Related question on Metaculus:

Will 2021 be the hottest year on record according to NASA?

According to the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), Earth's average global surface temperature in 2019 was the “...second warmest since modern record-keeping began in 1880” and that this continues the planet's long-term warming trend, with the last five years being the warmest of the past 140 years. Through 2020, the hottest year on record is 2016.

Will 2022 be the hottest year on record?

This question will resolve positively if 2022 is the hottest year on record according to NASA's GISS Surface Temperature Analysis. In the event that there is a statistical tie with a previous year, this question will resolve negatively.