5 comments
65 forecasters
Will the Trump administration or a GOP state governor deploy armed officers or troops to a polling or early voting site in 2026?
15%chance
3 comments
64 forecasters
How many executions will be carried out in the US in 2026?
Fewer than 39
39
40
41
More than 41
21 comments
92 forecasters
Who will win the bet between Gary Marcus and Miles Brundage about the state of AI at the end of 2027?
Gary Marcus
Miles Brundage
0 comments
4 forecasters
How many jobs will the U.S. economy add in October 2026?
Current estimate
43.7k jobs
8 comments
77 forecasters
What will be the total OpenRouter token usage December 21-27, 2026?
Current estimate
350T tokens
2 comments
45 forecasters
Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential election?
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Flávio Bolsonaro
20 comments
93 forecasters
What will be the winning margin in Brazil’s 2026 presidential election runoff?
Current estimate
3.96 Percentage points
8 comments
83 forecasters
Will the US approve a $10B exchange stabilisation facility for Pakistan before 2027?
8%chance
4% this week
2 comments
58 forecasters
Which government will form after the 2026 New Zealand general election?
Labour-led
National-led
None before January
Other
2 comments
53 forecasters
How many cultural sites in Ukraine will be damaged as of December 31, 2026, according to UNESCO?
Current estimate
Revealedtomorrow