Contributed by the QH Forecasting Community community.
conditional
if yes
if no
Make a Prediction
Will Iran attack US sites in Iraq before August 2025? | When will Iran cease to be an Islamic Republic? |
|---|---|
| My Prediction: - | |
| My Prediction: - |
CDF
The question "Will Iran attack US sites in Iraq before August 2025?" has closed, so these conditionals are closed for forecasting. They will resolve when the question "When will Iran cease to be an Islamic Republic?" resolves.
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Jun 2045 | — |
| median | Mar 2048 | — |
| upper 75% | Dec 2051 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2122 | 0.1% | — |
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jun 12, 2025
Closed:Aug 1, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2122
Authors:
Opened:Jun 12, 2025
Closed:Aug 1, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2122
