Contributed by the AI Diffusion community.
Question
How many of the following countries will enact a national-level law that restricts the deployment of high-risk AI systems before 2030?
Total Forecasters4
Community Prediction
8 countries
(6 countries - 10 countries)
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PMF
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 6 | — |
| median | 8 | — |
| upper 75% | 10 | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 14, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 19, 2025
Authors:
Opened:Jul 14, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 19, 2025