Contributed by the Brown Forecasting Tournament community.
Question
How many Starship launch attempts will occur from now until May 15, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET?
Resolved:0 launchesTotal Forecasters14
Community Prediction
1.35 launches
(0.841 launches - 2.63 launches)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 0.8412 | — |
| median | 1.352 | — |
| upper 75% | 2.63 | — |
What was the final result?0 launches
Community Peer Score
52.9
Authors:
Opened:Mar 15, 2025
Closes:Mar 15, 2025
Resolves:May 16, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 15, 2025
Authors:
Opened:Mar 15, 2025
Closes:Mar 15, 2025
Resolves:May 16, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 15, 2025