0 comments
12 forecasters

When will Anthropic be publicly traded?

Before November 18
26.6%
November 18, 19 or 20
17.2%
November 23, 24, or 25
16.9%
After Nov 25 & before Dec 1
11.3%
Not before December
28%
28 comments
31 forecasters

When will Anthropic IPO?

Current estimate
29 Nov 2026
0 comments
13 forecasters

Will Vladimir Putin visit the United States in December 2026?

16%chance
9 comments
75 forecasters

Will Loudoun County pause final approvals for new Data Centers and Substations before December 16, 2026?

65%chance
5% this week
1 comment
29 forecasters

Which party will win the most votes in Spain's November 29, 2026 general election?

PP
77.6%
PSOE
19.9%
Vox
2%
Another party
0.5%
5 comments
70 forecasters

How much US online spending will Adobe report for Cyber Monday 2026?

Current estimate
15.2 billion USD
3 comments
70 forecasters

What will be the highest score achieved by any model on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index on December 31, 2026?

Current estimate
63.5 Index Score
6 comments
24 forecasters

By how many points will Kiko Llaneras beat the Community Prediction in the 2026 Fall Metaculus Cup?

Current estimate
Revealednext week
3 comments
89 forecasters

Will the U.S. and Iran return to war before December 2026?

54.9%chance
18 comments
113 forecasters

How many executions will be carried out in the US in 2026?

Fewer than 39
10%
39
23%
40
28.6%
41
28%
More than 41
10.5%
4 comments
24 forecasters

Will ChatGPT-type chatbots disappear before 2100?

50%chance
35% this week
13 comments
102 forecasters

Will Safe Superintelligence (SSI) release an AI model to the public in 2026?

5%chance
5% this week
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