4 comments
3 forecasters
Which party will win the next (post-2023) parliamentary elections in Slovakia?
SMER-SD (Social Democracy)
PS (Progressivism)
Slovensko (Populism)
Republika (Nationalism)
3 others
28 comments
95 forecasters
How many bots will finish in the top 10 of the Metaculus Cup Fall 2026?
Current estimate
4.92 bots
7 comments
53 forecasters
Will Trump demolish the Kennedy Center before January 1, 2027?
8%chance
4.5% today
10 comments
12 forecasters
How long will the employee lockup period be after OpenAI's IPO?
90-134
135-179
180
>180
2 others
3 comments
6 forecasters
When will a vaccine for any major neurodegenerative disease receive regulatory approval?
Current estimate
06 Nov 2028
8 comments
12 forecasters
How long will the employee lockup period be after Anthropic's IPO?
90-134
135-179
180
>180
2 others
11 comments
94 forecasters
What will be the US national debt on December 31, 2026?
Current estimate
41.1T $
8 comments
102 forecasters
Will Venezuela announce a presidential election before 2027?
9%chance
5.8% this week
12 comments
94 forecasters
Which party will win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli election?
Likud
Yashar
Other
1 comment
3 forecasters
Will the NextEra Energy and Dominion Energy merger close before 2028?
60%chance
212 comments
314 forecasters
Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will first come to pass before 2050?
AI-Fizzle
Futurama
AI-Dystopia
Singularia
Paperclipalypse