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Questions

AI 2025 Forecasting Survey

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13 Questions

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What will be the sum of OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI's publicly reported annualized revenues by December 31st 2025, in USD billions?

What will be the best normalized score achieved on the original 7 RE-Bench tasks by December 31st 2025?

What will be the best performance on SWE-bench Verified by December 31st 2025?

What will be the best score on Cybench by December 31st 2025?

What will be the best performance on OSWorld by December 31st 2025?

What will be the best performance on FrontierMath by December 31st 2025?

Will an AI system be reported by OpenAI as of December 31st 2025 as having a pre-mitigation score of Medium or higher on Cybersecurity?

Will an AI system be reported by OpenAI as of December 31st 2025 as having a pre-mitigation score of High or higher on CBRN?

Will an AI system be reported by OpenAI as of December 31st 2025 as having a pre-mitigation score of High or higher on Persuasion?

Will an AI system be reported by OpenAI as of December 31st 2025 as having a pre-mitigation score of Medium or higher on Model Autonomy?