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Questions
Moderated by
lucaskohorst
This question is also part of main Metaculus.
Will legislation pass before 2029 that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest income bracket?
75%
chance
55.5% this week
What will the highest level of Bitcoin dominance be in 2025?
65% to 67.9%
49.9%
68% to 69.9%
37.9%
70% or higher
12%
and 2 others
This question is also part of main Metaculus.
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Other Cabinet Member
32.6%
Pete Hegseth
27.2%
Marco Rubio
10.9%
and 5 others
Will China and the EU Reach a Trade or Tariff Agreement in 2025?
20%
chance
Who will Trump nominate as next Fed Chair?
This question is also part of main Metaculus.
Will there be a large-scale power outage in the Continental Europe synchronous grid affecting multiple countries before 2028?
42%
chance
8% this week
This question is also part of main Metaculus.
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2029?
28%
chance
Will the market capitalization for USDT & USDC stablecoins surpass $300 billion USD by June 30, 2026?
90%
chance
Will the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes exceed 5% for at least one month in 2025?
5%
chance
Will Perpetual Futures be regulated in the US by 2028?
Yes
90%
No
10%
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