Contributed by the Brown University Forecasting Team community.

Question

Will Pete Hegseth be removed as Defense Secretary by September 1, 2025?

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Total Forecasters5

Community Prediction

34.5%

(29% - 40%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 34.5%

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved

Authors:

quinoa

Opened:

Apr 25, 2025

Closed:

Aug 16, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Sep 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 30, 2025

Brown University Forecasting Team

Hegseth Sacks General for Leaking Controversial Intel Report on Iran Strikes

PJ Media•Aug 24, 2025

Change Is Coming to the Pentagon As Hegseth Finishes His Week by Canning Three Senior Generals

Red State•Aug 23, 2025

Hegseth fires Defense Intelligence Agency chief, other senior Pentagon officials

FOX News•Aug 23, 2025

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10%