Contributed by the A Dictator’s Diary: The Strategic Logic of Political Survival community.
1 comment
16 forecasters
Will Samia Suluhu Hassan win the next Tanzanian election with 80% or more of the votes cast?
71.3%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 71% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Authors:
Opened:Sep 1, 2025
Closes:Oct 29, 2025
Resolved:Nov 2, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 26, 2025