Adjacent

6 Followers

19 Questions

Moderated by lucaskohorst

5 comments

26 forecasters

Will the market capitalization for USDT & USDC stablecoins surpass $300 billion USD by June 30, 2026?

resultNo

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

2 comments

3 forecasters

What will Adjacent's RED and BLUE political index values be at the 2026 midterms?

RED

96.2

BLUE

105

3 comments

12 forecasters

Who will Trump nominate as next Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

result: Yes

Kevin Hassett

29.9%

Judy Shelton

0.1%

Someone else

9.9%

2 others

3 comments

4 forecasters

Will Perpetual Futures be regulated in the US by 2028?

Yes

result: Yes

10%

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

5 comments

19 forecasters

Will US undergraduate enrollment decline by more than 10% from 2024 to 2030?

29%chance

4% this week

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

6 comments

36 forecasters

Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2029?

60%chance

1 comment

9 forecasters

Will China and the EU Reach a Trade or Tariff Agreement in 2025?

10.5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

1 comment

4 forecasters

What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?

Oil

52.3%

Coal

14.9%

Natural Gas

14.9%

Other Renewables (e.g., solar, wind, biomass)

14.9%

2 others

1 comment

13 forecasters

Will the U.S. Treasury Issue BitBonds by December 31, 2028?

50%chance

1 comment

5 forecasters

Will one of the top 5 largest hedge funds in the U.S. experience a financial blow up in 2025?

0.7%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

6 comments

2 forecasters

Which of the following California oil refineries will first announce the intent to idle, restructure, or cease operations before 2028?

Chevron (Richmond)

Upcoming

PBF Energy (Martinez)

Upcoming

Marathon (Carson)

Upcoming

Valero (Wilmington)

Upcoming

3 others

1 comment

3 forecasters

U.S. real GDP growth in 2025?

0.1 to 0.5

15.3%

0.6 to 1.0

20%

1.1 to 1.5

25.7%

1.6 to 2.0

18%

6 others

This question is closed for forecasting.

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

16 comments

14 forecasters

Will either the TurkStream or Blue Stream pipeline unexpectedly cease transporting gas at any point in 2025?

resultNo

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

15 comments

61 forecasters

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Howard Lutnick

Pam Bondi

Pete Hegseth

1.5%

Other Cabinet Member

result: Yes

4 others

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

6 comments

15 forecasters

Will legislation pass before 2029 that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest income bracket?

68.6%chance

1 comment

6 forecasters

Will the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes exceed 5% for at least one month in 2025?

3%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.