Contributed by the Brown Forecasting Tournament community.
Question
Will a large language model (LLM) solve ≥ 40% of FrontierMath questions before May 15, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET?
Resolved:NoTotal Forecasters14
Community Prediction
18%
(0.1% - 32%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?No
Community Peer Score
2.9
Authors:
Opened:Mar 15, 2025
Closes:Mar 15, 2025
Resolves:May 16, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 15, 2025
Authors:
Opened:Mar 15, 2025
Closes:Mar 15, 2025
Resolves:May 16, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 15, 2025