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14 forecasters
By May 15, 2025, will there be a frontier reasoning model that is publicly and unambiguously known to conduct much of its reasoning via a medium other than natural language?
18%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 18% chance, and it resolved No.
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Opened:Mar 15, 2025
Closes:Mar 15, 2025
Resolved:May 16, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 15, 2025
