4 comments
6 forecasters
Which party will win the next (post-2023) parliamentary elections in Slovakia?
SMER-SD (Social Democracy)
PS (Progressivism)
HLAS-SD (Social Democracy)
Republika (Nationalism)
3 others
7 comments
6 forecasters
Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League due to financial-rule breaches before 2030?
50%chance
37 comments
107 forecasters
How many bots will finish in the top 10 of the Metaculus Cup Fall 2026?
Current estimate
5.1 bots
1 comment
3 forecasters
Will Gavin Newsom call a special session of the California Legislature on AI before January 1, 2027?
8%chance
6 comments
79 forecasters
What will be the total spending by all Senate candidates in the 2026 US election cycle?
Current estimate
1.7B $
14 comments
97 forecasters
Will Trump demolish the Kennedy Center before January 1, 2027?
7%chance
5.5% this week
3 comments
8 forecasters
When will a vaccine for any major neurodegenerative disease receive regulatory approval?
Current estimate
May 2033
5 comments
76 forecasters
What will be the highest intraday value of the VIX between October 1 and December 24, 2026?
Current estimate
25.4 Units
11 comments
123 forecasters
Who will win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Harry Kane
Kylian Mbappé
Rodri
Lamine Yamal
3 others
3 comments
76 forecasters
How many politicians will leave their cabinet positions in the UK government before 2027?
0
1
2
3 or more
2 comments
3 forecasters
Will the FDA withdraw approval for any branded GLP-1 receptor agonist drug due to safety concerns before 2035?
10%chance