4 comments
9 forecasters

Will the 2026 World Cup deliver the predicted economic boost to US host cities?

1%chance
37% this week
10 comments
31 forecasters

Will Generative AI become part of most Americans' daily lives before 2030?

90%chance
5% today
0 comments
9 forecasters

Will Elon Musk give a SpaceX share to every child in the US in 2027?

10%chance
1 comment
3 forecasters

What share of the vote will Vox win in Spain's November 29, 2026 general election?

Current estimate
Revealedin 5 days
12 comments
16 forecasters

How long will the employee lockup period be after Anthropic's IPO?

90-134
12.5%
135-179
52%
180
21%
>180
8.2%
2 others
4 comments
81 forecasters

How many seats will PP and Vox collectively receive in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Current estimate
196 Seats
11 comments
87 forecasters

What will be the all-time highest close price of NVDA before January 1, 2027?

Current estimate
242 $
1 comment
8 forecasters

When will Tesla, Inc. and SpaceX publicly announce a merger?

2026
12%
2027
19.3%
2028
14.4%
Not before 2029
54.2%
2 comments
81 forecasters

What first round vote share will Josรฉ Maria Neves win in the 2026 Cape Verdean presidential election?

Current estimate
53.6%
1 comment
17 forecasters

What percent of Americans will oppose the Iran War on the eve of Election Day 2026?

Current estimate
57%
6 comments
91 forecasters

Who will be the 2026 Time Person of the Year?

Mark Carney
9.1%
Pope Leo XIV
9.8%
Zohran Mamdani
23%
Other
38.1%
8 others
0 comments
13 forecasters

What will Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot on the eve of Election Day 2026?

Current estimate
8.79%
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