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🇺🇸US Midterms💥Iran War⚔️Metaculus Cup❓Top Questions🗞️Current Events🤖Artificial Intelligence🌍Geopolitics💼Economy and Business🚀Space
4 comments
8 forecasters

What is the next planet, besides Earth or Mars, that a human being will reach?

Mercury
7.3%
Venus
89.7%
Jupiter
1.4%
Other
1.4%
None
0.1%
0 comments
6 forecasters

When will OpenAI IPO?

Current estimate
12 May 2027
0 comments
7 forecasters

When will Anthropic IPO?

Current estimate
10 Jan 2027
4 comments
48 forecasters

What will be the total number of US cyclosporiasis hospitalizations before September 2026?

Current estimate
824 Hospitalizations
20 comments
109 forecasters

Will a bot beat all humans in the Summer 2026 Metaculus Cup?

55%chance
41% this week
3 comments
52 forecasters

What will be the weekly cumulative burnt areas (ha) from forest fires in the EU on August 26, 2026?

Current estimate
638k ha
0 comments
8 forecasters

Will the total number of hospitalizations from cyclosporiasis in Michigan remain under 300 through the end of August 2026?

33%chance
4 comments
4 forecasters

Will China recognize Tibet before 2070?

30%chance
0 comments
46 forecasters

Who will win Division 1A in the 2026 World Yo-Yo Contest?

Mir Kim
46.9%
Hunter Feuerstein
13.2%
Jakub Dolejš
9.1%
Other
12.3%
3 others
1 comment
4 forecasters

Will Nigeria's inflation rate fall below 15% during 2026?

33%chance
7 comments
70 forecasters

How many trillion dollar companies will there be on August 31, 2026?

13 or fewer
27.6%
14
27.6%
15
25.5%
16
11.1%
3 others
0 comments
2 forecasters

How long will the employee lockup period be after Anthropic's IPO?

45-89
25.1%
90-134
21%
135-179
16.4%
180
27.5%
2 others
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