7 comments
7 forecasters

Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League due to financial-rule breaches before 2030?

50%chance
1 comment
9 forecasters

Will the 2026 suspected pneumonic plague outbreak in Russia result in 10 fatalities before 2027?

2%chance
1 comment
2 forecasters

Will Russia disable global technology infrastructure including AI before 2050?

0.6%chance
1 comment
4 forecasters

Will Gavin Newsom call a special session of the California Legislature on AI before January 1, 2027?

8%chance
8 comments
31 forecasters

What will be the winning margin in Brazil’s 2026 presidential election runoff?

Current estimate
Revealedin 2 days
37 comments
108 forecasters

How many bots will finish in the top 10 of the Metaculus Cup Fall 2026?

Current estimate
5.05 bots
6 comments
86 forecasters

What will be the total spending by all Senate candidates in the 2026 US election cycle?

Current estimate
1.73B $
14 comments
99 forecasters

Will Trump demolish the Kennedy Center before January 1, 2027?

6%chance
3 comments
8 forecasters

When will a vaccine for any major neurodegenerative disease receive regulatory approval?

Current estimate
May 2033
1 comment
12 forecasters

Will ChatGPT-type chatbots disappear before 2100?

85%chance
4 comments
26 forecasters

Will the US approve a $10B exchange stabilisation facility for Pakistan before 2027?

Current estimate
Revealedin 3 days
%chance
4 comments
25 forecasters

What will be the total OpenRouter token usage December 21-27, 2026?

Current estimate
Revealedin 4 days
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