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🇺🇸US Midterms💥Iran War⚔️Metaculus Cup❓Top Questions🗞️Current Events🤖Artificial Intelligence🌍Geopolitics💼Economy and Business🚀Space
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11 forecasters

Before September 1, 2026, will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be legally permitted to run for another term?

3.3%chance
0 comments
7 forecasters

On July 8, 2026, will Marine Le Pen be ineligible to run in the 2027 French presidential election?

55%chance
14 comments
105 forecasters

Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal on any day before September 2026?

45%chance
10% today
17 comments
92 forecasters

Will Shakira's "Dai Dai" outpeak Shakira's "Waka Waka" on the Billboard Hot 100?

0.5%chance
9.5% this week
4 comments
67 forecasters

How many Major Atlantic Hurricanes (Category 3 or higher) will occur before September 2026?

039.8%
141.8%
213.3%
34.1%
4Upcoming
6 comments
64 forecasters

Will the Brookmont Catastrophic Bond ETF drop at least $0.25 within two days before September 2026?

14%chance
38 comments
826 forecasters

Will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister of the UK during 2026?

97%chance
17% this week
9 comments
97 forecasters

What will SpaceX's stock price be at the end of August 2026?

Current estimate
172 $
2 comments
12 forecasters

Will July 2026 be the warmest July on record, according to Copernicus?

55%chance
0 comments
6 forecasters

Will the Liberal Party officially nominate Flávio Bolsonaro as its candidate for president of Brazil before August 15, 2026?

80%chance
0 comments
6 forecasters

Will Ukraine announce a presidential election before September 1, 2026?

3%chance
4 comments
76 forecasters

Will the US and India finalise a new bilateral trade agreement before August 2026?

35%chance
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