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7 forecasters
What percentage of developers would claim to have ethical concerns about using generative AI services in 2025?
Current estimate
40.2%
Authors:
Opened:Feb 14, 2025
Closes:Nov 30, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 14, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 17, 2025
What percentage of Americans will consider AI or advancement of computers/technology to be the most important problem in January 2028?
19 % mentioning
(10 - 36)
19 % mentioning
(10 - 36)
144 forecasters
What will be the disapproval rate of the most disliked AI lab (OpenAI, Anthropic, or Deepmind) on January 1, 2027?
52.7%
(31.4 - 67.9)
52.7%
(31.4 - 67.9)
114 forecasters
What percentage of AI alignment experts surveyed in 2029 will consider alignment techniques at the time to be sufficient?
34.1%
(17.7 - 51)
34.1%
(17.7 - 51)
36 forecasters