Our UMass collaborators would like to ask some questions about intervention effectiveness or the impact of lifting interventions. They want to formulate resolvable questions that maximize relevance to ongoing public health operations. We would welcome specific suggestions for questions that address current or future intervention policies.
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Lightning Round Tournament Discussion 1.0
Metaculus help: Predicting
Predictions are the heart of Metaculus. Predicting is how you contribute to the wisdom of the crowd, and how you earn points and build up your personal Metaculus track record.
The basics of predicting are very simple: move the slider to best match the likelihood of the outcome, and click predict. You can predict as often as you want, and you're encouraged to change your mind when new information becomes available.
The displayed score is split into current points and total points. Current points show how much your prediction is worth now, whereas total points show the combined worth of all of your predictions over the lifetime of the question. The scoring details are available on the FAQ.
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