Contributed by the Brown Forecasting Tournament community.
Question
What will be the global average temperature anomaly (in °C) relative to the 20th-century baseline, averaged over the period ending April 30, 2025?
Resolved:1.2775Total Forecasters14
Community Prediction
1.25
(1.07 - 1.38)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <-5 | 0.1% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 1.067 | — |
| median | 1.251 | — |
| upper 75% | 1.375 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >5 | 0.1% | — |
What was the final result?1.2775
Community Peer Score
13.1
Authors:
Opened:Mar 15, 2025
Closes:Mar 15, 2025
Resolves:May 16, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 15, 2025
Authors:
Opened:Mar 15, 2025
Closes:Mar 15, 2025
Resolves:May 16, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 15, 2025