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Adjacent
Follow
4
Followers
16
Questions
Moderated by
lucaskohorst
Who will Trump nominate as next Fed Chair?
Judy Shelton
29%
Larry Kudlow
24%
Kevin Hassett
18%
and 3 others
This question is also part of main Metaculus.
Will there be a large-scale power outage in the Continental Europe synchronous grid affecting multiple countries before 2028?
42%
chance
9% this week
U.S. real GDP growth in 2025?
1.6 to 2.0
27.3%
1.1 to 1.5
25.9%
0.6 to 1.0
17%
and 7 others
Will China and the EU Reach a Trade or Tariff Agreement in 2025?
20%
chance
This question is also part of main Metaculus.
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2029?
30%
chance
This question is also part of main Metaculus.
Will legislation pass before 2029 that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest income bracket?
75%
chance
This question is also part of main Metaculus.
Which of the following California oil refineries will first announce the intent to idle, restructure, or cease operations before 2028?
Valero (Wilmington)
63.5%
PBF Energy (Martinez)
8.5%
PBF Energy (Torrance)
8.5%
and 4 others
This question is also part of main Metaculus.
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Pete Hegseth
30%
Other Cabinet Member
30%
Pam Bondi
12.1%
and 5 others
Will the market capitalization for USDT & USDC stablecoins surpass $300 billion USD by June 30, 2026?
80%
chance
5% this week
Will Perpetual Futures be regulated in the US by 2028?
Yes
90%
No
10%
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