1 comment
37 forecasters
Will a federal voter ID bill be signed by Trump before Jan. 20, 2029?
15%chance
50.9% this week
4 comments
92 forecasters
What will be the highest score achieved by any model on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index on December 31, 2026?
Current estimate
67.1 Index Score
6 comments
110 forecasters
Will the U.S. and Iran return to war before December 2026?
39.5%chance
20.5% this week
5 comments
60 forecasters
Will Ukraine have de facto control of Dobropillia, Donetsk on December 31, 2026?
Current estimate
Revealedin 3 days
%chance
7 comments
54 forecasters
By how many points will Kiko Llaneras beat the Community Prediction in the 2026 Fall Metaculus Cup?
Current estimate
Revealedin 4 days
11 comments
86 forecasters
Will Loudoun County pause final approvals for new Data Centers and Substations before December 16, 2026?
66%chance
10% this week
5 comments
81 forecasters
How much US online spending will Adobe report for Cyber Monday 2026?
Current estimate
15.2 billion USD
18 comments
118 forecasters
How many executions will be carried out in the US in 2026?
Fewer than 39
39
40
41
More than 41
2 comments
52 forecasters
How many of Taiwan's 22 mayor and county magistrate seats will the KMT win in the November 28, 2026 local elections?
Current estimate
Revealedin 2 days
0 comments
55 forecasters
Will criminal or civil immigration charges be brought against Ilhan Omar before 2027?
Current estimate
Revealedin 3 days
%chance