Posts List Oldapi View
We shared this request example with FAB participants: url_qparams = { "limit": count, "offset": offset, "has_group": "false", "order_by": "-activity", "forecast_type": "binary", "project": tournament_id, "status": "open", "type": "forecast", "include_description": "true", } url = f"{api_info.base_url}/questions/" response = requests.get( url, headers={"Authorization": f"Token {api_info.token}"}, params=url_qparams )
But we don't want to support all these parameters, and the ones relevant are: - order_by - status - project - forecast_type - we ignore this, but assume it's binary - FAB only supports binary for now.
GET /api2/questions/?format=api&offset=540
{ "count": 5525, "next": "http://www.metaculus.com/api2/questions/?format=api&limit=20&offset=560", "previous": "http://www.metaculus.com/api2/questions/?format=api&limit=20&offset=520", "results": [ { "id": 35769, "title": "Will Israel lift the blockade to humanitarian aid into Gaza before April 7, 2025?", "short_title": "Israel resumes aid into Gaza before April 7, 2025?", "url_title": "Israel resumes aid into Gaza before April 7, 2025?", "slug": "israel-resumes-aid-into-gaza-before-april-7-2025", "author_id": 126626, "author_username": "skmmcj", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-03-06T03:10:42.990365Z", "published_at": "2025-03-09T01:33:55.696093Z", "edited_at": "2025-07-03T15:43:16.776360Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-03-09T01:33:55.696091Z", "comment_count": 1, "status": "resolved", "resolved": true, "actual_close_time": "2025-03-31T11:00:00Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-03-31T11:00:00Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-04-07T11:00:00Z", "open_time": "2025-03-10T17:00:00Z", "nr_forecasters": 86, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "leaderboard_tag": [ { "id": 32607, "name": "2025 Leaderboard", "slug": "2025_leaderboard", "type": "leaderboard_tag" } ], "tournament": [ { "id": 32630, "type": "tournament", "name": "🏆 Q1 2025 Quarterly Cup 🏆", "slug": "quarterly-cup", "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/qc-hires-scaled_1_BRJlq2q.webp", "prize_pool": null, "start_date": "2025-01-13T06:00:00Z", "close_date": "2025-04-08T12:30:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-03-31T22:59:00Z", "meta_description": "", "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-01-10T19:55:20.161665Z", "edited_at": "2025-06-19T21:26:48.663128Z", "score_type": "peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "normal", "is_current_content_translated": false } ], "default_project": { "id": 32630, "type": "tournament", "name": "🏆 Q1 2025 Quarterly Cup 🏆", "slug": "quarterly-cup", "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/qc-hires-scaled_1_BRJlq2q.webp", "prize_pool": null, "start_date": "2025-01-13T06:00:00Z", "close_date": "2025-04-08T12:30:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-03-31T22:59:00Z", "meta_description": "", "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-01-10T19:55:20.161665Z", "edited_at": "2025-06-19T21:26:48.663128Z", "score_type": "peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "normal", "is_current_content_translated": false }, "category": [ { "id": 3687, "name": "Geopolitics", "slug": "geopolitics", "emoji": "🌍", "description": "Geopolitics", "type": "category" } ] }, "question": { "id": 35210, "title": "Will Israel lift the blockade to humanitarian aid into Gaza before April 7, 2025?", "created_at": "2025-03-06T03:10:42.990712Z", "open_time": "2025-03-10T17:00:00Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-03-13T17:00:00Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-03-13T17:00:00Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-04-07T11:00:00Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-04-07T00:41:00Z", "resolution_set_time": "2025-04-07T00:43:05.574401Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-03-31T11:00:00Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-03-31T11:00:00Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "resolved", "possibilities": null, "resolution": "no", "include_bots_in_aggregates": false, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "peer", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_max": null, "range_min": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "On January 17, 2025, Israel and Hamas agreed to a [ceasefire deal](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Gaza_war_ceasefire#July_2024_to_January_2025:_Philadelphi_Corridor). The deal would consist of three phases, each lasting 6 weeks. In the first phase, Hamas [released 25 hostages and the bodies of 8 more](https://apnews.com/article/israel-palestinians-hamas-war-remaining-hostages-gaza-dbedb436b04fac1c790a794a4ef03853), while Israel released hundreds of Palestinian prisoners. Israel also allowed humanitarian aid to enter Gaza, [25,000 trucks](https://x.com/gidonsaar/status/1897280908450836820) according to Israel's Minister of Foreign Affairs.\n\nThe original plan was that, in the second phase, Hamas would release all remaining alive male Israelis and Israel would release an agreed upon number of Palestinian prisoners, while the parties would also agree to a withdrawal of remaining Israeli soldiers from the Gaza Strip and a more permanent cessation of hostilities. Then, in the third phase, both Israel and Hamas would release all the remaining bodies of dead captives, Israel would end the [blockade of the Gaza Strip](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blockade_of_the_Gaza_Strip \"Blockade of the Gaza Strip\"), and Hamas would not rebuild its military capabilities.\n\nHowever, after the end of the first phase, on March 2, 2025, Israel [halted](https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/ckgz7p85mdgo) all humanitarian aid and goods from entering Gaza, with the goal of pressuring Hamas into accepting a new agreement, backed by the United States. This would extend the first phase for seven more weeks and would involve Hamas releasing half of the remaining hostages.\n\nAfter the blockade, prices for essentials like sugar, oil, and chicken [rose significantly](https://apnews.com/article/israel-gaza-aid-cutoff-netanyahu-hunger-war-940ceea2c2b754d197a4f07c0cad86de). The UN called the blockade [alarming](https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/israel-hamas-gaza-aid-barred-ceasefire-talks-criticized-un-red-cross-rcna194464) and condemned it along with [UK, France, and Germany](https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/mar/05/uk-france-germany-israel-gaza-aid-freeze-could-breach-international-law), citing violations of humanitarian law that mandates aid access. Hamas [has insisted](https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/02/world/middleeast/israel-aid-halt-gaza.html) on moving to the agreed second phase of the ceasefire, which would involve a full Israeli withdrawal and a permanent end to the conflict.", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve as **Yes** if, before April 7, 2025, humanitarian aid into Gaza has resumed, according to credible sources.", "fine_print": "", "post_id": 35769, "aggregations": { "recency_weighted": { "history": [ { "start_time": 1743410115.601021, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 67, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.004 ], "centers": [ 0.01 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.02 ] } ], "latest": { "start_time": 1743410115.601021, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 67, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.004 ], "centers": [ 0.01 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.02 ], "forecast_values": [ 0.99, 0.01 ], "means": [ 0.025808830225270998 ], "histogram": [ [ 4.9151330192328135, 4.92039521102808, 1.652172431865421, 0.9607488541206908, 1.1959559912160067, 0.0797787163600839, 0.015216836922897737, 0.37381893986710796, 0.02439891007171052, 0.007683132160872665, 0.011752428427110738, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.004715380590217308, 0.05032766519653908, 0.5296608745347693, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.012864637029042109, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.006584248247179228, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0015753119476699363, 0.0, 0.0, 0.003928092025013086, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0020593749349257107, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.10338731650712608, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0007576017002229459, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.003228095225742652, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0 ] ] }, "score_data": { "baseline_score": 70.83662336069374, "peer_score": 12.602645573395172, "coverage": 0.9999240086389569, "relative_legacy_score": 0.0, "weighted_coverage": 0.9999240086389569, "spot_peer_score": 12.266318119432604, "spot_baseline_score": 35.61438102252753, "baseline_archived_score": 70.83662336069374, "peer_archived_score": 12.602645573395172, "relative_legacy_archived_score": 0.0, "spot_peer_archived_score": 12.266318119432604, "spot_baseline_archived_score": 35.61438102252753 }, "movement": null }, "unweighted": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "single_aggregation": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "metaculus_prediction": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null } } }, "user_permission": "forecaster", "vote": { "score": 6, "user_vote": null }, "forecasts_count": 472, "key_factors": [], "is_current_content_translated": false, "description": "On January 17, 2025, Israel and Hamas agreed to a [ceasefire deal](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Gaza_war_ceasefire#July_2024_to_January_2025:_Philadelphi_Corridor). The deal would consist of three phases, each lasting 6 weeks. In the first phase, Hamas [released 25 hostages and the bodies of 8 more](https://apnews.com/article/israel-palestinians-hamas-war-remaining-hostages-gaza-dbedb436b04fac1c790a794a4ef03853), while Israel released hundreds of Palestinian prisoners. Israel also allowed humanitarian aid to enter Gaza, [25,000 trucks](https://x.com/gidonsaar/status/1897280908450836820) according to Israel's Minister of Foreign Affairs.\n\nThe original plan was that, in the second phase, Hamas would release all remaining alive male Israelis and Israel would release an agreed upon number of Palestinian prisoners, while the parties would also agree to a withdrawal of remaining Israeli soldiers from the Gaza Strip and a more permanent cessation of hostilities. Then, in the third phase, both Israel and Hamas would release all the remaining bodies of dead captives, Israel would end the [blockade of the Gaza Strip](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blockade_of_the_Gaza_Strip \"Blockade of the Gaza Strip\"), and Hamas would not rebuild its military capabilities.\n\nHowever, after the end of the first phase, on March 2, 2025, Israel [halted](https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/ckgz7p85mdgo) all humanitarian aid and goods from entering Gaza, with the goal of pressuring Hamas into accepting a new agreement, backed by the United States. This would extend the first phase for seven more weeks and would involve Hamas releasing half of the remaining hostages.\n\nAfter the blockade, prices for essentials like sugar, oil, and chicken [rose significantly](https://apnews.com/article/israel-gaza-aid-cutoff-netanyahu-hunger-war-940ceea2c2b754d197a4f07c0cad86de). The UN called the blockade [alarming](https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/israel-hamas-gaza-aid-barred-ceasefire-talks-criticized-un-red-cross-rcna194464) and condemned it along with [UK, France, and Germany](https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/mar/05/uk-france-germany-israel-gaza-aid-freeze-could-breach-international-law), citing violations of humanitarian law that mandates aid access. Hamas [has insisted](https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/02/world/middleeast/israel-aid-halt-gaza.html) on moving to the agreed second phase of the ceasefire, which would involve a full Israeli withdrawal and a permanent end to the conflict." }, { "id": 35764, "title": "Will Dwayne \"The Rock\" Johnson be the highest-paid actor in 2025?", "short_title": "\"The Rock\" is the highest-paid actor in 2025?", "url_title": "\"The Rock\" is the highest-paid actor in 2025?", "slug": "the-rock-is-the-highest-paid-actor-in-2025", "author_id": 139876, "author_username": "Perspectus", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-03-05T02:10:16.650894Z", "published_at": "2025-03-05T22:47:07.043775Z", "edited_at": "2025-07-21T21:28:29.357280Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-03-05T22:47:07.043773Z", "comment_count": 1, "status": "open", "resolved": false, "actual_close_time": null, "scheduled_close_time": "2026-01-01T04:59:00Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2026-03-01T05:00:00Z", "open_time": "2025-03-06T22:46:43Z", "nr_forecasters": 3, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "leaderboard_tag": [ { "id": 32607, "name": "2025 Leaderboard", "slug": "2025_leaderboard", "type": "leaderboard_tag" } ], "category": [ { "id": 3696, "name": "Sports & Entertainment", "slug": "sports-entertainment", "emoji": "🏀", "description": "Sports & Entertainment", "type": "category" } ], "site_main": [ { "id": 144, "type": "site_main", "name": "Metaculus Community", "slug": null, "header_image": null, "prize_pool": null, "start_date": null, "close_date": null, "forecasting_end_date": null, "meta_description": "", "is_ongoing": null, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2023-11-08T16:55:29.484707Z", "edited_at": "2025-07-18T17:28:18.838588Z", "score_type": null, "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "normal", "is_current_content_translated": false } ], "default_project": { "id": 144, "type": "site_main", "name": "Metaculus Community", "slug": null, "header_image": null, "prize_pool": null, "start_date": null, "close_date": null, "forecasting_end_date": null, "meta_description": "", "is_ongoing": null, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2023-11-08T16:55:29.484707Z", "edited_at": "2025-07-18T17:28:18.838588Z", "score_type": null, "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "normal", "is_current_content_translated": false } }, "question": { "id": 35208, "title": "Will Dwayne \"The Rock\" Johnson be the highest-paid actor in 2025?", "created_at": "2025-03-05T02:10:16.651254Z", "open_time": "2025-03-06T22:46:43Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-03-10T21:46:43Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-03-10T21:46:43Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2026-03-01T05:00:00Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "resolution_set_time": null, "scheduled_close_time": "2026-01-01T04:59:00Z", "actual_close_time": "2026-01-01T04:59:00Z", "type": "binary", "options": [], "group_variable": "", "status": "open", "possibilities": null, "resolution": null, "include_bots_in_aggregates": false, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "peer", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": null, "open_lower_bound": null, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_max": null, "range_min": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": null, "open_lower_bound": null, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "Dwayne \"The Rock\" Johnson has now been the highest paid actor in the following years: [2016](https://www.forbes.com/actors/#28a1c26b40fe), [2019](https://www.forbes.com/sites/maddieberg/2019/08/21/the-highest-paid-actors-2019-dwayne-johnson-bradley-cooper-and-chris-hemsworth/), [2020](https://www.forbes.com/sites/maddieberg/2020/08/11/the-highest-paid-actors-of-2020-dwayne-johnson-ryan-reynolds/#7084b268112b), 2021, [2022](https://www.forbes.com/sites/lisettevoytko/2022/02/09/the-highest-paid-entertainers-2022/), and [2024](https://www.forbes.com/sites/mattcraig/2025/02/28/the-highest-paid-actors-of-2024/). \n\nAs of this writing, there is one film set to be released in 2025 in which \"The Rock\" appears:\n\n* [The Smashing Machine](https://www.imdb.com/title/tt11214558/). \"The story of mixed-martial arts and UFC champion Mark Kerr.\" Along with The Rock, it stars Emily Blunt and is directed by Benny Sadfie.\n\nThere are a number of movies in varying states of readiness including two in pre-production ([Fast X: Part 2](https://www.imdb.com/title/tt27550022/?ref_=nm_flmg_job_1_unrel_t_9); [Untitled Fast & Furious Film](https://www.imdb.com/title/tt27920268/?ref_=nm_flmg_job_1_unrel_t_8)) and two in production ([A live action version of Moana](https://www.imdb.com/title/tt27419466/?ref_=nm_flmg_job_1_unrel_t_2); [Big Trouble Little China](https://www.imdb.com/title/tt4728328/?ref_=nm_flmg_job_1_unrel_t_5))", "resolution_criteria": "* **Yes:** If Dwayne Johnson ranks as the highest-paid actor on Forbes' highest-paid actors of 2025 list.\n* **No:** If another actor holds the top position.", "fine_print": "If Forbes does not publish the list for 2025 before January 1, 2027, the question will be **annulled**. ", "post_id": 35764, "aggregations": { "recency_weighted": { "history": [ { "start_time": 1753133299.137843, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 3, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.12 ], "centers": [ 0.2 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.2 ] } ], "latest": { "start_time": 1753133299.137843, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 3, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.12 ], "centers": [ 0.2 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.2 ], "forecast_values": [ 0.8, 0.2 ], "means": [ 0.1920855567812882 ], "histogram": [ [ 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.7277212189012763, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.48092170020263214, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0 ] ] }, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "unweighted": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "single_aggregation": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "metaculus_prediction": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null } } }, "user_permission": "forecaster", "vote": { "score": 0, "user_vote": null }, "forecasts_count": 4, "key_factors": [], "is_current_content_translated": false, "description": "Dwayne \"The Rock\" Johnson has now been the highest paid actor in the following years: [2016](https://www.forbes.com/actors/#28a1c26b40fe), [2019](https://www.forbes.com/sites/maddieberg/2019/08/21/the-highest-paid-actors-2019-dwayne-johnson-bradley-cooper-and-chris-hemsworth/), [2020](https://www.forbes.com/sites/maddieberg/2020/08/11/the-highest-paid-actors-of-2020-dwayne-johnson-ryan-reynolds/#7084b268112b), 2021, [2022](https://www.forbes.com/sites/lisettevoytko/2022/02/09/the-highest-paid-entertainers-2022/), and [2024](https://www.forbes.com/sites/mattcraig/2025/02/28/the-highest-paid-actors-of-2024/). \n\nAs of this writing, there is one film set to be released in 2025 in which \"The Rock\" appears:\n\n* [The Smashing Machine](https://www.imdb.com/title/tt11214558/). \"The story of mixed-martial arts and UFC champion Mark Kerr.\" Along with The Rock, it stars Emily Blunt and is directed by Benny Sadfie.\n\nThere are a number of movies in varying states of readiness including two in pre-production ([Fast X: Part 2](https://www.imdb.com/title/tt27550022/?ref_=nm_flmg_job_1_unrel_t_9); [Untitled Fast & Furious Film](https://www.imdb.com/title/tt27920268/?ref_=nm_flmg_job_1_unrel_t_8)) and two in production ([A live action version of Moana](https://www.imdb.com/title/tt27419466/?ref_=nm_flmg_job_1_unrel_t_2); [Big Trouble Little China](https://www.imdb.com/title/tt4728328/?ref_=nm_flmg_job_1_unrel_t_5))" }, { "id": 35760, "title": "Will the Democrats control the House of Representatives at any point before Jan 3, 2027?", "short_title": "Dem House before 2027?", "url_title": "Dem House before 2027?", "slug": "dem-house-before-2027", "author_id": 265213, "author_username": "ChastityQM", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-03-04T17:52:57.998445Z", "published_at": "2025-03-09T14:18:35.216213Z", "edited_at": "2025-07-23T11:07:05.417185Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-03-09T14:18:35.216211Z", "comment_count": 3, "status": "open", "resolved": false, "actual_close_time": null, "scheduled_close_time": "2027-01-03T06:00:00Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2027-01-03T06:00:00Z", "open_time": "2025-03-11T14:18:00Z", "nr_forecasters": 18, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "site_main": [ { "id": 144, "type": "site_main", "name": "Metaculus Community", "slug": null, "header_image": null, "prize_pool": null, "start_date": null, "close_date": null, "forecasting_end_date": null, "meta_description": "", "is_ongoing": null, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2023-11-08T16:55:29.484707Z", "edited_at": "2025-07-18T17:28:18.838588Z", "score_type": null, "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "normal", "is_current_content_translated": false } ], "default_project": { "id": 144, "type": "site_main", "name": "Metaculus Community", "slug": null, "header_image": null, "prize_pool": null, "start_date": null, "close_date": null, "forecasting_end_date": null, "meta_description": "", "is_ongoing": null, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2023-11-08T16:55:29.484707Z", "edited_at": "2025-07-18T17:28:18.838588Z", "score_type": null, "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "normal", "is_current_content_translated": false }, "category": [ { "id": 3689, "name": "Politics", "slug": "politics", "emoji": "🏛️", "description": "Politics", "type": "category" }, { "id": 3685, "name": "Elections", "slug": "elections", "emoji": "🗳️", "description": "Elections", "type": "category" } ] }, "question": { "id": 35205, "title": "Will the Democrats control the House of Representatives at any point before Jan 3, 2027?", "created_at": "2025-03-04T17:52:57.998863Z", "open_time": "2025-03-11T14:18:00Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-03-15T14:18:00Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-03-15T14:18:00Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2027-01-03T06:00:00Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "resolution_set_time": null, "scheduled_close_time": "2027-01-03T06:00:00Z", "actual_close_time": "2027-01-03T06:00:00Z", "type": "binary", "options": [], "group_variable": "", "status": "open", "possibilities": null, "resolution": null, "include_bots_in_aggregates": false, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "peer", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": null, "open_lower_bound": null, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_max": null, "range_min": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": null, "open_lower_bound": null, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "At time of writing, the United States House of Representatives has a 218-215 R majority, and two vacant seats. This is the slimmest majority in the House for any party since the [72nd Congress](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/72nd_United_States_Congress \"72nd United States Congress\") in 1931; in that case, control switched from a 217-216 R majority at the start, to a 220-206 D majority at the end.\n\nOn November 3, 2026, there will be an election for all sitting Representatives, and some will pass on their seats to their successors on January 3, 2027; this is regarding changes in number of Representatives for both parties that take place *before* January 3, 2027, for any reason. Seats can change parties or become vacant due to things such as resignations, deaths, and special elections.", "resolution_criteria": "Resolves **Yes** if at any point before January 3, 2027, there are more Democrats than Republicans in the United States House of Representatives. Resolves **No** if this does not occur. Note that if the number of Democrats only becomes equal to the number of Republicans, it still resolves **No**.", "fine_print": "Independents who caucus with the Republicans will be counted as Republicans; likewise independents who caucus with Democrats.\n\nIf the extremely unlikely event that the date the 120th Congress starts changes, then that will be the new resolution date.", "post_id": 35760, "aggregations": { "recency_weighted": { "history": [ { "start_time": 1753268814.88133, "end_time": 1753571162.666508, "forecaster_count": 16, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.13 ], "centers": [ 0.16 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.25 ] } ], "latest": { "start_time": 1753268814.88133, "end_time": 1753571162.666508, "forecaster_count": 16, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.13 ], "centers": [ 0.16 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.25 ], "forecast_values": [ 0.84, 0.16 ], "means": [ 0.3156480924856308 ], "histogram": [ [ 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.13533528323661267, 0.0, 0.3098791564968262, 0.0, 0.0, 0.772330576101931, 0.0, 0.17886107948508886, 0.0, 0.0, 1.2581411659280017, 0.0, 0.21213970039234192, 0.4326949339433014, 0.0, 0.3678794411714424, 0.0, 0.17136970778169644, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.3089819632739745, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.8807190051633872, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.5049099362635194 ] ] }, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "unweighted": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "single_aggregation": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "metaculus_prediction": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null } } }, "user_permission": "forecaster", "vote": { "score": 2, "user_vote": null }, "forecasts_count": 31, "key_factors": [], "is_current_content_translated": false, "description": "At time of writing, the United States House of Representatives has a 218-215 R majority, and two vacant seats. This is the slimmest majority in the House for any party since the [72nd Congress](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/72nd_United_States_Congress \"72nd United States Congress\") in 1931; in that case, control switched from a 217-216 R majority at the start, to a 220-206 D majority at the end.\n\nOn November 3, 2026, there will be an election for all sitting Representatives, and some will pass on their seats to their successors on January 3, 2027; this is regarding changes in number of Representatives for both parties that take place *before* January 3, 2027, for any reason. Seats can change parties or become vacant due to things such as resignations, deaths, and special elections." }, { "id": 35744, "title": "Will WTI crude oil drop below $65 per barrel and stays there for 1 week before the 3rd quarter of 2025?", "short_title": "Will WTI crude oil drop below $65 per barrel?", "url_title": "Will WTI crude oil drop below $65 per barrel?", "slug": "will-wti-crude-oil-drop-below-65-per-barrel", "author_id": 245211, "author_username": "Russell-viper", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-03-03T11:33:15.565902Z", "published_at": "2025-03-09T15:29:17.502961Z", "edited_at": "2025-07-03T15:43:51.834001Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-03-09T15:29:17.502959Z", "comment_count": 8, "status": "resolved", "resolved": true, "actual_close_time": "2025-04-10T20:00:00Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-05-29T19:00:00Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-06-29T19:00:00Z", "open_time": "2025-03-12T15:28:00Z", "nr_forecasters": 15, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "leaderboard_tag": [ { "id": 32607, "name": "2025 Leaderboard", "slug": "2025_leaderboard", "type": "leaderboard_tag" } ], "site_main": [ { "id": 144, "type": "site_main", "name": "Metaculus Community", "slug": null, "header_image": null, "prize_pool": null, "start_date": null, "close_date": null, "forecasting_end_date": null, "meta_description": "", "is_ongoing": null, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2023-11-08T16:55:29.484707Z", "edited_at": "2025-07-18T17:28:18.838588Z", "score_type": null, "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "normal", "is_current_content_translated": false } ], "default_project": { "id": 144, "type": "site_main", "name": "Metaculus Community", "slug": null, "header_image": null, "prize_pool": null, "start_date": null, "close_date": null, "forecasting_end_date": null, "meta_description": "", "is_ongoing": null, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2023-11-08T16:55:29.484707Z", "edited_at": "2025-07-18T17:28:18.838588Z", "score_type": null, "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "normal", "is_current_content_translated": false }, "category": [ { "id": 3697, "name": "Environment & Climate", "slug": "environment-climate", "emoji": "🌱", "description": "Environment & Climate", "type": "category" }, { "id": 3698, "name": "Economy & Business", "slug": "economy-business", "emoji": "💼", "description": "Economy & Business", "type": "category" }, { "id": 3687, "name": "Geopolitics", "slug": "geopolitics", "emoji": "🌍", "description": "Geopolitics", "type": "category" }, { "id": 3689, "name": "Politics", "slug": "politics", "emoji": "🏛️", "description": "Politics", "type": "category" } ] }, "question": { "id": 35191, "title": "Will WTI crude oil drop below $65 per barrel and stays there for 1 week before the 3rd quarter of 2025?", "created_at": "2025-03-03T11:33:15.566247Z", "open_time": "2025-03-12T15:28:00Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-03-16T15:28:00Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-03-16T15:28:00Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-06-29T19:00:00Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-04-10T20:00:00Z", "resolution_set_time": "2025-04-10T22:07:07.993655Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-05-29T19:00:00Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-04-10T20:00:00Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "resolved", "possibilities": null, "resolution": "yes", "include_bots_in_aggregates": false, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "peer", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_max": null, "range_min": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "According to [ChatGPT](https://chatgpt.com/):\n\n> West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil is a key benchmark for global oil prices, primarily sourced from U.S. oil fields, particularly in Texas. Known for its high quality and low sulfur content, WTI is often used as a pricing standard for oil traded in North America. Its price is influenced by factors such as supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical events, production policies of major oil producers and broader economic conditions. WTI is traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) and serves as a key reference point for energy markets worldwide.\n\nOil prices are influenced by various factors, with OPEC and non-OPEC members playing a significant role. However, the U.S. also has a major impact on price movements. Given Trump's \"drill, baby, drill\" stance, a slowing U.S. economy, and the uncertainty caused by tariffs, these factors could further shape the market dynamics.", "resolution_criteria": "This question resolves as **Yes** if the closing price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil according to [Yahoo Finance](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CL%3DF/history/) closes below \\$65.00 for five consecutive trading days after the launch of this question and before July 1, 2025. Otherwise resolves as **No**. 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Known for its high quality and low sulfur content, WTI is often used as a pricing standard for oil traded in North America. Its price is influenced by factors such as supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical events, production policies of major oil producers and broader economic conditions. WTI is traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) and serves as a key reference point for energy markets worldwide.\n\nOil prices are influenced by various factors, with OPEC and non-OPEC members playing a significant role. However, the U.S. also has a major impact on price movements. Given Trump's \"drill, baby, drill\" stance, a slowing U.S. economy, and the uncertainty caused by tariffs, these factors could further shape the market dynamics." }, { "id": 35733, "title": "Will there be a new world record in the 2025 World Figure Skating Championships?", "short_title": "New record in the 2025 World Figure Skating Championships?", "url_title": "New record in the 2025 World Figure Skating Championships?", "slug": "new-record-in-the-2025-world-figure-skating-championships", "author_id": 126626, "author_username": "skmmcj", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-03-03T02:01:37.157569Z", "published_at": "2025-03-03T03:07:07.125275Z", "edited_at": "2025-07-03T15:40:55.769855Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-03-03T03:07:07.125273Z", "comment_count": 4, "status": "resolved", "resolved": true, "actual_close_time": "2025-03-25T12:00:00Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-03-25T12:00:00Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-04-01T11:00:00Z", "open_time": "2025-03-03T17:00:00Z", "nr_forecasters": 54, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "leaderboard_tag": [ { "id": 32607, "name": "2025 Leaderboard", "slug": "2025_leaderboard", "type": "leaderboard_tag" } ], "category": [ { "id": 3696, "name": "Sports & Entertainment", "slug": "sports-entertainment", "emoji": "🏀", "description": "Sports & Entertainment", "type": "category" } ], "tournament": [ { "id": 32630, "type": "tournament", "name": "🏆 Q1 2025 Quarterly Cup 🏆", "slug": "quarterly-cup", "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/qc-hires-scaled_1_BRJlq2q.webp", "prize_pool": null, "start_date": "2025-01-13T06:00:00Z", "close_date": "2025-04-08T12:30:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-03-31T22:59:00Z", "meta_description": "", "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-01-10T19:55:20.161665Z", "edited_at": "2025-06-19T21:26:48.663128Z", "score_type": "peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "normal", "is_current_content_translated": false } ], "default_project": { "id": 32630, "type": "tournament", "name": "🏆 Q1 2025 Quarterly Cup 🏆", "slug": "quarterly-cup", "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/qc-hires-scaled_1_BRJlq2q.webp", "prize_pool": null, "start_date": "2025-01-13T06:00:00Z", "close_date": "2025-04-08T12:30:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-03-31T22:59:00Z", "meta_description": "", "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-01-10T19:55:20.161665Z", "edited_at": "2025-06-19T21:26:48.663128Z", "score_type": "peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "normal", "is_current_content_translated": false } }, "question": { "id": 35189, "title": "Will there be a new world record in the 2025 World Figure Skating Championships?", "created_at": "2025-03-03T02:01:37.157939Z", "open_time": "2025-03-03T17:00:00Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-03-08T17:00:00Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-03-08T17:00:00Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-04-01T11:00:00Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-03-31T12:44:00Z", "resolution_set_time": "2025-03-31T12:53:24.571968Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-03-25T12:00:00Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-03-25T12:00:00Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "resolved", "possibilities": null, "resolution": "no", "include_bots_in_aggregates": false, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "peer", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_max": null, "range_min": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "[Figure skating](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Figure_skating) is a winter sport in which individuals, pairs, or groups perform on ice while incorporating jumps, spins, lifts, and footwork into choreographed routines set to music. The [World Figure Skating Championships](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_World_Figure_Skating_Championships), organised annually by the [International Skating Union](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Skating_Union) (ISU) since 1896, represents the most prestigious annual competition in the sport outside the Olympic Games. The [2025 World Championships](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_World_Figure_Skating_Championships) are scheduled to take place in Boston, from March 25 to March 30.\n\nIn all official competitions, athletes are scored using the [ISU Judging System](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ISU_Judging_System), which consists of two components: the Technical Score (TES) and the Program Components Score (PCS). The Technical Score assesses the difficulty and execution of specific elements (jumps, spins, and step sequences) with each element receiving a base value [ranging](https://www.usfigureskating.org/sites/default/files/media-files/ISU%202656%20ISU_SOV_SinglesPairs_2024-25_final.pdf) from 0.40 to 14, which is then adjusted using a -5 to +5 grade based on the athlete's execution. The Program Components Score evaluates five aspects of the performance: skating skills, transitions, performance, composition, and interpretation of music, with judges awarding points on a scale of 0.25 to 10.00 in each category.\n\nThe TES and PCS are added together to form the Total Segment Score (TSS), which is calculated for both short programs and free skating and added together to determine an athlete's final ranking.", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve as **Yes** if in the 2025 World Figure Skating Championships, there is a new world record in any category (men's singles, women's singles, pairs, ice dance), for any segment, on any of the possible scores:\n\n* TES – Technical element score\n* PCS – Program component score\n* TSS – Total segment score\n* Combine Total TSS across segments.", "fine_print": "* If at least half of the 2025 World Figure Skating Championships events do not take place before April 7, 2025, this question will be **annulled**.\n* In case a performance setting a new record is announced, but has not been officially verified (in case of potential disputes), it will count for the purposes of this question if it has not been cancelled as of April 7, 2025.\n* The [current world records](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_highest_scores_in_figure_skating) are presented below:\n\n| Category | Segment | Score type | Score |\n| --------------- | -------------- | ---------- | ------ |\n| Men's singles | Combined total | TSS | 335.30 |\n| Men's singles | Short program | TSS | 113.97 |\n| Men's singles | Short program | TES | 65.98 |\n| Men's singles | Short program | PCS | 48.47 |\n| Men's singles | Free skating | TSS | 227.79 |\n| Men's singles | Free skating | TES | 137.18 |\n| Men's singles | Free skating | PCS | 97.22 |\n| Women's singles | Combined total | TSS | 272.71 |\n| Women's singles | Short program | TSS | 87.52 |\n| Women's singles | Short program | TES | 49.97 |\n| Women's singles | Short program | PCS | 37.56 |\n| Women's singles | Free skating | TSS | 185.29 |\n| Women's singles | Free skating | TES | 109.02 |\n| Women's singles | Free skating | PCS | 76.27 |\n| Pairs | Combined total | TSS | 239.88 |\n| Pairs | Short program | TSS | 84.41 |\n| Pairs | Short program | TES | 46.04 |\n| Pairs | Short program | PCS | 38.45 |\n| Pairs | Free skating | TSS | 157.46 |\n| Pairs | Free skating | TES | 81.45 |\n| Pairs | Free skating | PCS | 76.99 |\n| Ice dance | Combined total | TSS | 232.32 |\n| Ice dance | Rhythm dance | TSS | 93.91 |\n| Ice dance | Rhythm dance | TES | 55.16 |\n| Ice dance | Rhythm dance | PCS | 39.57 |\n| Ice dance | Free dance | TSS | 138.41 |\n| Ice dance | Free dance | TES | 79.41 |\n| Ice dance | Free dance | PCS | 59.70 |\n\n", "post_id": 35733, "aggregations": { "recency_weighted": { "history": [ { "start_time": 1742880937.882511, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 34, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.52 ], "centers": [ 0.58 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.66 ] } ], "latest": 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The [World Figure Skating Championships](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_World_Figure_Skating_Championships), organised annually by the [International Skating Union](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Skating_Union) (ISU) since 1896, represents the most prestigious annual competition in the sport outside the Olympic Games. The [2025 World Championships](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_World_Figure_Skating_Championships) are scheduled to take place in Boston, from March 25 to March 30.\n\nIn all official competitions, athletes are scored using the [ISU Judging System](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ISU_Judging_System), which consists of two components: the Technical Score (TES) and the Program Components Score (PCS). 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Instead, Trump criticised Zelenskyy for lacking gratitude for US aid and questioned his approach to the war, while Zelenskyy insisted on security guarantees from the US and emphasised Russia's role as the aggressor in the war.\n\nThe unresolved meeting left US support for Ukraine uncertain, with Zelenskyy not signing the deal before departing from the White House. Various European leaders voiced support for Ukraine, Keir Starmer [insisted](https://www.politico.eu/article/europe-leaders-pledge-increase-defense-spending-nato-mark-rutte-keir-starmer-london-summit/) that any peace plan must have US' backing. A few days after leaving the Oval Office, [Zelenskyy said](https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c8j0ggm3mdwo) that he would still be willing to sign a deal on rare earth minerals.\n\nDuring his 2024 campaign, Trump [promised](https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/19/us/politics/trump-promise-ending-ukraine-war.html) to end the Russia-Ukraine war early in his presidency, often suggesting he could broker peace through direct talks with Moscow, a stance he framed as pragmatic and cost-saving for the US.", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve as **Yes** if Volodymyr Zelenskyy meets with Donald Trump after March 3 and before April 7, 2025.", "fine_print": "* The meeting has to be in person. \n* The overall duration of the meeting does not matter, as long as Trump and Zelenskyy speak directly to each other for at least one minute, continuously.", "post_id": 35732, "aggregations": { "recency_weighted": { "history": [ { "start_time": 1743414829.291436, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 118, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.02 ], "centers": [ 0.04 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.05 ] } ], "latest": { "start_time": 1743414829.291436, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 118, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.02 ], "centers": [ 0.04 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.05 ], "forecast_values": [ 0.96, 0.04 ], "means": [ 0.05665282573763901 ], "histogram": [ [ 3.510155832011818, 1.259263154418858, 2.0221920717413, 2.008234272795713, 4.082024231715874, 2.383576960374339, 0.7836303072088828, 0.668919576193915, 0.04429808642068359, 0.34478938726246294, 0.40027157291296933, 0.16358367830632, 0.0646516219078255, 0.0077289636711357825, 0.5081334076935602, 0.8642481073057953, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.022556935951370632, 0.5340203409353508, 0.053636441777860235, 0.00010828654134764054, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.011566338489480153, 0.08745501623158428, 0.05710974615261928, 0.0, 0.00045259954456378565, 0.0, 0.0, 0.024712452213022415, 0.0, 0.000270016043560814, 0.00014156090758466822, 0.03640875337444845, 0.0, 0.00032413405865910005, 0.007185620171657126, 0.0, 0.0, 0.01123917500530291, 0.0, 0.005483968607338952, 0.0013332445395559907, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.19335333087329795, 0.0016771748530350252, 0.0, 0.004582296826085957, 0.0, 0.00022189844218063637, 0.0025701243253208124, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0033642369299134115, 0.00017925296926214583, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 5.2077347573969934e-05, 0.0, 0.004179282557804217, 0.0, 0.0, 0.004380744254208987, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0008078589314896494, 0.009338847801289064, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.008072979223474218, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0018730169681004513, 0.0, 0.0055075364232430755, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.019553963805070133 ] ] }, "score_data": { "baseline_score": 19.787694086079888, "peer_score": 18.956258104402547, "coverage": 0.9999645641445121, "relative_legacy_score": 0.0, "weighted_coverage": 0.9999645641445121, "spot_peer_score": 15.844014217849136, "spot_baseline_score": 0.0, "baseline_archived_score": 19.787694086079888, "peer_archived_score": 18.956258104402547, "relative_legacy_archived_score": 0.0, "spot_peer_archived_score": 15.844014217849136, "spot_baseline_archived_score": 0.0 }, "movement": null }, "unweighted": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "single_aggregation": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "metaculus_prediction": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null } } }, "user_permission": "forecaster", "vote": { "score": 9, "user_vote": null }, "forecasts_count": 865, "key_factors": [], "is_current_content_translated": false, "description": "Relations between Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and US President Donald Trump broke down after a [tense Oval Office meeting](https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c2erwgwy8vgo) on February 28 ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W6qFzWaaZ_o)) The discussion was meant to seal a deal granting the US access to Ukraine's rare earth minerals in exchange for continued support against Russia. 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In order to streamline the resolution of this question, there are two resolution sources for the IPO announcement: 1) Databricks filing an [SEC Form S-1](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/sec-form-s-1.asp) or 2) An announcement at the [news](https://www.databricks.com/blog) section of its website. 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States Bankruptcy Code, before April 1, 2025. The question will resolves on the filing of such a petition, not on whether any bankruptcy protection is granted by a court. 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