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Brown Forecasting Tournament
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6
Followers
18
Questions
Moderated by
noah_h_kim
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Will the Russia-Ukraine war end before May 15, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET?
result
No
Out of the following NFL prospects who will be drafted first in the 2025 NFL Draft? Travis Hunter, Cam Ward, Shedeur Sanders, Tez Johnson.
Cam Ward
result:
Yes
Travis Hunter
result:
No
Shedeur Sanders
result:
No
and 1 other
How many Starship launch attempts will occur from now until May 15, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET?
result
0
launches
Will Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet will break up by May 15, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET?
result
No
By May 15, 2025, will there be a frontier reasoning model that is publicly and unambiguously known to conduct much of its reasoning via a medium other than natural language?
result
No
What will the Federal Reserve decide regarding the federal funds rate at its May 2025 meeting?
No Change
result:
Yes
Cut 25 bps
result:
No
Hike 25 bps
result:
No
and 2 others
Will Anthropic release Claude 4 before May 15, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET?
result
No
Will Choi Sang-mok remain the acting president of South Korea by April 2, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET?
result
No
What will be the value of the VIX on May 1, 2025, at 10:00 AM ET?
result
24.6
points
What will be the value of the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) on May 5, 2025?
result
1421
points
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