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Kiko Llaneras Tournament 🔮
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Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026?
74%
1626 forecasters
88
57 comments
57
Will Donald Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20, 2025, according to 538?
10%
1971 forecasters
49
69 comments
69
Will Pierre Poilievre be elected Prime Minister of Canada in 2025?
44%
259 forecasters
11
2 comments
2
Will Elon Musk cease to be an advisor to Donald Trump and face public criticism from Donald Trump before 2026?
35%
1695 forecasters
45
50 comments
50
Will Nvidia stock close 2025 higher than it started?
40%
308 forecasters
4
2 comments
2
Will 2025 be the warmest year on record globally, according to the ECMWF?
70%
535 forecasters
56
9 comments
9
Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2026?
25%
253 forecasters
9
6 comments
6
Will Atlético de Madrid win the EA Sports LaLiga 2024/25?
7%
238 forecasters
-13
2 comments
2
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
0.5%
251 forecasters
-20
3 comments
3
Will the world's five largest companies at the end of 2025 be in the tech sector?
90%
299 forecasters
25
3 comments
3
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