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Ideas for clinical trials contest

We're strongly considering running a contest on medical clinical trials, where there is a nice data source, important questions, and (sometimes) short enough timelines. So I thought I'd open this thread for discussion on:

  • General interest gauge: are you interested in this and why?

  • What sort of questions would be most interesting? Phase I, II or III? What kind of outcomes?

  • What sorts of definitions or rules would we need to put in place to make the scoring clean enough?

  • Are there regular users with a reasonable amount of expertise who could contribute to writing/vetting the question series? (If so please feel invited to PM support@metaculus.com)

Also feel free to chime on alternative contests we should consider.