Contributed by the Foresight Institute community.
Question
When will the first privately governed charter city have 10,000 residents?
Total Forecasters3
Community Prediction
Apr 2060
(Nov 2044 - Mar 2070)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Nov 2044 | — |
| median | Apr 2060 | — |
| upper 75% | Mar 2070 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2097 | 1.5% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Feb 21, 2025
Closes:Jan 2, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 15, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 21, 2025
Authors:
Opened:Feb 21, 2025
Closes:Jan 2, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 15, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 21, 2025