6 comments
100 forecasters
Will another U.S. cabinet member leave office before May 2026?
92%chance
57% this week
3 comments
11 forecasters
Will atomic chess be solved by 2100, and if so, what result?
Win for White32.7%
Draw16.8%
Win for Black2.2%
No Proof by 210048.3%
2 comments
64 forecasters
Will the UAE engage with 2 or more additional Iranian projectiles (drones or missiles) before May 1, 2026?
18%chance
4 comments
1 forecaster
Where will Wishbone Deluxe debut on the Billboard 200?
Current estimate
8.98 Rank
1 comment
56 forecasters
What percent of Americans will oppose the Iran War on May 14, 2026?
Current estimate
55.8%
0 comments
14 forecasters
Will United Airlines and American Airlines announce a definitive merger agreement before January 1, 2027?
27%chance
0 comments
20 forecasters
What will be the Global Peace Index score for the United States in 2026?
Current estimate
2.48
0 comments
17 forecasters
How many new national emergencies will Donald J. Trump declare under the National Emergencies Act in 2026?
Current estimate
4.28 US Emergencies Declared
1 comment
86 forecasters
Which Bloc will form the 2026 Danish Government?
Blue Bloc2%
Red Bloc17.7%
Cross Bloc14.7%
No Formation before May65.6%
4 comments
51 forecasters
Will the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) close above 30 on more than 5 trading days between April 20, 2026 and May 31, 2026?
Current estimate
Revealed in 2 days
0 comments
6 forecasters
When will Claude Opus 4.6 stop being available on Claude’s web app to paid subscribers?
Current estimate
Revealed tomorrow