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⚙️Labor Automation Tournament🦾FutureEval💥Iran War⚔️Metaculus Cup❓Top Questions🗞️Current Events
0 comments
80 forecasters

Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2027?

2%chance
31 comments
258 forecasters

Who will win the 2026 Candidates Tournament?

Hikaru Nakamura0.1%
Fabiano Caruana1%
Anish Giri1%
Javokhir Sindarov97.4%
0 comments
12 forecasters

Will Tesla discontinue the Cybertruck before January 1, 2027?

40%chance
44 comments
225 forecasters

Will the U.S. conduct a ground invasion of Iran before May 2026?

12%chance
37% this week
12 comments
66 forecasters

Will global tensions push New York yellow globes over $10 per sack in April 2026?

35%chance
35% this week
5 comments
15 forecasters

Will the United States use a nuclear weapon before May 2026?

0.3%chance
4 comments
20 forecasters

[Short fuse] Will a Kenyan win the 2026 Boston marathon?

70%chance
6 comments
3 forecasters

Who will become the next United Nations Secretary General?

Rebeca Grynspan44.7%
Michelle Bachelet27.9%
Rafael Grossi20.1%
Other6.1%
Macky Sall1.2%
16 comments
93 forecasters

Will the United States attempt to occupy or blockade Kharg Island during 2026?

23%chance
46% this week
1 comment
52 forecasters

How many Iranian projectiles (drones and missiles) will the UAE engage with in the 7-day period April 3-April 9, 2026?

Current estimate
318 Missils and drones
2 comments
59 forecasters

Will Stanford HAI’s 2026 AI Index report show U.S. private AI investment in 2025 at least 12x China’s?

60%chance
10% today
1 comment
63 forecasters

How much will "Michael" gross domestically during the film's opening weekend?

Current estimate
81.6 US $m
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