0 comments
17 forecasters

When will Anthropic be publicly traded?

Before November 18
21.5%
November 18, 19 or 20
26.3%
November 23, 24, or 25
22.4%
After Nov 25 & before Dec 1
17.9%
Not before December
11.9%
33 comments
37 forecasters

When will Anthropic IPO?

Current estimate
23 Nov 2026
0 comments
15 forecasters

Will Vladimir Putin visit the United States in December 2026?

24%chance
4 comments
78 forecasters

What will be the highest score achieved by any model on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index on December 31, 2026?

Current estimate
66.5 Index Score
3 comments
92 forecasters

Will the U.S. and Iran return to war before December 2026?

41%chance
20.3% this week
1 comment
32 forecasters

Which party will win the most votes in Spain's November 29, 2026 general election?

PP
77.8%
PSOE
20.1%
Vox
2%
Another party
0.1%
9 comments
77 forecasters

Will Loudoun County pause final approvals for new Data Centers and Substations before December 16, 2026?

65%chance
1 comment
35 forecasters

Will a federal voter ID bill be signed by Trump before Jan. 20, 2029?

20%chance
46% this week
6 comments
44 forecasters

By how many points will Kiko Llaneras beat the Community Prediction in the 2026 Fall Metaculus Cup?

Current estimate
Revealedin 6 days
5 comments
73 forecasters

How much US online spending will Adobe report for Cyber Monday 2026?

Current estimate
15.2 billion USD
1 comment
47 forecasters

Will Ukraine have de facto control of Dobropillia, Donetsk on December 31, 2026?

Current estimate
Revealedin 5 days
%chance
18 comments
113 forecasters

How many executions will be carried out in the US in 2026?

Fewer than 39
9.1%
39
22.8%
40
29.5%
41
28.5%
More than 41
10.2%
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