1 comment
23 forecasters

Which party will win the most votes in Spain's November 29, 2026 general election?

PP
50%
PSOE
31.3%
Vox
17.5%
Another party
1.2%
2 comments
24 forecasters

Will Argentina's economy grow at 3.5% or faster in 2026?

5%chance
45% this week
1 comment
12 forecasters

Who will be the first person invested as Prime Minister of Spain after the November 29, 2026 general election?

Alberto Nรบรฑez Feijรณo
88.8%
Pedro Sรกnchez
7.4%
Santiago Abascal
0.1%
Another person
2.6%
No one before October 1, 2027
1%
2 comments
20 forecasters

Will ChatGPT-type chatbots disappear before 2100?

51.5%chance
41.5% this week
0 comments
26 forecasters

Will Elon Musk give a SpaceX share to every child in the US in 2027?

2%chance
28% this week
9 comments
81 forecasters

Will Safe Superintelligence (SSI) release an AI model to the public in 2026?

10%chance
1 comment
9 forecasters

What share of the vote will Vox win in Spain's November 29, 2026 general election?

Current estimate
19.4%
2 comments
71 forecasters

Will US and Iranian negotiators meet in person in November or December 2026?

40%chance
10% this week
1 comment
6 forecasters

When will Spain's Congress of Deputies invest a Prime Minister following the November 29, 2026 general election?

Current estimate
25 Jan 2027
17 comments
45 forecasters

Will Generative AI become part of most Americans' daily lives before 2030?

97%chance
12% this week
14 comments
16 forecasters

How long will the employee lockup period be after Anthropic's IPO?

90-134
5.5%
135-179
67.9%
180
11.6%
>180
12.5%
2 others
6 comments
43 forecasters

Will Loudoun County pause final approvals for new Data Centers and Substations before December 16, 2026?

Current estimate
Revealedin 3 days
%chance
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