We are thrilled to announce the winners of our third quarter 2023 Quarterly Cup! The Quarterly Cup brought together over 800 forecasters, both seasoned and novice alike, to track current events and tackle engaging and challenging forecasting questions.

The champions of the Quarterly Cup are:

1. partlygloudy
2. einer
3. wd28

Hearty congratulations to our victors! Each winner will be awarded a coveted Metaculus-branded hat. Winners, please expect us to contact you shortly to facilitate the delivery of your prizes.

This quarter saw a number of consequential developments, including the end of the Black Sea grain deal, a coup in Niger, and large labor strikes. Thank you to forecasters who participated in these questions for making Metaculus a hub for those seeking quantified and calibrated forecasts on significant global events.

Join the Next Quarterly Cup

The Quarterly Cup returns for Q4 of 2023! We urge all forecasters, whether you have just discovered your passion or you have been a long-standing pillar of the community, to dive in and hone your forecasting prowess. The questions open tomorrow, October 5, here. The tournament will kick off with the following questions:

• What will be the effective number of political parties in the Netherlands parliament following the 2023 election?
• How many ballots will it take to elect the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives to replace Kevin McCarthy?
• When will the successor to Kevin McCarthy be elected as Speaker of the United States House of Representatives?
• Will a nearly continuous human chain stretch across the length of the Forth and Clyde Canal on 14 October 2023?