5 comments
59 forecasters
What will be the all-time highest close price of NVDA before January 1, 2027?
Current estimate
242 $
2 comments
7 forecasters
Will a new Clay Millennium Prize be awarded entirely to individual humans before 2040?
50%chance
1 comment
1 forecaster
Will the Phase 3 LiGeR-HN1 trial of petosemtamab + pembrolizumab in 1L HNSCC meet its primary endpoint before 2028?
73%chance
1 comment
5 forecasters
Will a representative survey in a G20 country find, before 2050, that a majority of adults believe AI has subjective experience?
50%chance
3 comments
7 forecasters
Will Generative AI become part of most Americans' daily lives before 2030?
Current estimate
Revealedin 2 days
%chance
4 comments
68 forecasters
Who will be the 2026 Time Person of the Year?
Dario Amodei
Artificial Intelligence
Astronaut(s)
Mark Carney
8 others
1 comment
1 forecaster
When will Tesla, Inc. and SpaceX publicly announce a merger?
2026
2027
2028
Not before 2029
682 comments
1.8k forecasters
When will the first weakly general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?
Current estimate
03 Sep 2027
1 comment
1 forecaster
Will Viktor Orban return as prime minister before 2031?
Current estimate
Revealedin 6 days
%chance
2 comments
81 forecasters
Which government will form after the 2026 New Zealand general election?
Labour-led
National-led
None before January
Other
7 comments
87 forecasters
How many executions will be carried out in the US in 2026?
Fewer than 39
39
40
41
More than 41