Contributed by the AI Diffusion community.
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3 forecasters
What percentage of business leaders will describe their deployment of AI as "mature" in 2029?
Current estimate
75.4%
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 14, 2025
Closes:Jul 1, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 19, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
What percentage of Americans will consider AI or advancement of computers/technology to be the most important problem in January 2028?
21 % mentioning
(11 - 38)
21 % mentioning
(11 - 38)
141 forecasters
What percentage of AI alignment experts surveyed in 2029 will consider alignment techniques at the time to be sufficient?
35.6%
(17.4 - 53.5)
35.6%
(17.4 - 53.5)
36 forecasters
Will global corporate spending on adoption of AI applications, infrastructure, and services reach or exceed $700 billion USD during 2029?
96% chance
18