JetBrains

12 Followers

13 Questions

Moderated by ilia.zaharov

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3 forecasters

What percentage of problems from Long Code Arena do you estimate the top-performing AI model or agent will be able to solve by December'25?

Commit message generation99.5

Module summarization99.5

Library-based code generation97.3

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10 forecasters

What percentage of developers will agree with the statement that local or offline AI tools are unlikely to reach the quality and performance of cloud-based solutions in 2025?

Current estimate

72.2%

1 comment

8 forecasters

What percentage of developers in 2025 will have a concern that the adoption of AI coding will decrease the demand for professional software developers?

Current estimate

77.1%

2 comments

9 forecasters

What percentage of developers will agree with the statement that AI will eventually take over the coding process, fully replacing human developers in 2025?

Current estimate

37.6%

0 comments

7 forecasters

Will any coding tool publicly introduce proactive automation features for repetitive tasks by December 15, 2025?

94.5%chance

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4 forecasters

For these benchmarks, what percentage of problems do you estimate the top-performing AI model or agent will be able to solve by December'25?

AI2 Reasoning Challenge97.9

Toloka's µ-MATH94.5

Graduate-Level Google-Proof Q&A92.6

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8 forecasters

What percentage of developers will be ready to use cloud-based generative AI services for work tasks in 2025?

Current estimate

83%

0 comments

7 forecasters

What percentage of developers would claim to have ethical concerns about using generative AI services in 2025?

Current estimate

40.2%

0 comments

8 forecasters

Will any coding assistant introduce a proactive optimization feature by December 15, 2025?

99.9%chance

2 comments

7 forecasters

Will any coding assistant introduce project-wide context awareness by December 15, 2025?

99.9%chance