0 comments
16 forecasters

When will Anthropic be publicly traded?

Before November 18
20.7%
November 18, 19 or 20
23%
November 23, 24, or 25
21.6%
After Nov 25 & before Dec 1
18.6%
Not before December
16.1%
0 comments
15 forecasters

Will Vladimir Putin visit the United States in December 2026?

24%chance
28 comments
34 forecasters

When will Anthropic IPO?

Current estimate
30 Nov 2026
4 comments
78 forecasters

What will be the highest score achieved by any model on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index on December 31, 2026?

Current estimate
66.4 Index Score
1 comment
30 forecasters

Which party will win the most votes in Spain's November 29, 2026 general election?

PP
77.3%
PSOE
20.5%
Vox
2%
Another party
0.1%
9 comments
77 forecasters

Will Loudoun County pause final approvals for new Data Centers and Substations before December 16, 2026?

65%chance
3 comments
91 forecasters

Will the U.S. and Iran return to war before December 2026?

45%chance
17% this week
1 comment
34 forecasters

Will a federal voter ID bill be signed by Trump before Jan. 20, 2029?

20%chance
46% this week
5 comments
73 forecasters

How much US online spending will Adobe report for Cyber Monday 2026?

Current estimate
15.2 billion USD
6 comments
40 forecasters

By how many points will Kiko Llaneras beat the Community Prediction in the 2026 Fall Metaculus Cup?

Current estimate
Revealednext week
4 comments
25 forecasters

Will ChatGPT-type chatbots disappear before 2100?

51.5%chance
33.5% this week
0 comments
8 forecasters

Will a Prรฉfecture de Police curfew be in effect anywhere in Paris on the night of New Year's Eve 2026?

20%chance
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