What will be the sum of OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI's publicly reported annualized revenues by December 31st 2025, in USD billions?

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What will be the best normalized score achieved on the original 7 RE-Bench tasks by December 31st 2025?

In what year will there will be High Level Machine Intelligence which can accomplish every cognitive task better and more cheaply than human workers?

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Will an AI system be reported by OpenAI as of December 31st 2025 as having a pre-mitigation score of High or higher on CBRN?

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What percentage of Americans will identify computers/technology advancement as the US's most important problem by December 31st 2025?

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What will be the best performance on SWE-bench Verified by December 31st 2025?

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How likely do you think it is that overall, the impact of High Level Machine Intelligence will be extremely negative for humanity in the long run?

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What will be the best performance on FrontierMath by December 31st 2025?

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What will be the best score on Cybench by December 31st 2025?

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What will be the best normalized score achieved on the original 7 RE-Bench tasks by December 31st 2025?

This question is closed for forecasting.