1 comment
7 forecasters
Will the Trump administration issue a new binding rule tightening advanced-computing or semiconductor-equipment export controls for China before January 1, 2027?
57%chance
3 comments
7 forecasters
Will China further tighten its post–November 10, 2026 rare-earth export-control regime?
40.5%chance
11 comments
36 forecasters
Will humans be able to communicate via telepathy before 2050?
75%chance
32% this week
3 comments
4 forecasters
Who will win 2026-27 LALIGA?
FC Barcelona
Real Madrid CF
VIllarreal CF
Atlético de Madrid
16 others
3 comments
38 forecasters
Will the use of whips be banned on or before the 2026 Melbourne Cup thoroughbred horse race?
5%chance
23% this week
1 comment
2 forecasters
Will the KBRA Middle Market Default Monitor rate by debt exceed 5.00% in any quarterly report published before 2029?
67.5%chance
636 comments
1.8k forecasters
When will the first weakly general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?
Current estimate
28 May 2028
1 comment
1 forecaster
Will the 2026 World Cup deliver the predicted economic boost to US host cities?
Current estimate
Revealedin 3 hours
%chance
5 comments
20 forecasters
What is the next planet, besides Earth or Mars, that a human being will reach?
Mercury
Venus
Jupiter
Other
None
3 comments
12 forecasters
What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia for August 2026?
Current estimate
4.53%