0 comments
21 forecasters
When will Anthropic be publicly traded?
Before November 18
November 18, 19 or 20
November 23, 24, or 25
After Nov 25 & before Dec 1
Not before December
1 comment
37 forecasters
Will a federal voter ID bill be signed by Trump before Jan. 20, 2029?
15%chance
51% this week
4 comments
88 forecasters
What will be the highest score achieved by any model on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index on December 31, 2026?
Current estimate
67 Index Score
5 comments
105 forecasters
Will the U.S. and Iran return to war before December 2026?
35%chance
24% this week
0 comments
25 forecasters
Will Vladimir Putin visit the United States in December 2026?
17%chance
23% this week
5 comments
79 forecasters
How much US online spending will Adobe report for Cyber Monday 2026?
Current estimate
15.2 billion USD
7 comments
50 forecasters
By how many points will Kiko Llaneras beat the Community Prediction in the 2026 Fall Metaculus Cup?
Current estimate
Revealedin 5 days
5 comments
58 forecasters
Will Ukraine have de facto control of Dobropillia, Donetsk on December 31, 2026?
Current estimate
Revealedin 4 days
%chance
18 comments
117 forecasters
How many executions will be carried out in the US in 2026?
Fewer than 39
39
40
41
More than 41
9 comments
82 forecasters
Will Loudoun County pause final approvals for new Data Centers and Substations before December 16, 2026?
65%chance
5% this week
9 comments
64 forecasters
Will Dubai's planned aerial taxis be operational before 2027?
15%chance
35% this week