Contributed by the Harvard's AI Safety Student Team community.
Question
What will be the best normalized score achieved on the original 7 RE-Bench tasks by December 31st 2025?
Total Forecasters10
Community Prediction
1.45
(1.2 - 1.65)
Make a Prediction
CDF
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 1.199 | — |
| median | 1.447 | — |
| upper 75% | 1.651 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2 | 4.7% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Feb 9, 2025
Closed:Feb 17, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 17, 2025
Authors:
Opened:Feb 9, 2025
Closed:Feb 17, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 17, 2025