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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธUS Midterms๐Ÿ’ฅIran Warโš”๏ธMetaculus Cupโ“Top Questions๐Ÿ—ž๏ธCurrent Events๐Ÿค–Artificial Intelligence๐ŸŒGeopolitics๐Ÿ’ผEconomy and Business๐Ÿš€Space
0 comments
4 forecasters

Will any personnel of the International Stabilization Force be deployed into Gaza before August 25, 2026?

Current estimate
Revealedin 2 weeks
%chance
20 comments
114 forecasters

Will a bot beat all humans in the Summer 2026 Metaculus Cup?

63%chance
50% this week
0 comments
2 forecasters

How long will the employee lockup period be after OpenAI's IPO?

45-89
16.2%
90-134
20.1%
135-179
23.9%
180
30.3%
2 others
4 comments
6 forecasters

Will China recognize Tibet before 2070?

30%chance
0 comments
7 forecasters

When will OpenAI IPO?

Current estimate
06 May 2027
0 comments
7 forecasters

Will a bot finish in the top 5 of the Summer 2026 Metaculus Cup?

95%chance
0 comments
8 forecasters

When will Anthropic IPO?

Current estimate
08 Jan 2027
1 comment
46 forecasters

How many vehicles will enter Sturgis for the 86th Annual Sturgis Motorcycle Rally?

Current estimate
492k Vehicles
5 comments
56 forecasters

What will be the total number of US cyclosporiasis hospitalizations before September 2026?

Current estimate
787 Hospitalizations
4 comments
58 forecasters

What will be the weekly cumulative burnt areas (ha) from forest fires in the EU on August 26, 2026?

Current estimate
650k ha
0 comments
2 forecasters

What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia for July 2026?

Current estimate
4.4%
0 comments
53 forecasters

Who will win Division 1A in the 2026 World Yo-Yo Contest?

Mir Kim
49.6%
Hunter Feuerstein
11.9%
Chandler Steele
7.9%
Other
13.8%
3 others
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