Adjacent

6 Followers

18 Questions

Moderated by lucaskohorst

2 comments

3 forecasters

Who will Trump nominate as next Fed Chair?

Judy Shelton25.9%

Larry Kudlow25.1%

Kevin Hassett18.8%

4 comments

9 forecasters

Will the market capitalization for USDT & USDC stablecoins surpass $300 billion USD by June 30, 2026?

85%chance

10% this week

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

6 comments

24 forecasters

Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2029?

56%chance

1 comment

9 forecasters

Will China and the EU Reach a Trade or Tariff Agreement in 2025?

20%chance

1 comment

4 forecasters

Will one of the top 5 largest hedge funds in the U.S. experience a financial blow up in 2025?

1%chance

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

6 comments

11 forecasters

Will legislation pass before 2029 that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest income bracket?

80%chance

1 comment

6 forecasters

Will the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes exceed 5% for at least one month in 2025?

3%chance

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

3 comments

15 forecasters

Will US undergraduate enrollment decline by more than 10% from 2024 to 2030?

60%chance

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

5 comments

6 forecasters

When will Polymarket launch a token?

Current estimate

28 Feb 2026

Key Factors

1 comment

1 forecaster

Will the U.S. Treasury Issue BitBonds by December 31, 2028?

9%chance