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Questions

Foresight Institute

8 Followers

17 Questions

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

Before March 1, 2026, will Meta settle the lawsuit brought by state attorneys general alleging the platform(s) were designed to foster compulsive use by minors?

28.7% this week

Before 2026, will the White House launch a multi-billion dollar moonshot initiative to accelerate artificial general intelligence (AGI), as announced in an official White House press release?

Will a partial reprogramming-based therapy receive regulatory approval for treating Alzheimer’s disease before January 1, 2035?

By 2035, how many new gigawatts of nuclear power will enter operation in the United States, as verified by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, new state regulators, or other definitive sources?

Which reproductive technology will achieve more clinical trial successes in human trait selection by 2035?

Embryo gene editing45.9%

In vitro gametogenesis (IVG)32.3%

Neither/Other21.8%

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

Will a floating community with a permanent population of at least 100 people exist by the end of 2026, as reported by the Seasteading Institute?

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

In what year will the first private citizen become a permanent off-Earth resident?

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

How many nuclear reactors will be in operation in the US on December 31, 2035?

Will Puerto Rico's industrial sector be powered primarily by New Nuclear before 2040?

Will an AI shopping agent service achieve significant commercial deployment by December 31, 2026?