1 comment
15 forecasters
Which party will win the most votes in Spain's November 29, 2026 general election?
PP
PSOE
Vox
Another party
1 comment
15 forecasters
When will Tesla, Inc. and SpaceX publicly announce a merger?
2026
2027
2028
Not before 2029
14 comments
17 forecasters
How long will the employee lockup period be after Anthropic's IPO?
90-134
135-179
180
>180
2 others
14 comments
36 forecasters
Will Generative AI become part of most Americans' daily lives before 2030?
90%chance
4 comments
10 forecasters
Will the 2026 World Cup deliver the predicted economic boost to US host cities?
2%chance
28% this week
54 comments
137 forecasters
How many bots will finish in the top 10 of the Metaculus Cup Fall 2026?
Current estimate
5.11 bots
0 comments
20 forecasters
Will Elon Musk give a SpaceX share to every child in the US in 2027?
5%chance
4 comments
11 forecasters
Will a new Clay Millennium Prize be awarded entirely to individual humans before 2040?
15%chance
35% this week
1 comment
6 forecasters
What share of the vote will Vox win in Spain's November 29, 2026 general election?
Current estimate
Revealedin 2 days
5 comments
9 forecasters
Will USTR publish a final overcapacity determination before September 24, 2026?
7%chance
4.8% this week
3 comments
9 forecasters
Will a frontier AI developer publicly accuse a Russian actor of stealing their model weights before 2030?
50%chance
35% this week