1 comment
21 forecasters

Which party will win the most votes in Spain's November 29, 2026 general election?

PP
Hidden
PSOE
Hidden
Vox
Hidden
Another party
Hidden
0 comments
26 forecasters

Will Elon Musk give a SpaceX share to every child in the US in 2027?

3%chance
31% this week
16 comments
44 forecasters

Will Generative AI become part of most Americans' daily lives before 2030?

95%chance
13% this week
2 comments
24 forecasters

Will Argentina's economy grow at 3.5% or faster in 2026?

10%chance
40% this week
14 comments
16 forecasters

How long will the employee lockup period be after Anthropic's IPO?

90-134
5.5%
135-179
67.9%
180
11.6%
>180
12.5%
2 others
1 comment
12 forecasters

Who will be the first person invested as Prime Minister of Spain after the November 29, 2026 general election?

Alberto NΓΊΓ±ez FeijΓ³o
Hidden
Pedro SΓ‘nchez
Hidden
Santiago Abascal
Hidden
Another person
Hidden
No one before October 1, 2027
Hidden
2 comments
10 forecasters

Will Viktor Orban return as prime minister before 2031?

7%chance
54 comments
140 forecasters

How many bots will finish in the top 10 of the Metaculus Cup Fall 2026?

Current estimate
5.11 bots
3 comments
38 forecasters

How much US online spending will Adobe report for Cyber Monday 2026?

Current estimate
Revealedin 6 days
4 comments
40 forecasters

Will COP31 in Antalya close more than 24 hours after its scheduled end?

Current estimate
Revealedin 5 days
%chance
2 comments
20 forecasters

When will Tesla, Inc. and SpaceX publicly announce a merger?

2026
2.2%
2027
13.7%
2028
23.4%
Not before 2029
60.7%
6 comments
39 forecasters

Will Loudoun County pause final approvals for new Data Centers and Substations before December 16, 2026?

Current estimate
Revealedin 4 days
%chance
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