0 comments
16 forecasters

When will Anthropic be publicly traded?

Before November 18
19.5%
November 18, 19 or 20
23.8%
November 23, 24, or 25
25.4%
After Nov 25 & before Dec 1
16.2%
Not before December
15.1%
32 comments
34 forecasters

When will Anthropic IPO?

Current estimate
25 Nov 2026
0 comments
15 forecasters

Will Vladimir Putin visit the United States in December 2026?

24%chance
4 comments
78 forecasters

What will be the highest score achieved by any model on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index on December 31, 2026?

Current estimate
66.4 Index Score
1 comment
31 forecasters

Which party will win the most votes in Spain's November 29, 2026 general election?

PP
77.3%
PSOE
20.5%
Vox
2%
Another party
0.1%
3 comments
91 forecasters

Will the U.S. and Iran return to war before December 2026?

45%chance
19% this week
9 comments
77 forecasters

Will Loudoun County pause final approvals for new Data Centers and Substations before December 16, 2026?

65%chance
1 comment
34 forecasters

Will a federal voter ID bill be signed by Trump before Jan. 20, 2029?

20%chance
46% this week
5 comments
73 forecasters

How much US online spending will Adobe report for Cyber Monday 2026?

Current estimate
15.2 billion USD
6 comments
42 forecasters

By how many points will Kiko Llaneras beat the Community Prediction in the 2026 Fall Metaculus Cup?

Current estimate
Revealednext week
18 comments
113 forecasters

How many executions will be carried out in the US in 2026?

Fewer than 39
10.1%
39
23.1%
40
28.6%
41
28.1%
More than 41
10.1%
0 comments
44 forecasters

Will criminal or civil immigration charges be brought against Ilhan Omar before 2027?

Current estimate
Revealedin 6 days
%chance
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