1 comment
37 forecasters
Will a federal voter ID bill be signed by Trump before Jan. 20, 2029?
15%chance
50.9% this week
4 comments
93 forecasters
What will be the highest score achieved by any model on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index on December 31, 2026?
Current estimate
67.2 Index Score
6 comments
111 forecasters
Will the U.S. and Iran return to war before December 2026?
37%chance
23% this week
0 comments
27 forecasters
Will Vladimir Putin visit the United States in December 2026?
10%chance
6% this week
18 comments
118 forecasters
How many executions will be carried out in the US in 2026?
Fewer than 39
39
40
41
More than 41
5 comments
61 forecasters
Will Ukraine have de facto control of Dobropillia, Donetsk on December 31, 2026?
Current estimate
Revealedin 3 days
%chance
11 comments
87 forecasters
Will Loudoun County pause final approvals for new Data Centers and Substations before December 16, 2026?
66%chance
10% this week
5 comments
82 forecasters
How much US online spending will Adobe report for Cyber Monday 2026?
Current estimate
15.2 billion USD
7 comments
54 forecasters
By how many points will Kiko Llaneras beat the Community Prediction in the 2026 Fall Metaculus Cup?
Current estimate
Revealedin 4 days
0 comments
10 forecasters
Will the US House of Representatives impeach Pete Hegseth before January 3, 2029?
Current estimate
Revealedin 11 hours
%chance
2 comments
52 forecasters
How many of Taiwan's 22 mayor and county magistrate seats will the KMT win in the November 28, 2026 local elections?
Current estimate
Revealedin 2 days