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Announcing community moderators

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We're really excited to announce the appointment of three community moderators to Metaculus! Please welcome @DanielFilan, @Sylvain (formerly known as @tenthkrige) and @PabloStafforini as they step up to become emissaries of Metaculus! These members have generously volunteered their time to help us cultivate this community and help ensure that issues are properly addressed.

We want to make Metaculus a tremendous success, and we think that empowering excellent community members to help out with moderating can improve your experiences on the site.

For the moment, moderators will have limited powers compared to admins, to allow them to still participate in the prediction side of Metaculus. These include: reviewing and editing pending questions, and editing upcoming questions. Which means they will not, for example, be able to resolve questions.

As these are early stages of a plan to develop a community moderation system, we welcome thoughts on all aspects of such a system (such as what issues is important for moderators to address, or longer-term, what a full-fledged collaborative moderation system would look like).

If you're interested in being considered to join the club of community moderators, please let us know at

Metaculus Itself

Metaculus help: Predicting

Predictions are the heart of Metaculus. Predicting is how you contribute to the wisdom of the crowd, and how you earn points and build up your personal Metaculus track record.

The basics of predicting are very simple: move the slider to best match the likelihood of the outcome, and click predict. You can predict as often as you want, and you're encouraged to change your mind when new information becomes available.

The displayed score is split into current points and total points. Current points show how much your prediction is worth now, whereas total points show the combined worth of all of your predictions over the lifetime of the question. The scoring details are available on the FAQ.

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