Contributed by the Brown University Forecasting Team community.
Question
What percentage of the national popular vote will third party candidates hold by 6 pm on 11/07, in total?
Resolved:1.5149Total Forecasters12
Community Prediction
3.04
(1.72 - 4.84)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 1.722 | — |
| median | 3.041 | — |
| upper 75% | 4.841 | — |
What was the final result?1.5149
Community Baseline Score
147.7
Community Peer Score
15.6
Authors:
Opened:Oct 24, 2024
Closes:Oct 31, 2024
Resolves:Nov 7, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 27, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Oct 24, 2024
Closes:Oct 31, 2024
Resolves:Nov 7, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 27, 2024