The 2021 Canadian federal election will take place on September 20, 2021, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 44th Canadian Parliament. Erin O'Toole is the leader of the Conservative Party of Canada. Prime ministers typically are the member of the member of Parliament who leads the largest party or a coalition in the House of Commons.

Will Erin O'Toole win the 2021 Canadian federal election?

This question resolves positively if Erin O'Toole is projected to be the next Prime Minister of Canada following the election scheduled for 2021-09-20. This question resolves based on consensus projections by credible media sources (e.g., The Globe and Mail, Toronto Star and New York Times).

If there is any ambiguity, the question resolves based on whether O'Toole is Prime Minister of Canada on October 31, 2021