Contributed by the Harvard's AI Safety Student Team community.
Question
What percentage of Americans will identify computers/technology advancement as the US's most important problem by December 31st 2025?
Total Forecasters10
Community Prediction
1.24
(0.41 - 2.98)
Make a Prediction
CDF
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 0.4097 | — |
| median | 1.243 | — |
| upper 75% | 2.977 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >50 | 0.3% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Feb 9, 2025
Closed:Feb 17, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 17, 2025
What percentage of Americans will consider AI or advancement of computers/technology to be the most important problem in January 2028?
10.3
When will concern about artificial intelligence go mainstream in the United States?
09 Jun 2026
What percentage of AI computational performance will be located in the United States on January 1, 2028?
66.7
Authors:
Opened:Feb 9, 2025
Closed:Feb 17, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 17, 2025
What percentage of Americans will consider AI or advancement of computers/technology to be the most important problem in January 2028?
10.3
When will concern about artificial intelligence go mainstream in the United States?
09 Jun 2026
What percentage of AI computational performance will be located in the United States on January 1, 2028?
66.7