Adjacent

4 Followers

18 Questions

Moderated by lucaskohorst

1 comment

1 forecaster

Who will Trump nominate as next Fed Chair?

Judy Shelton29%

Larry Kudlow24%

Kevin Hassett18%

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

6 comments

20 forecasters

Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2029?

44%chance

14% this week

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

4 comments

3 forecasters

When will Polymarket launch a token?

Current estimate

24 Aug 2026

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

3 comments

13 forecasters

Will US undergraduate enrollment decline by more than 10% from 2024 to 2030?

60%chance

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

8 comments

28 forecasters

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Pete Hegseth30.8%

Other Cabinet Member29.9%

Marco Rubio12.5%

1 comment

6 forecasters

Will the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes exceed 5% for at least one month in 2025?

5%chance

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

6 comments

11 forecasters

Will legislation pass before 2029 that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest income bracket?

75%chance

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

6 comments

2 forecasters

Which of the following California oil refineries will first announce the intent to idle, restructure, or cease operations before 2028?

Valero (Wilmington)63.5%

PBF Energy (Martinez)8.5%

PBF Energy (Torrance)8.5%

1 comment

9 forecasters

Will China and the EU Reach a Trade or Tariff Agreement in 2025?

20%chance

3 comments

7 forecasters

Will the market capitalization for USDT & USDC stablecoins surpass $300 billion USD by June 30, 2026?

80%chance