Contributed by the Flagler College Spring 2025 community.
3 comments
60 forecasters
Will Russia and Ukraine announce a ceasefire before May 1, 2025?
5%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 5% chance, and it resolved No.
Authors:
Opened:Feb 4, 2025
Closes:May 1, 2025
Resolved:May 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 9, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026?
3% chance
1.8k
If Trump is re-elected, will he achieve a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine war during his term?
50% chance
114
When will a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict first go into effect?
59 forecasters