M

/Brazil Forecast Community

Questions

Contributed by the Brazil Forecast Community community.

Contributed by the Brazil Forecast Community community.

146 forecasters

Will Bolsonaro be indicted by the Attorney General's Office for an alleged coup attempt in the first quarter of 2025?

14%chance

14%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 14% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jan 22, 2025

Closes:

Apr 1, 2025

Resolved:

Feb 19, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 22, 2025

Brazil Prediction Tournament - 1st Quarter

Brazil Forecast Community

What to know after Brazil’s Bolsonaro is convicted and sentenced for coup attempt

PBS NewsHour•Sep 12, 2025

Brazil’s former president Bolsonaro has been convicted for a coup attempt. What happens next?

Independent•Sep 12, 2025

Bolsonaro joins a rogues’ gallery of coup plotters held to account for their failed power grab

The Conversation•Sep 12, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch