0 comments
11 forecasters

When will Anthropic be publicly traded?

Before November 18
Hidden
November 18, 19 or 20
Hidden
November 23, 24, or 25
Hidden
After Nov 25 & before Dec 1
Hidden
Not before December
Hidden
2 comments
26 forecasters

Will Argentina's economy grow at 3.5% or faster in 2026?

2%chance
46% this week
1 comment
27 forecasters

Which party will win the most votes in Spain's November 29, 2026 general election?

PP
76.7%
PSOE
20.7%
Vox
2%
Another party
0.5%
1 comment
11 forecasters

What share of the vote will Vox win in Spain's November 29, 2026 general election?

Current estimate
19.3%
1 comment
15 forecasters

Who will be the first person invested as Prime Minister of Spain after the November 29, 2026 general election?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo
90.6%
Pedro Sánchez
6.6%
Santiago Abascal
0.3%
Another person
2.3%
No one before October 1, 2027
0.1%
13 comments
95 forecasters

Will Safe Superintelligence (SSI) release an AI model to the public in 2026?

7%chance
7 comments
84 forecasters

What will Grand Theft Auto VI's PS5 Metascore be on December 20, 2026?

Current estimate
95.8 Metascore
1 comment
8 forecasters

What will voter turnout be in Spain's November 29, 2026 general election?

Current estimate
70.5%
4 comments
23 forecasters

Will ChatGPT-type chatbots disappear before 2100?

51.5%chance
35.5% this week
3 comments
82 forecasters

Will US and Iranian negotiators meet in person in November or December 2026?

40%chance
0 comments
6 forecasters

Will a Préfecture de Police curfew be in effect anywhere in Paris on the night of New Year's Eve 2026?

30%chance
1 comment
6 forecasters

When will Spain's Congress of Deputies invest a Prime Minister following the November 29, 2026 general election?

Current estimate
25 Jan 2027
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