Economist 2021 Series Announcement

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We’re thrilled to be partnering with The Economist to develop a series of forecasts focused on what’s to come in 2021 – with your help!

The questions focus on the pandemic, the economy, world news, and culture, and can be found here.

The top five forecasters on a these 25 questions will be awarded a one-year subscription to The Economist. We’d very much appreciate it if you could submit your forecasts by December 29 2020, and we’ll announce the winners on December 31 2021.

Happy Predicting!

The Economist 2021

Metaculus help: Predicting

Predictions are the heart of Metaculus. Predicting is how you contribute to the wisdom of the crowd, and how you earn points and build up your personal Metaculus track record.

The basics of predicting are very simple: move the slider to best match the likelihood of the outcome, and click predict. You can predict as often as you want, and you're encouraged to change your mind when new information becomes available.

The displayed score is split into current points and total points. Current points show how much your prediction is worth now, whereas total points show the combined worth of all of your predictions over the lifetime of the question. The scoring details are available on the FAQ.

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