0 comments
21 forecasters

Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential election?

Luiz Inรกcio Lula da Silva
25%
Flรกvio Bolsonaro
75%
5 comments
21 forecasters

Will Spain hold a general election before May 23, 2027?

99%chance
49.8% this week
1 comment
4 forecasters

Will Gavin Newsom call a special session of the California Legislature on AI before January 1, 2027?

8%chance
7 comments
17 forecasters

Will the 2026 suspected pneumonic plague outbreak in Russia result in 10 fatalities before 2027?

2%chance
7 comments
8 forecasters

Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League due to financial-rule breaches before 2030?

50%chance
12 comments
44 forecasters

What will be the winning margin in Brazilโ€™s 2026 presidential election runoff?

Current estimate
Revealedtomorrow
1 comment
3 forecasters

Will Russia disable global technology infrastructure including AI before 2050?

0.6%chance
5 comments
7 forecasters

Which party will win the next (post-2023) parliamentary elections in Slovakia?

SMER-SD (Social Democracy)
29.1%
PS (Progressivism)
64%
HLAS-SD (Social Democracy)
1.1%
Republika (Nationalism)
2.3%
3 others
1 comment
2 forecasters

What will be the first year when WHO reports zero MERS cases globally?

2029
9.1%
2030
9.2%
2031
9.3%
2032 or beyond
54.9%
2 others
33 comments
157 forecasters

How many Major Atlantic Hurricanes will occur in the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season?

0
69.4%
1
27.2%
2
2.9%
3
0.4%
4+
0.1%
38 comments
110 forecasters

How many bots will finish in the top 10 of the Metaculus Cup Fall 2026?

Current estimate
5.1 bots
4 comments
33 forecasters

What will be the total OpenRouter token usage December 21-27, 2026?

Current estimate
Revealedin 3 days
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