Contributed by the Brown Forecasting Tournament community.

Question

Will Anthropic release Claude 4 before May 15, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters15
Community Prediction
35%
(0.1% - 42%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 35%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score
25.0
Authors:
Opened:Mar 15, 2025
Closes:Mar 15, 2025
Resolves:May 16, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 15, 2025