4 comments
67 forecasters

How many executions will be carried out in the US in 2026?

Fewer than 39
36.3%
39
21.2%
40
19.2%
41
12.1%
More than 41
11.1%
5 comments
68 forecasters

Will the Trump administration or a GOP state governor deploy armed officers or troops to a polling or early voting site in 2026?

17%chance
21 comments
92 forecasters

Who will win the bet between Gary Marcus and Miles Brundage about the state of AI at the end of 2027?

Gary Marcus
30%
Miles Brundage
70%
1 comment
66 forecasters

Will Israel withdraw behind the original Yellow Line in Gaza before January 1, 2027?

5%chance
1 comment
2 forecasters

Will online prediction markets cease to exist before 2100?

0.6%chance
2 comments
45 forecasters

Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential election?

Luiz Inรกcio Lula da Silva
25%
Flรกvio Bolsonaro
75%
0 comments
4 forecasters

How many jobs will the U.S. economy add in October 2026?

Current estimate
43.7k jobs
2 comments
53 forecasters

How many cultural sites in Ukraine will be damaged as of December 31, 2026, according to UNESCO?

Current estimate
Revealedtomorrow
8 comments
77 forecasters

What will be the total OpenRouter token usage December 21-27, 2026?

Current estimate
349T tokens
3 comments
4 forecasters

When will ChatGPT Dots become available to ChatGPT Pro subscribers in the EEA?

Current estimate
02 Feb 2027
20 comments
93 forecasters

What will be the winning margin in Brazilโ€™s 2026 presidential election runoff?

Current estimate
3.68 Percentage points
2 comments
9 forecasters

Will Metaculus exist in 2050?

50%chance
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