1 comment
37 forecasters
Will a federal voter ID bill be signed by Trump before Jan. 20, 2029?
15%chance
50.9% this week
0 comments
12 forecasters
Will the US House of Representatives impeach Pete Hegseth before January 3, 2029?
72%chance
19 comments
118 forecasters
How many executions will be carried out in the US in 2026?
Fewer than 39
39
40
41
More than 41
10 comments
55 forecasters
By how many points will Kiko Llaneras beat the Community Prediction in the 2026 Fall Metaculus Cup?
Current estimate
Revealedin 4 days
4 comments
93 forecasters
What will be the highest score achieved by any model on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index on December 31, 2026?
Current estimate
67.1 Index Score
7 comments
111 forecasters
Will the U.S. and Iran return to war before December 2026?
35%chance
20% this week
5 comments
63 forecasters
Will Ukraine have de facto control of Dobropillia, Donetsk on December 31, 2026?
Current estimate
Revealedin 3 days
%chance
5 comments
83 forecasters
How much US online spending will Adobe report for Cyber Monday 2026?
Current estimate
15.2 billion USD
0 comments
30 forecasters
Will Vladimir Putin visit the United States in December 2026?
10%chance
6% this week
11 comments
87 forecasters
Will Loudoun County pause final approvals for new Data Centers and Substations before December 16, 2026?
66%chance
6% this week
0 comments
11 forecasters
Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact govern the 2028 US presidential election?
Current estimate
Revealedtomorrow
%chance