18 comments
16 forecasters

What will Sam Altman's net worth be in January 2030?

Current estimate
43.8 B$
6 comments
13 forecasters

Will China recognize Tibet before 2070?

5%chance
6 comments
3 forecasters

Will the United States' share of major arms exports decrease by more than 15% between 2024 and 2030?

50%chance
0 comments
3 forecasters

How long will the employee lockup period be after OpenAI's IPO?

45-89
18.5%
90-134
19.1%
135-179
24.4%
180
26.6%
2 others
3 comments
26 forecasters

Will Italy's Schengen suspension against Spain be lifted before August 30, 2026?

10%chance
0 comments
12 forecasters

Will a bot finish in the top 5 of the Summer 2026 Metaculus Cup?

97%chance
2 comments
6 forecasters

What will be the highest intraday value of the VIX in August 2026?

Current estimate
21.1
20 comments
119 forecasters

Will a bot beat all humans in the Summer 2026 Metaculus Cup?

50%chance
37% this week
1 comment
1 forecaster

Will Chinese regulators mandate the removal of Love and Deepspace before July 1, 2027?

1%chance
1 comment
55 forecasters

How many vehicles will enter Sturgis for the 86th Annual Sturgis Motorcycle Rally?

Current estimate
489k Vehicles
0 comments
4 forecasters

What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia for July 2026?

Current estimate
4.4%
0 comments
5 forecasters

What will be the seasonally adjusted S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index for June 2026?

Current estimate
331
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