32 comments
100 forecasters

How many bots will finish in the top 10 of the Metaculus Cup Fall 2026?

Current estimate
5.12 bots
10 comments
70 forecasters

Will Trump demolish the Kennedy Center before January 1, 2027?

7%chance
4 comments
4 forecasters

Which party will win the next (post-2023) parliamentary elections in Slovakia?

SMER-SD (Social Democracy)
24.8%
PS (Progressivism)
41.4%
Slovensko (Populism)
6.9%
Republika (Nationalism)
17.4%
3 others
5 comments
54 forecasters

What will be the highest intraday value of the VIX between October 1 and December 24, 2026?

Current estimate
24.2 Units
3 comments
56 forecasters

How many politicians will leave their cabinet positions in the UK government before 2027?

0
61.3%
1
25.4%
2
8.2%
3 or more
5.1%
1 comment
8 forecasters

Will ChatGPT-type chatbots disappear before 2100?

78%chance
26 comments
142 forecasters

How many Major Atlantic Hurricanes will occur in the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season?

0
77.5%
1
18.6%
2
3%
3
0.8%
4+
0.1%
1 comment
4 forecasters

Will the NextEra Energy and Dominion Energy merger close before 2028?

53%chance
12 comments
95 forecasters

What will be the US national debt on December 31, 2026?

Current estimate
41.1T $
3 comments
7 forecasters

When will a vaccine for any major neurodegenerative disease receive regulatory approval?

Current estimate
12 Sep 2030
13 comments
98 forecasters

Which party will win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli election?

Likud
41%
Yashar
58%
Other
1%
9 comments
106 forecasters

Will Venezuela announce a presidential election before 2027?

9%chance
6% this week
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