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Scoring Terminology
1
comment
When Will RFK Jr. Leave His Role As HHS Secretary?
Current estimate
Revealed
next week
5
comments
1
forecaster
Will The FDA’s Voluntary Notification Self-Affirm GRAS Process Be Changed by Jan. 20, 2029 In One Of The Following Ways:
(E) No Changes
49.9%
(C) Option B and Waiting Period for Public Comment
25%
(D) Other
20%
2 others
5%
0
comments
1
forecaster
Will the US Congress Pass The Farm Bill by Jan 1st. 2026?
35%
chance
8
comments
43
forecasters
What will the US market for plant-based meat be worth in the year ending in April 2028?
Current estimate
4825 M USD
0
comments
1
forecaster
When Will India Approve Its First Novel Food Application For A Cultivated Meat?
Current estimate
23 Dec 2026
This question is also part of main Metaculus.
9
comments
1
forecaster
How many American states will have cultivated meat bans on January 20, 2029?
9
52.6%
8
19.8%
10
19.8%
3 others
8%
0
comments
2
forecasters
When Will The EU Approve Its First Novel Food Application For Cultivated Meat?
Current estimate
16 Jul 2028
3
comments
1
forecaster
When Will The USDA Lift Their Ban on Mexican Livestock?
community
07 Jul 2025 18:21
result
07 Jul 2025 06:00
This question is also part of main Metaculus.
3
comments
9
forecasters
Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the contiguous US, before 2027?
33%
chance
0
comments
2
forecasters
When Will The USDA Lift Their Ban on Mexican Livestock And Keep One Or More Ports Open For At Least One Month?
Current estimate
29 Mar 2026
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