transformation.\n\n**The Site's Strategic Importance**\n\nLocated on Pensacola Bay with stunning waterfront views, the Baptist Hospital property sits at the intersection of several key neighborhoods:\n- Downtown Pensacola's urban core to the west\n- Historic North Hill to the north\n- The Tanyard and Belmont-DeVilliers neighborhoods to the northeast\n- Pensacola Bay and Bayfront Parkway to the south\n\nThis location makes it a crucial link between downtown and midtown, with the potential to either bridge or deepen existing divides in the community.\n\n**Current Status and Activity**\n\nSince the hospital's relocation, significant progress has been made:\n\n1. **Demolition Underway**: The systematic demolition of hospital buildings began in 2024, with environmental remediation protocols in place for hazardous materials like asbestos.\n\n2. **Environmental Assessment**: Phase I and Phase II environmental site assessments are being conducted to identify and address any contamination from decades of medical facility operations.\n\n3. **Community Engagement**: Multiple public input sessions have gathered resident priorities, consistently highlighting needs for:\n - Affordable and workforce housing\n - Public green space and waterfront access\n - Economic development and job creation\n - Community amenities and services\n - Connectivity to surrounding neighborhoods\n\n4. **Funding Momentum**: The project has attracted significant funding interest:\n - Federal and state grants for brownfield remediation\n - Tax increment financing (TIF) district potential\n - Private developer interest\n - Opportunity Zone designation benefits\n\n**The Vision Taking Shape**\n\nWhile the final plan awaits formal approval, emerging concepts include:\n\n**Mixed-Use Development Components**:\n- Residential: Mix of market-rate, workforce, and affordable housing units\n- Commercial: Retail, restaurants, and office space\n- Healthcare: Potential medical offices or wellness facilities\n- Civic: Public spaces, parks, and community facilities\n- Hospitality: Hotel or conference center possibilities\n- Education: Workforce training or satellite campus facilities\n\n**Key Planning Principles**:\n- Walkable, pedestrian-friendly design\n- Public waterfront access and amenities\n- Green infrastructure and resilience features\n- Historic preservation where applicable\n- Transit connectivity and reduced car dependence\n- Economic opportunity for local residents\n\n**Why June 2026 is the Critical Deadline**\n\nSeveral factors converge to make mid-2026 the key decision point:\n\n1. **Federal Funding Cycles**: Many infrastructure and community development grants require approved plans and timelines. Missing 2026 deadlines could mean waiting years for the next funding cycle.\n\n2. **Market Conditions**: Interest rates, construction costs, and developer appetite are volatile. Delays risk losing committed partners or favorable financing.\n\n3. **Community Patience**: After years of planning, residents expect visible progress. Further delays could erode public support and political will.\n\n4. **Regional Competition**: Other Gulf Coast cities are advancing major waterfront projects. Pensacola risks falling behind in attracting investment and talent.\n\n5. **Environmental Windows**: Remediation and construction have optimal seasonal windows. Missing 2026 approval could push major work into less favorable conditions.\n\n**The Approval Process**\n\nFor a mixed-use redevelopment plan to receive \"final approval,\" it typically must:\n\n1. **Master Plan Completion**: Comprehensive site plan with land uses, densities, and design guidelines\n2. **Environmental Clearance**: All remediation plans approved by DEP/EPA\n3. **Traffic and Infrastructure Studies**: Demonstrating capacity and mitigation strategies\n4. **Financial Feasibility**: Proven funding sources and development partners\n5. **Zoning Alignment**: Necessary rezoning or planned development approvals\n6. **Public Review**: Community input periods and planning board recommendations\n7. **Council Vote**: Formal adoption by Pensacola City Council\n\n**Stakeholders and Interests**\n\nMultiple parties have stakes in the outcome:\n\n**Public Sector**:\n- City of Pensacola (landowner seeking highest/best use)\n- Escambia County (regional economic development)\n- ECAT (transit planning and connectivity)\n- School District (potential workforce development partner)\n\n**Private Sector**:\n- Master developers and builders\n- Healthcare systems (potential continued presence)\n- Hospitality and retail operators\n- Financial institutions and investors\n\n**Community Groups**:\n- Neighborhood associations from surrounding areas\n- Affordable housing advocates\n- Environmental organizations\n- Historic preservation groups\n- Economic justice coalitions\n\n**Potential Obstacles**\n\nSeveral challenges could delay or derail approval:\n\n1. **Environmental Complications**: Discovery of significant contamination requiring extended remediation\n2. **Financial Gaps**: Inability to secure sufficient funding or developer commitments\n3. **Political Changes**: New city council members with different priorities after elections\n4. **Legal Challenges**: Lawsuits over environmental, zoning, or procurement issues\n5. **Community Opposition**: Organized resistance over gentrification, traffic, or design concerns\n6. **Market Shifts**: Economic downturn affecting developer interest or financing\n\n**Indicators to Watch**\n\nLeading indicators of likely approval include:\n- Selection of a master developer (if not already done)\n- Completion of environmental remediation plans\n- Public infrastructure funding announcements\n- Planning board recommendations\n- Community benefit agreements with neighborhoods\n- Pre-development agreements with anchor tenants/users\n\n**The Stakes for Pensacola**\n\n**If Approved by June 2026**:\n- Catalyzes downtown expansion and economic growth\n- Creates housing supply to address affordability crisis\n- Generates significant tax revenue and jobs\n- Establishes Pensacola as a forward-thinking Gulf Coast city\n- Provides model for other large-scale redevelopments\n\n**If Not Approved**:\n- Leaves valuable land vacant and unproductive\n- Misses federal funding opportunities\n- Continues community fragmentation\n- Risks site deterioration and blight\n- Delays economic development for years\n\nThis redevelopment represents a once-in-a-generation opportunity to reshape Pensacola's urban core, address longstanding community needs, and position the city for sustainable growth. The June 2026 deadline marks the critical juncture between vision and reality." } ] }
