Contributed by the QH Forecasting Community community.
conditional
if yes
if no
Make a Prediction
Will Iran attack US sites in Iraq before August 2025? | When will Iran cease to be an Islamic Republic? |
|---|---|
| My Prediction: - | |
| My Prediction: - |
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 27 Mar 2027 | — |
| median | Jul 2031 | — |
| upper 75% | Oct 2039 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2122 | 0.1% | — |
Forecast Timeline
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Jun 12, 2025
Closes:Aug 1, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2122
Authors:
Opened:Jun 12, 2025
Closes:Aug 1, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2122