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🇺🇸US Midterms💥Iran War⚔️Metaculus Cup❓Top Questions🗞️Current Events🤖Artificial Intelligence🌍Geopolitics💼Economy and Business🚀Space
37 comments
48 forecasters

When will Anthropic IPO?

Current estimate
23 Nov 2026
0 comments
22 forecasters

When will Anthropic be publicly traded?

Before November 18
1%
November 18, 19 or 20
70.6%
November 23, 24, or 25
20.9%
After Nov 25 & before Dec 1
5.2%
Not before December
2.3%
1 comment
37 forecasters

Will a federal voter ID bill be signed by Trump before Jan. 20, 2029?

15%chance
50.9% this week
19 comments
119 forecasters

How many executions will be carried out in the US in 2026?

Fewer than 39
1%
39
3.1%
40
24.8%
41
43.7%
More than 41
27.4%
0 comments
17 forecasters

Will the US House of Representatives impeach Pete Hegseth before January 3, 2029?

75%chance
0 comments
13 forecasters

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact govern the 2028 US presidential election?

25%chance
0 comments
16 forecasters

Will the US federal government enter a shutdown before February 1, 2027?

45%chance
0 comments
13 forecasters

Will Congress override a veto by President Trump before January 20, 2029?

30%chance
7 comments
114 forecasters

Will the U.S. and Iran return to war before December 2026?

31%chance
25% this week
0 comments
3 forecasters

How many jobs will the U.S. economy add in November 2026?

Current estimate
72.1k jobs
11 comments
59 forecasters

By how many points will Kiko Llaneras beat the Community Prediction in the 2026 Fall Metaculus Cup?

Current estimate
Revealedin 2 days
6 comments
68 forecasters

Will Ukraine have de facto control of Dobropillia, Donetsk on December 31, 2026?

Current estimate
Revealedtomorrow
%chance
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