If there is a violent attack by an individual in the EU with 50 or more victims in the next 5 years, how likely is it that they will be followers of the ideology:

6 forecasters

Total Forecasters 5

Islámský extremismus

Pravicový extremismus

Levicový a anarchistický extremismus

Etnicko-nacionalistický a separatistický extremismus

Ideologie		My Prediction		Me
Levicový a anarchistický extremismus	7%

Etnicko-nacionalistický a separatistický extremismus	3%

Pravicový extremismus	40%

Islámský extremismus	50%

Total: ?

(? remaining)

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Authors:

Opened:

Jun 25, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 31, 2025

Authors:

Opened:

Jun 25, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 31, 2025