If there is a violent attack by an individual in the EU with 50 or more victims in the next 5 years, how likely is it that they will be followers of the ideology:

Islámský extremismus46.2%

Pravicový extremismus43%

Levicový a anarchistický extremismus6.4%

Forecast Timeline

Islámský extremismus

Pravicový extremismus

Levicový a anarchistický extremismus

Others (1)

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Authors:

Opened:

Jun 25, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 30, 2025

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