Contributed by the AI Diffusion community.

Question

Will the federal US government provide any financial incentives specifically for increasing adoption of AI by private companies before 2030?

no comments0

Total Forecasters2

Community Prediction

84.5%

(69% - 99.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 84.5%

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Add key factor

Authors:

mghodak

Opened:

Jul 14, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 19, 2025

AI Diffusion Index

AI Diffusion

Economy & Business

Artificial Intelligence

Former US government tech chief says AI could make navigating the bureaucracy much easier

Business Insider•Aug 27, 2025

Do AI Companies Actually Care About America?

Atlantic•Aug 25, 2025

Trump administration strikes deal with Google to use AI platform across federal agencies

FOX News•Aug 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a federal law, regulation, or executive order mandating safety checks for AI models be enacted, issued, or adopted in the United States before January 20, 2029?

35%

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Before 2026, will the White House launch a multi-billion dollar moonshot initiative to accelerate artificial general intelligence (AGI), as announced in an official White House press release?

76%

Authors:

mghodak

Opened:

Jul 14, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 19, 2025

AI Diffusion Index

AI Diffusion

Economy & Business

Artificial Intelligence

Former US government tech chief says AI could make navigating the bureaucracy much easier

Business Insider•Aug 27, 2025

Do AI Companies Actually Care About America?

Atlantic•Aug 25, 2025

Trump administration strikes deal with Google to use AI platform across federal agencies

FOX News•Aug 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a federal law, regulation, or executive order mandating safety checks for AI models be enacted, issued, or adopted in the United States before January 20, 2029?

35%

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Before 2026, will the White House launch a multi-billion dollar moonshot initiative to accelerate artificial general intelligence (AGI), as announced in an official White House press release?

76%