Contributed by the Brown University Forecasting Team community.
Question
Will any model achieve a 40%+ performance on Humanity’s Last Exam by September 1, 2025?
Total Forecasters10
Community Prediction
35%
(23% - 40%)
Make a Prediction
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
Authors:
Opened:Apr 25, 2025
Closed:Aug 15, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Sep 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 30, 2025
Authors:
Opened:Apr 25, 2025
Closed:Aug 15, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Sep 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 30, 2025