Welcome to the Trade Signal Tournament! Since September 2020, Metaculus has been cultivating a large data set of economic indicator questions including those for:

Non-Farm Payrolls
US GDP
Initial Jobless Claims
Industrial Production Index
Total Retail Sales
EIA Petroleum Stock
Durable Goods Order
Michigan CSI Prelim.
and US Building Permits

With this data in hand, we wanted to put our money where our mouths were and test the power of the Metaculus Prediction as a trading signal. The predictions made in this tournament will be translated by our Community Trader into trading deals.

This tournament consists of one round and will run from June 15, 2021 to September 30, 2021. It will host two types of questions, our typical nine monthly economic indicators and a set of cocktail-party-friendly finance questions on the future state of the US financial markets.

Thank you for your contributions to this initiative, and as always, Happy Predicting!