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🇺🇸US Midterms💥Iran War⚔️Metaculus Cup❓Top Questions🗞️Current Events🤖Artificial Intelligence🌍Geopolitics💼Economy and Business🚀Space
2 comments
10 forecasters

Will South Sudan hold a national presidential election before January 1, 2027?

0.1%chance
49.9% this week
0 comments
23 forecasters

When will Anthropic be publicly traded?

Before November 18
1.1%
November 18, 19 or 20
62.7%
November 23, 24, or 25
22.7%
After Nov 25 & before Dec 1
5.7%
Not before December
7.8%
37 comments
48 forecasters

When will Anthropic IPO?

Current estimate
23 Nov 2026
19 comments
119 forecasters

How many executions will be carried out in the US in 2026?

Fewer than 39
1%
39
3.1%
40
24.5%
41
43.7%
More than 41
27.8%
1 comment
37 forecasters

Will a federal voter ID bill be signed by Trump before Jan. 20, 2029?

15%chance
50.9% this week
0 comments
17 forecasters

Will the US House of Representatives impeach Pete Hegseth before January 3, 2029?

75%chance
0 comments
13 forecasters

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact govern the 2028 US presidential election?

25%chance
0 comments
16 forecasters

Will the US federal government enter a shutdown before February 1, 2027?

45%chance
0 comments
13 forecasters

Will Congress override a veto by President Trump before January 20, 2029?

30%chance
0 comments
3 forecasters

How many jobs will the U.S. economy add in November 2026?

Current estimate
72.1k jobs
7 comments
114 forecasters

Will the U.S. and Iran return to war before December 2026?

32%chance
23% this week
11 comments
59 forecasters

By how many points will Kiko Llaneras beat the Community Prediction in the 2026 Fall Metaculus Cup?

Current estimate
Revealedin 2 days
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