11 comments
58 forecasters

Will the United States attack Oman before 2027?

Current estimate
Revealedin 7 hours
%chance
1 comment
2 forecasters

Will the 2026 World Cup deliver the predicted economic boost to US host cities?

39.5%chance
1 comment
7 forecasters

Will the Trump administration issue a new binding rule tightening advanced-computing or semiconductor-equipment export controls for China before January 1, 2027?

37%chance
3 comments
7 forecasters

Will China further tighten its post–November 10, 2026 rare-earth export-control regime?

40%chance
640 comments
1.8k forecasters

When will the first weakly general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

Current estimate
22 Jan 2028
3 comments
17 forecasters

Will Homo sapiens go extinct before 2400?

21.3%chance
3 comments
52 forecasters

How many Major Atlantic Hurricanes will occur in the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season?

0
Hidden
1
Hidden
2
Hidden
3
Hidden
4+
Hidden
3 comments
19 forecasters

Will the ICJ find that Israel committed genocide before 2040?

56%chance
11 comments
37 forecasters

Will humans be able to communicate via telepathy before 2050?

75%chance
32% this week
3 comments
38 forecasters

Will the use of whips be banned on or before the 2026 Melbourne Cup thoroughbred horse race?

5%chance
23% this week
1 comment
2 forecasters

Will the KBRA Middle Market Default Monitor rate by debt exceed 5.00% in any quarterly report published before 2029?

67.5%chance
1 comment
49 forecasters

Will FEWS NET classify any area of Sudan as experiencing Famine before 2027?

Current estimate
Revealedtomorrow
%chance
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