This question is also part of main Metaculus.
3 comments
129 forecasters
Will a federal court rule that the Trump administration violated the Impoundment Control Act in attempting to permanently withhold or cancel congressionally allocated funds by September 27, 2025?
3%chance
2% this week
This question is also part of main Metaculus.
8 comments
80 forecasters
Will Kash Patel be confirmed by the Senate as FBI Director by June 30, 2025?
resultYes
This question is also part of main Metaculus.
9 comments
114 forecasters
Will customs duties revenue to the federal government increase from $80 billion in fiscal year 2023 to $160 billion in fiscal year 2026 (in 2023 dollars)?
92%chance
This question is also part of main Metaculus.
1 comment
138 forecasters
Will eight or more of the fifteen heads of the executive departments be serving in an acting role on December 31, 2026?
5%chance
4% this week
This question is also part of main Metaculus.
33 comments
157 forecasters
Will any senior executives of these major public companies be imprisoned for corporate crimes before 2026?
5%chance
3% this week
This question is also part of main Metaculus.
10 comments
72 forecasters
Will the Department of Justice or Education open a civil compliance investigation into whether diversity-related programs at Harvard constitute illegal discrimination or preferences before 2026?
resultYes
This question is also part of main Metaculus.
0 comments
142 forecasters
Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026?
35%chance
4% this week
18 comments
1.2k forecasters
Will real housing prices in the US increase more in 2025 compared to 2024?
43%chance
2 comments
1k forecasters
Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?
40%chance
This question is also part of main Metaculus.