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Future of work & AIFuture of the US workforce as AI advances
9 comments
58 forecasters
What will SpaceX's stock price be at the end of August 2026?
Current estimate
153 $
5 comments
32 forecasters
Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the contiguous US, before 2027?
70%chance
5% this week
13 comments
68 forecasters
Will any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup be delayed by more than 30 minutes due to extreme heat?
15%chance
19 comments
75 forecasters
Who will win the 2026 California gubernatorial election?
Chad Bianco0.1%
Steve Hilton4.6%
Katie Porter0.1%
Xavier Becerra95%
0 comments
17 forecasters
Will any host nation (USA, Mexico or Canada) reach the semifinals of the 2026 World Cup?
5%chance
8 comments
65 forecasters
Will Shakira's "Dai Dai" outpeak Shakira's "Waka Waka" on the Billboard Hot 100?
21.8%chance
0 comments
4 forecasters
Will there be a Cockroach Janta Party protest with at least 20,000 participants before 2027?
50%chance
20 comments
67 forecasters
Will the Community beat Dylan Matthews in the Metaculus Cup Summer 2026?
Current estimate
Revealedin 2 days
%chance
2 comments
4 forecasters
When will an airborne SARS-CoV-2 virus monitor be commercially available?
Current estimate
>Jan 2034
2 comments
10 forecasters
Will OpenAI publicly file an initial registration statement (S-1) with the SEC to launch an IPO, before September 1, 2026?
52%chance
3 comments
5 forecasters
What percentage of votes will be for Yes in Iceland's August 2026 EU referendum?
Less than or equal to 50% (the referendum fails)20.9%
Greater than 50% and less than 53%33%
Greater than or equal to 53% and less than 56%33%
Greater than or equal to 56%13.2%