Contributed by the Harvard's AI Safety Student Team community.
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10 forecasters
Will an AI system be reported by OpenAI as of December 31st 2025 as having a pre-mitigation score of Medium or higher on Cybersecurity?
90%chance
This question is closed for predictions.
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Opened:Feb 9, 2025
Closed:Feb 17, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 17, 2025
When will OpenAI first report that an AI system has achieved the following a risk levels on Cybersecurity?
1 forecaster
Will a cyberattack targeting AI systems cause a significant power blackout in the United States before 2028?
11% chance
48
Will the US government maintain a public list of incidents related to AI safety on January 1, 2030?
50% chance
43