Contributed by the Brown University Forecasting Team community.

Question

Who will be the next Pope?

1
10 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 10

Make a Prediction

Me
ResolvedOther
15.5%
Pierbattista Pizzaballa
19.3%
Pietro Parolin
23.3%
Fridolin Ambongo
7.4%
Luis Antonio Tagle
19.6%
Matteo Zuppi
6.3%
Peter Erdo
6.6%
Anders Arborelius
1.9%
Total: ?
(? remaining)

Which of these actually happened?Other

Community Peer Score
47.4
Authors:
Opened:Apr 25, 2025
Closes:May 15, 2025
Resolves:Sep 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:May 15, 2025