Contributed by the Odborný Predikční Tým community.

Question

If there is a violent attack by an individual in the EU with 50 or more victims in the next 5 years, how likely is it that they will be followers of the ideology:

Forecast Timeline

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IdeologieMe
Levicový a anarchistický extremismus
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Etnicko-nacionalistický a separatistický extremismus
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Pravicový extremismus
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Islámský extremismus
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Total: ?
(? remaining)
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Opened:Jun 25, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 31, 2025