condition

2024 US popular vote: 3rd party at least 5%?

Resolved:No
7 forecasters
if yes
if no

2024 US Election Winner to Win Popular Vote?

50%
50%
Resolved:Annulled

2024 US Election Winner to Win Popular Vote?

75%
75%
Resolved:Yes

Based on 26 predictions by 7 forecasters

Metaculus