0 comments
2 forecasters
How many internally displaced people will Sudan have on January 31, 2026?
Current estimate
10.8M People
2 comments
3 forecasters
Will the SAF maintain control of both Khartoum city center and el-Obeid in North Kordofan through December 31, 2025?
75%chance
4 comments
2 forecasters
What percentage of UN's 2025 Sudan Humanitarian Response Plan funding requirement will be met?
Current estimate
This question is also part of main Metaculus.
5 comments
48 forecasters
Will SAF and RSF delegations both physically attend the same peace negotiation venue before December 31, 2025?
8%chance
0 comments
2 forecasters
How many of Sudan's 18 state capitals will be under RSF control or active dispute on December 31, 2025?
Current estimate
7.18 State capitals
0 comments
3 forecasters
Will any of Sudan's seven neighboring countries officially announce a complete border closure with Sudan citing conflict spillover or security concerns before July 1, 2026?
22%chance
1 comment
2 forecasters
How many cumulative suspected cholera cases will be reported in the next WHO Sudan Health Cluster bulletin?
Latest estimate
227k Cases
This question is closed for forecasting.
This question is also part of main Metaculus.
0 comments
5 forecasters
What will be the total number of refugees from Sudan in neighboring countries by the end of December 2024?
community
2.96M
result
3.171054M
This question is also part of main Metaculus.
0 comments
17 forecasters
Will the overall population in Sudan facing high acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 or above) decrease to under 20 million by February 2025?
resultNo
This question is also part of main Metaculus.
0 comments
5 forecasters
What percentage of the Sudan Humanitarian Response Plan 2024 budget will be funded by December 31, 2024?
community
62.1
result
63.9