1 comment
21 forecasters
Which party will win the most votes in Spain's November 29, 2026 general election?
PP
PSOE
Vox
Another party
1 comment
12 forecasters
Who will be the first person invested as Prime Minister of Spain after the November 29, 2026 general election?
Alberto Núñez Feijóo
Pedro Sánchez
Santiago Abascal
Another person
No one before October 1, 2027
0 comments
26 forecasters
Will Elon Musk give a SpaceX share to every child in the US in 2027?
3%chance
30% this week
9 comments
78 forecasters
Will Safe Superintelligence (SSI) release an AI model to the public in 2026?
10%chance
1 comment
9 forecasters
What share of the vote will Vox win in Spain's November 29, 2026 general election?
Current estimate
19.4%
16 comments
44 forecasters
Will Generative AI become part of most Americans' daily lives before 2030?
95%chance
13% this week
2 comments
24 forecasters
Will Argentina's economy grow at 3.5% or faster in 2026?
10%chance
40% this week
1 comment
6 forecasters
When will Spain's Congress of Deputies invest a Prime Minister following the November 29, 2026 general election?
Current estimate
25 Jan 2027
2 comments
68 forecasters
Will US and Iranian negotiators meet in person in November or December 2026?
35%chance
15% this week
14 comments
16 forecasters
How long will the employee lockup period be after Anthropic's IPO?
90-134
135-179
180
>180
2 others
54 comments
140 forecasters
How many bots will finish in the top 10 of the Metaculus Cup Fall 2026?
Current estimate
5.11 bots