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Bright Line Watch Tournament

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25 Questions

Moderated by JohnCarey

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This question is also part of main Metaculus.

Will President Trump formally invoke the Insurrection Act before 2026?

Key Factor

Summer weather prolongs protest activities

Key Factor

Summer weather prolongs protest activities

Will real housing prices in the US increase more in 2025 compared to 2024?

Key Factor

USA <-> global trade

Key Factor

USA <-> global trade

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

Will customs duties revenue to the federal government increase from $80 billion in fiscal year 2023 to $160 billion in fiscal year 2026 (in 2023 dollars)?

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

Will the United States and Denmark announce formal negotiations over the possible transfer of sovereignty of Greenland to the United States before 2026?

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

Will the UK housing market crash before July 2025?

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

Will Elizabeth MacDonough, the current Senate parliamentarian, be removed or resign by June 30, 2025?

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

Will the Department of Justice or Education open a civil compliance investigation into whether diversity-related programs at Harvard constitute illegal discrimination or preferences before 2026?

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

Will the number of deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections per year double by December 31, 2025?

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

Will any senior executives of these major public companies be imprisoned for corporate crimes before 2026?

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

Will Freedom House report that internet freedom has declined every year until 2025?