2 comments
15 forecasters

Will the WHO report that the 2026 Ebola outbreak has spread to a 6th Congo province before September 1, 2026?

91%chance
3 comments
7 forecasters

Will Ocearch successfully ping Contender, the Atlantic's largest great white shark, before September 1, 2026?

99%chance
57.5% this week
4 comments
7 forecasters

Will there be a natural disaster causing at least 10 million deaths before 2101?

83%chance
2 comments
6 forecasters

Who will be the largest Republican donor in the 2026 cycle, as of September 1, 2026?

Ben Horowitz & Marc Andreessen
63.2%
Elon Musk
31.6%
Jeff & Janine Yass
2.1%
Elizabeth & Richard Uihlein
1%
2 others
0 comments
9 forecasters

Who will be the largest Democratic donor in the 2026 cycle, as of September 1, 2026?

George Soros
92%
Majority Forward
7%
Other
1%
1 comment
12 forecasters

Will South Korea announce a specific date for the 5th Nuri rocket launch before September 1, 2026?

47%chance
1 comment
4 forecasters

When will be the first year without war?

Current estimate
2163
8 comments
59 forecasters

Will a U.S. federal agency announce new or expanded model evaluation agreements with both OpenAI and Anthropic before September 3, 2026?

15%chance
1 comment
59 forecasters

What will be the Boliviano-USD exchange rate on August 31, 2026?

Current estimate
11.6 Bs/USD
0 comments
21 forecasters

Will Death Valley hit 125 degrees in August 2026?

7%chance
26% this week
8 comments
76 forecasters

What will be the total number of US cyclosporiasis hospitalizations before September 2026?

Current estimate
1138 Hospitalizations
0 comments
5 forecasters

How many jobs will the U.S. economy add in August 2026?

Current estimate
41.3k jobs
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