Brown University Forecasting Team

27 Followers

58 Questions

Moderated by quinoa

1 comment

20 forecasters

Will there be any attempted faithless electors in the 2024 Presidential Election?

resultNo

0 comments

7 forecasters

Will the current ceasefire declared between Israel and Hamas hold by the time of our next meeting, October 28, 2025 12pm?

resultYes

0 comments

5 forecasters

Who will win the Formula 1 Mexican Grand Prix?

Red Bull Racing56.7%

Mercedes6.3%

Ferrari2%

McLarenresult: Yes

2 others

0 comments

5 forecasters

Will Pete Hegseth be removed as Defense Secretary by September 1, 2025?

resultNo

0 comments

8 forecasters

Which team will be the first winner of their respective MLB Wild Card round?

Cincinnati Reds0.1%

Los Angeles Dodgersresult: Yes

Boston Red Sox0.1%

New York Yankees0.1%

4 others

0 comments

14 forecasters

By how many billion USD will Elon Musk’s net worth differ from the highest other net worth on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires list as of January 1, 2025?

community

112

result

187.7

0 comments

By how many billion USD will Elon Musk’s net worth differ from the highest other net worth on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires list as of January 1, 2025?

Annulled

0 comments

6 forecasters

What will the change in non-farm payroll employment for September 2025 be, as released on Oct 3, 2025 at 8:30 am?

community

94.6k

result

Annulled

0 comments

6 forecasters

Will the record for the warmest day on record for the entire planet be broken by September 1, 2025?

resultNo

0 comments

12 forecasters

What is the probability that Jon Tester be re-elected to the Montana Senate?

resultNo

0 comments

6 forecasters

How many people currently in the Forbes Top 10 (Musk, Bezos, Zuckerberg, Ellison, Buffett, Arnault, Page, Brin, Ortega, Ballmer) will no longer be in the Top 10 by September 1, 2025?

1result: Yes

229%

324.9%

417%

2 others

0 comments

4 forecasters

What will the Fed Funds target range be following the July 30–31, 2025 meeting?

Above 4.25result: Yes

4.00 - 4.2517.8%

3.75 - 4.005.5%

3.50 - 3.752.1%

Below 3.500.1%

0 comments

9 forecasters

Will a Hurricane make landfall in US (Lower 48) between Oct 1st 00:00 and Oct 10th 12:00?

resultNo

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

0 comments

23 forecasters

What is the probability that the New York Liberty will win over the Las Vegas Aces in Game 3 of their playoff semifinals matchup on October 4, 2024?

resultNo

0 comments

13 forecasters

Will at least one 2025 WNBA semifinal series end in a sweep (3-0)

resultNo

0 comments

6 forecasters

Will Brown University's funding be unfrozen by September 1, 2025?

resultYes

0 comments

17 forecasters

Will the Government be shut down on Oct 10th 12:00 pm?

resultYes

0 comments

10 forecasters

Will Gemini 3 be released between September 30, 6:00 pm and Oct 14th, 12:00 pm?

resultNo

0 comments

8 forecasters

Will D4vd named as a suspect in a murder investigation by Oct 10th 12:00 pm?

resultNo

0 comments

9 forecasters

What will the Bitcoin price be on Oct 14th, 12:00 pm?

community

118k $

result

112.681k $

0 comments

13 forecasters

Will 'Tron: Ares' domestic opening weekend (10/10-10/12) gross exceed $44 million?

resultNo

3 comments

5 forecasters

Who will win the 2025 NBA Western Conference Championship?

Oklahoma City Thunderresult: Yes

Houston Rockets0.1%

Los Angeles Lakers0.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves37%

4 others

0 comments

3 forecasters

How many wins will the Rhode Island football club have in the USL 2025 Season by September 1, 2025?

1-531%

6-10result: Yes

11-150.1%

16+0.1%

0 comments

7 forecasters

Will OpenAI release o4 or o5-mini/o5-mini-high by September 1, 2025?

resultNo