1 comment
22 forecasters

Which party will win the most votes in Spain's November 29, 2026 general election?

PP
45.4%
PSOE
29.1%
Vox
23.3%
Another party
2.3%
1 comment
12 forecasters

Who will be the first person invested as Prime Minister of Spain after the November 29, 2026 general election?

Alberto NΓΊΓ±ez FeijΓ³o
88.8%
Pedro SΓ‘nchez
7.4%
Santiago Abascal
0.1%
Another person
2.6%
No one before October 1, 2027
1%
0 comments
26 forecasters

Will Elon Musk give a SpaceX share to every child in the US in 2027?

2%chance
28% this week
2 comments
20 forecasters

Will ChatGPT-type chatbots disappear before 2100?

51.5%chance
41.5% this week
9 comments
78 forecasters

Will Safe Superintelligence (SSI) release an AI model to the public in 2026?

10%chance
3% this week
1 comment
9 forecasters

What share of the vote will Vox win in Spain's November 29, 2026 general election?

Current estimate
19.4%
2 comments
69 forecasters

Will US and Iranian negotiators meet in person in November or December 2026?

40%chance
18% this week
16 comments
45 forecasters

Will Generative AI become part of most Americans' daily lives before 2030?

97%chance
12% this week
2 comments
24 forecasters

Will Argentina's economy grow at 3.5% or faster in 2026?

10%chance
40% this week
1 comment
6 forecasters

When will Spain's Congress of Deputies invest a Prime Minister following the November 29, 2026 general election?

Current estimate
25 Jan 2027
14 comments
16 forecasters

How long will the employee lockup period be after Anthropic's IPO?

90-134
5.5%
135-179
67.9%
180
11.6%
>180
12.5%
2 others
2 comments
10 forecasters

Will Viktor Orban return as prime minister before 2031?

7%chance
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