0 comments
7 forecasters

Who will be the 2026 Democratic nominee for U.S. Senator from Maine?

Troy Jackson
76%
Nirav Shah
15%
Jordan Wood
1%
Shenna Bellows
3%
38 comments
820 forecasters

Will the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup be a country that has never won before?

0.1%chance
12.9% this week
54 comments
216 forecasters

Will any U.S. state or EU member state restrict large-scale data center grid connections before September 2026?

70%chance
42% this week
3 comments
8 forecasters

Will a Tucker Carlson-founded political party file FEC Form 1 before September 2026?

7%chance
3 comments
42 forecasters

What percentage of the vote will Nigel Farage receive in the Clacton parliamentary by-election in August 2026?

Current estimate
65.5%
0 comments
4 forecasters

Will Thomas Massie file to run for any elective office before August 25, 2026?

10%chance
1 comment
5 forecasters

Will the United States be the largest economy in the world by nominal GDP in 2100?

18%chance
2 comments
66 forecasters

How many gold medals will Australia win at the 2026 Commonwealth Games?

Current estimate
53.9 Gold Medals
0 comments
2 forecasters

When will atomically precise manufacturing achieve a rate of 1 atom per second?

Current estimate
Jun 2032
5 comments
5 forecasters

Which country will be first to factor the 2048-bit RSA challenge number?

United States of America
49.5%
People’s Republic of China
35.6%
Other
14.9%
0 comments
16 forecasters

Will Vladimir Putin visit Iran before September 1, 2026?

13%chance
7 comments
73 forecasters

Will the Lebanese Armed Forces deploy to the initial two pilot zones in southern Lebanon before September 2026?

27%chance
13% this week
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