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8 forecasters
Will any coding assistant introduce a proactive optimization feature by December 15, 2025?
99.9%chance
Authors:
Opened:Feb 14, 2025
Closes:Nov 30, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 14, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 15, 2025
Will a paper with an AI as an author be published at NeurIPS, ICML, or ICLR before 2028?
75% chance
155
When will an AI achieve an score of 1.5 or higher in the RE-bench at any time budget between 8h and 32h?
30 Jul 2027
(28 Oct 2026 - 17 Sep 2028)
30 Jul 2027
(28 Oct 2026 - 17 Sep 2028)
50 forecasters
Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025?
25% chance
1.4k