Contributed by the Brown University Forecasting Team community.

Question

What is the probability that Jon Tester be re-elected to the Montana Senate?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters12
Community Prediction
5%
(0.1% - 33%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
68.6
Community Peer Score
8.3
Authors:
Opened:Oct 24, 2024
Closes:Nov 7, 2024
Resolves:Nov 7, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 29, 2024