Contributed by the Risk Threshold Forecasting community.
When will an 8 hour, 80% reliability time horizon be achieved on METR’s Autonomy Tasks by a Claude Sonnet 4 scale model by Anthropic?
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Opened:Jun 25, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2041
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2041
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 28, 2025
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