M
/
Questions
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Brown University Forecasting Team
Follow
20
Followers
47
Questions
Moderated by
quinoa
Open Leaderboard
How many people currently in the Forbes Top 10 (Musk, Bezos, Zuckerberg, Ellison, Buffett, Arnault, Page, Brin, Ortega, Ballmer) will no longer be in the Top 10 by September 1, 2025?
2
29%
3
25%
1
21.2%
and 3 others
What will the Fed Funds target range be following the July 30–31, 2025 meeting?
Above 4.25
49.5%
4.00 - 4.25
29.9%
3.75 - 4.00
11.2%
and 2 others
Will Brown University's funding be unfrozen by September 1, 2025?
8.5%
chance
7.5% this week
This question is also part of main Metaculus.
What is the probability that the New York Liberty will win over the Las Vegas Aces in Game 3 of their playoff semifinals matchup on October 4, 2024?
result
No
Will OpenAI release o4 or o5-mini/o5-mini-high by September 1, 2025?
76%
chance
Will Pete Hegseth be removed as Defense Secretary by September 1, 2025?
34.5%
chance
5.5% this week
This question is also part of main Metaculus.
Welcome to the Brown Forecasting Team!
no comments
0
This question is also part of main Metaculus.
What is the probability that the weather in Warwick, RI will fall below 43 degrees F at any point between now and next meeting (10/10)?
result
No
This question is also part of main Metaculus.
What is the probability that Bitcoin price will rise above $68k at any point between now and next meeting (10/10)?
result
No
This question is also part of main Metaculus.
What is the probability that Donald Trump will accept the CNN presidential debate invitation for October 23 between now and next meeting (10/10)?
result
No
Load More
