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Will the National Archivist certify and publish the Equal Rights Amendment to the Constitution by June 30, 2025?
resultNo
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Will Elizabeth MacDonough, the current Senate parliamentarian, be removed or resign by June 30, 2025?
resultNo
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Will the Department of Justice or Education open a civil compliance investigation into whether diversity-related programs at Harvard constitute illegal discrimination or preferences before 2026?
75%chance
5% this week
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Will customs duties revenue to the federal government increase from $80 billion in fiscal year 2023 to $160 billion in fiscal year 2026 (in 2023 dollars)?
66%chance
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Will President Trump formally invoke the Insurrection Act before 2026?
Key Factor
Title 10 allows federalizing troops domestically
27%chance
Key Factor
Title 10 allows federalizing troops domestically
This question is also part of main Metaculus.
Will the United States and Denmark announce formal negotiations over the possible transfer of sovereignty of Greenland to the United States before 2026?
0.5%chance
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Will the number of deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections per year double by December 31, 2025?
8%chance
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Will any senior executives of these major public companies be imprisoned for corporate crimes before 2026?
15%chance
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Will Freedom House report that internet freedom has declined every year until 2025?
This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.
96%chance