13 comments
52 forecasters
How many bots will finish in the top 10 of the Metaculus Cup Fall 2026?
Current estimate
Revealedin 4 days
1 comment
3 forecasters
Will Massachusetts enact frontier AI safety legislation during the 194th General Court?
75%chance
0 comments
10 forecasters
What percentage of companies globally will fulfill their pre-2026 cage-free commitments in 2026 and 2027?
Current estimate
13%
0 comments
8 forecasters
Will at least one additional U.S. state enact a cage-free egg requirement before July 2027?
10%chance
0 comments
9 forecasters
What will be the total retail sales of plant-based meat and seafood in 2026?
Current estimate
6.88B $
669 comments
1.8k forecasters
When will the first weakly general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?
Current estimate
17 Sep 2027
1 comment
15 forecasters
Will a Chinese frontier model cross the U.S. AI frontier by at least 2 ECI points before 2029?
20%chance
0 comments
8 forecasters
How many shrimp per year will be covered by SWP's Humane Slaughter Initiative agreements on July 1, 2027?
Current estimate
8.42B Shrimp
2 comments
12 forecasters
What will be Lula’s first-round vote-share margin over Flávio Bolsonaro in Brazil’s 2026 presidential election?
Current estimate
1.2%
9 comments
48 forecasters
Which party will win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli election?
Likud
Yashar
Other