1 comment
9 forecasters
Will a representative survey in a G20 country find, before 2050, that a majority of adults believe AI has subjective experience?
64%chance
5 comments
76 forecasters
Who will be the 2026 Time Person of the Year?
Mark Carney
Pope Leo XIV
Zohran Mamdani
Other
8 others
6 comments
66 forecasters
What will be the all-time highest close price of NVDA before January 1, 2027?
Current estimate
243 $
1 comment
1 forecaster
Will the Phase 3 LiGeR-HN1 trial of petosemtamab + pembrolizumab in 1L HNSCC meet its primary endpoint before 2028?
73%chance
2 comments
7 forecasters
Will a new Clay Millennium Prize be awarded entirely to individual humans before 2040?
50%chance
3 comments
7 forecasters
Will Generative AI become part of most Americans' daily lives before 2030?
Current estimate
Revealedtomorrow
%chance
2 comments
2 forecasters
Will Viktor Orban return as prime minister before 2031?
Current estimate
Revealedin 5 days
%chance
1 comment
1 forecaster
When will Tesla, Inc. and SpaceX publicly announce a merger?
2026
2027
2028
Not before 2029
20 comments
143 forecasters
Who will win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Harry Kane
Kylian Mbappé
Rodri
Lamine Yamal
3 others
4 comments
82 forecasters
How many cultural sites in Ukraine will be damaged as of December 31, 2026, according to UNESCO?
Current estimate
585 Cultural Sites
7 comments
88 forecasters
How many executions will be carried out in the US in 2026?
Fewer than 39
39
40
41
More than 41