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🇺🇸US Midterms💥Iran War⚔️Metaculus Cup❓Top Questions🗞️Current Events🤖Artificial Intelligence🌍Geopolitics💼Economy and Business🚀Space
1 comment
12 forecasters

Which party will win the most votes in Spain's November 29, 2026 general election?

PP
Hidden
PSOE
Hidden
Vox
Hidden
Another party
Hidden
1 comment
10 forecasters

When will Tesla, Inc. and SpaceX publicly announce a merger?

2026
10.5%
2027
37.9%
2028
15.8%
Not before 2029
35.8%
2 comments
6 forecasters

Will Viktor Orban return as prime minister before 2031?

20%chance
14 comments
17 forecasters

How long will the employee lockup period be after Anthropic's IPO?

90-134
13.6%
135-179
59.7%
180
11.4%
>180
12.3%
2 others
14 comments
35 forecasters

Will Generative AI become part of most Americans' daily lives before 2030?

90%chance
1 comment
5 forecasters

What share of the vote will Vox win in Spain's November 29, 2026 general election?

Current estimate
Revealedin 3 days
0 comments
17 forecasters

Will Elon Musk give a SpaceX share to every child in the US in 2027?

9%chance
4 comments
10 forecasters

Will the 2026 World Cup deliver the predicted economic boost to US host cities?

2%chance
28% this week
54 comments
135 forecasters

How many bots will finish in the top 10 of the Metaculus Cup Fall 2026?

Current estimate
5.14 bots
4 comments
11 forecasters

Will a new Clay Millennium Prize be awarded entirely to individual humans before 2040?

15%chance
35% this week
5 comments
86 forecasters

How many seats will PP and Vox collectively receive in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Current estimate
196 Seats
20 comments
855 forecasters

Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel during 2026?

19%chance
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